An empirical analysis of monetary policy committees composition and its relationship with monetary policy

Guilherme Spilimbergo Costa , Diogo Abry Guillen
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Abstract

This paper compiles a novel and unique dataset encompassing 439 individuals who served as board members on 16 different inflation-targeting central banks’ monetary policy committees (MPCs) from 1999 to 2018. We document relevant trends over the past twenty years: (i) An increasing share of women serving on committees, albeit still a minority; (ii) an increase in the share of members with previous private sector experience and (iii) an increase in the average age and experience among members over time. Moreover, we find that: (i) A higher proportion of members with MBAs and Masters’ in economics is related to lower levels of inflation; (ii) a committee with more members with formations not in economics or law tends to be more lenient towards the monetary policy target; (iii) the average MPC age within a range of 55 and 60 years seems to be linked to less volatile inflation; and (iv) more MPC women members correlates with both lower and less volatile inflation.

货币政策委员会组成及其与货币政策关系的实证分析
本文汇编了一个新颖独特的数据集,其中包括 1999 年至 2018 年间在 16 家不同的以通胀为目标的中央银行的货币政策委员会(MPCs)中担任董事会成员的 439 人。我们记录了过去二十年来的相关趋势:(i) 在委员会中任职的女性比例不断增加,尽管仍占少数;(ii) 具有私营部门工作经验的成员比例增加;(iii) 随着时间的推移,成员的平均年龄和工作经验增加。此外,我们还发现(i) 拥有工商管理硕士学位和经济学硕士学位的成员比例越高,通货膨胀水平越低;(ii) 拥有更多非经济或法律专业背景的成员的委员会往往对货币政策目标更为宽松;(iii) 货币政策委员会的平均年龄在 55 至 60 岁之间似乎与波动较小的通货膨胀率有关;(iv) 更多的货币政策委员会女性成员与较低和波动较小的通货膨胀率有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
1.70
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