Synergizing flood risk and road network dynamics for optimized evacuation strategies

Chaiwat Yaibok , Piyapong Suwanno , Thaksakorn Pornbunyanon , Chollada Kanjanakul , Saksit Bumrungrat , Prasan Jitpat , Noriyasu Tsumita , Atsushi Fukuda
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In response to escalating climatic threats, this research innovatively integrates flood risk assessment with road network dynamics to formulate optimized evacuation strategies in flood-susceptible regions. Employing a path-based traffic model and flood risk index, our method significantly decreases travel durations by 25% and vehicle hours by 20% compared to traditional frameworks. Complexities arise in intricate evacuation systems. Zone 4 was a critical node due to a 15% rise in vehicular inflow and unique flood risks, emphasizing the necessity for tailored evacuation plans considering variable traffic and flood risks. Our approach enhanced evacuation efficiency and also resulted in a 10% increase in fuel consumption while highlighting areas for further optimization. This study proposes a refined, sustainable evacuation model that harmonizes flood risks and traffic dynamics and offers insights for resilient urban development amid climatic uncertainties.

协同洪水风险和路网动态,优化疏散策略
为应对不断升级的气候威胁,本研究创新性地将洪水风险评估与道路网络动力学相结合,为洪水易发地区制定了优化的疏散策略。与传统框架相比,我们的方法采用了基于路径的交通模型和洪水风险指数,大大缩短了 25% 的旅行时间和 20% 的车时。在错综复杂的疏散系统中会出现复杂情况。第 4 区是一个关键节点,因为车辆流入量增加了 15%,而且存在独特的洪水风险。我们的方法不仅提高了疏散效率,还使燃料消耗量增加了 10%,同时突出了需要进一步优化的领域。本研究提出了一种完善的、可持续的疏散模型,该模型协调了洪水风险和交通动态,为气候不确定性下的弹性城市发展提供了启示。
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