Impact of Monetary Policy on Importation in Nigeria (1990-2020)

Ogbu Chibueze Okpaga
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Abstract

This study ascertained the effect of monetary policy on importation in Nigeria covering the period 1990 – 2020. Data for the study were extracted from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin. The method of data analysis used is the linear regression method with the application of the Error Correction Model (ECM). The major findings of the study reveal that interest rate has a negative and insignificant effect on importation in Nigeria, exchange rate has a positive and insignificant effect on importation in Nigeria, broad money supply has a positive and significant effect on importation in Nigeria and there is a causal relationship between importation, trade openness and broad money supply. It is therefore the recommendation of the study that there is need for boosting domestic production so as to contend high level of import that may have a detrimental effect on our external reserves. Secondly; the Nigerian authorities should carry out reforms that would enhance the role of interest rate in order to mobilize funds for trade purposes.
货币政策对尼日利亚进口的影响(1990-2020 年)
本研究确定了 1990-2020 年间货币政策对尼日利亚进口的影响。研究数据摘自尼日利亚中央银行(CBN)统计公报。采用的数据分析方法是线性回归法,并应用了误差修正模型(ECM)。研究的主要结果表明,利率对尼日利亚进口的影响为负且不显著,汇率对尼日利亚进口的影响为正且不显著,广义货币供应量对尼日利亚进口的影响为正且显著,进口、贸易开放度和广义货币供应量之间存在因果关系。因此,本研究建议有必要促进国内生产,以应对可能对我国外部储备产生不利影响的高水平进口。其次,尼日利亚当局应进行改革,加强利率的作用,以便为贸易目的调动资金。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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