{"title":"The Impact of Public Investment on Urban Growth Under Different Scenarios by Using the SLEUTH as a Forecasting Model: The Case of Konya/Turkey","authors":"Ceren Yagci, Fatih Iscan","doi":"10.1007/s12061-024-09581-y","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article’s main focus has been the Rink Road Project in Konya, which is slated for construction despite serious urban growth issues. The study looked at how this project may impact urban growth in order to provide knowledge that would guide future land use policies and plans for sustainable urban development. The urban growth trend 2043 which is the target year of the environmental plan, and 2055 were examined using the SLEUTH Urban Growth model. Six different SLEUTH model scenarios that take a different tack on urban growth were assessed in alternative futures. This study also tries to figure out; assesses a range of potential spatial transformations around the planned Konya Ring Road (KRR), incorporating the first Environmental Plan established post the enactment of Turkey's Law No. 6360 into the scenario planning. According to future predictions of urban growth, a flexible Konya Environmental Plan (KEP) in the short term could potentially intensify the adverse effects of urban expansion associated with the KRR in the absence of a stringent KEP. Long-term observations from the examined scenarios reveal a significantly higher projected urban growth in cases where an KEP is absent. If current land policies continue without significant modifications, the completion of the KRR is expected to accelerate urban growth in Konya, leading to a substantial transformation of natural areas into urban zones.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"17 3","pages":"1161 - 1182"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12061-024-09581-y","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This article’s main focus has been the Rink Road Project in Konya, which is slated for construction despite serious urban growth issues. The study looked at how this project may impact urban growth in order to provide knowledge that would guide future land use policies and plans for sustainable urban development. The urban growth trend 2043 which is the target year of the environmental plan, and 2055 were examined using the SLEUTH Urban Growth model. Six different SLEUTH model scenarios that take a different tack on urban growth were assessed in alternative futures. This study also tries to figure out; assesses a range of potential spatial transformations around the planned Konya Ring Road (KRR), incorporating the first Environmental Plan established post the enactment of Turkey's Law No. 6360 into the scenario planning. According to future predictions of urban growth, a flexible Konya Environmental Plan (KEP) in the short term could potentially intensify the adverse effects of urban expansion associated with the KRR in the absence of a stringent KEP. Long-term observations from the examined scenarios reveal a significantly higher projected urban growth in cases where an KEP is absent. If current land policies continue without significant modifications, the completion of the KRR is expected to accelerate urban growth in Konya, leading to a substantial transformation of natural areas into urban zones.
期刊介绍：
Description
The journal has an applied focus: it actively promotes the importance of geographical research in real world settings
It is policy-relevant: it seeks both a readership and contributions from practitioners as well as academics
The substantive foundation is spatial analysis: the use of quantitative techniques to identify patterns and processes within geographic environments
The combination of these points, which are fully reflected in the naming of the journal, establishes a unique position in the marketplace.
RationaleA geographical perspective has always been crucial to the understanding of the social and physical organisation of the world around us. The techniques of spatial analysis provide a powerful means for the assembly and interpretation of evidence, and thus to address critical questions about issues such as crime and deprivation, immigration and demographic restructuring, retailing activity and employment change, resource management and environmental improvement. Many of these issues are equally important to academic research as they are to policy makers and Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy aims to close the gap between these two perspectives by providing a forum for discussion of applied research in a range of different contexts
Topical and interdisciplinaryIncreasingly government organisations, administrative agencies and private businesses are requiring research to support their ‘evidence-based’ strategies or policies. Geographical location is critical in much of this work which extends across a wide range of disciplines including demography, actuarial sciences, statistics, public sector planning, business planning, economics, epidemiology, sociology, social policy, health research, environmental management.
FocusApplied Spatial Analysis and Policy will draw on applied research from diverse problem domains, such as transport, policing, education, health, environment and leisure, in different international contexts. The journal will therefore provide insights into the variations in phenomena that exist across space, it will provide evidence for comparative policy analysis between domains and between locations, and stimulate ideas about the translation of spatial analysis methods and techniques across varied policy contexts. It is essential to know how to measure, monitor and understand spatial distributions, many of which have implications for those with responsibility to plan and enhance the society and the environment in which we all exist.
Readership and Editorial BoardAs a journal focused on applications of methods of spatial analysis, Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy will be of interest to scholars and students in a wide range of academic fields, to practitioners in government and administrative agencies and to consultants in private sector organisations. The Editorial Board reflects the international and multidisciplinary nature of the journal.
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号
