Mediating Enduring Rivalry: Prospects For Indonesian Mediation Initiatives In The India-Pakistan Kashmir Dispute

Liska Rahayu, Defrida Suzana, Lukuaka, Zhafirah Azzahra, Juniusyani, Ichsan Malik
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Abstract

The enduring conflict over Kashmir between India and Pakistan remains unresolved despite several international mediation attempts. This study investigates these historical endeavors and evaluates Indonesia’s prospective role as a mediator leveraging its neutral stance and long-standing connections with both parties. A comprehensive qualitative literature review revealed that preceding mediations primarily concentrated on territorial lines, allocation of resources, and ephemeral ceasefires that temporarily eased tensions but were inadequate in addressing the underlying ideological divergences and identity issues perpetuating distrust. While frameworks such as the Indus Waters Treaty, which tackle joint technical concerns, have yielded some success in fostering collaborative arrangements, imposed resolutions have often lacked credibility due to sovereignty concerns and national rhetoric. The research findings indicate that Indonesia is posited as a potential neutral facilitator, drawing from its diplomatic accord and cultural rapport with India and Pakistan. Its non-aligned disposition, coupled with a track record of brokering peace within its region, uniquely qualifies it to sensitize dialogues and engineer technical partnerships inspired by its own experiences with autonomy accords. Although challenging, strategically implemented Indonesian-led confidence-building initiatives could gradually nurture mutual trust and cooperation. For the transformation of the Kashmir dispute to be enduring, it is recommended that a comprehensive strategy be adopted, placing a premium on reconciliation, inclusive policymaking, and the primacy of human security. Crucially, any process must incorporate localized reconciliation dialogues and bottom-up mechanisms to ensure legitimacy and resolve deep-seated grievances
调解持久的敌对关系:印尼在印度-巴基斯坦克什米尔争端中采取调解举措的前景
尽管国际社会多次尝试进行调解,但印度和巴基斯坦在克什米尔问题上的持久冲突仍未得到解决。本研究调查了这些历史性尝试,并评估了印尼利用其中立立场和与双方的长期联系作为调解人的前景。一项全面的定性文献综述显示,以往的调解主要集中在领土划分、资源分配和短暂的停火上,这虽然暂时缓解了紧张局势,但却不足以解决导致不信任长期存在的潜在意识形态分歧和身份认同问题。虽然《印度河水域条约》等解决共同技术问题的框架在促进合作安排方面取得了一些成功,但由于主权问题和国家言论,强加的决议往往缺乏可信度。研究结果表明,印度尼西亚凭借与印度和巴基斯坦的外交关系和文化默契,被认为是潜在的中立调解人。印尼不结盟的性格,加上在其区域内促成和平的良好记录,使其具备了独特的资格,能够在其自身自治协议经验的启发下,促进对话并建立技术合作伙伴关系。尽管具有挑战性,但印尼在战略上主导的建立信任倡议可以逐步促进相互信任与合作。为使克什米尔争端的转变具有持久性,建议采取全面战略,重视和解、包容性决策和人类安全至上。至关重要的是,任何进程都必须纳入本地化的和解对话和自下而上的机制,以确保合法性并解决根深蒂固的不满情绪。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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