Restoring democratic stability: A backcasting wheel approach

Rick Szostak
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Abstract

This paper performs a backcasting wheel analysis of the issue of democratic backsliding. It identifies an interacting set of proximate causes of democratic backsliding, and then a set of complementary strategies for addressing the root causes of each of these. It takes an interdisciplinary systems-based approach throughout. The paper is grounded in an extensive survey of several literatures in multiple disciplines. It shows how the backcasting wheel complements other methods employed in anticipation and future studies more generally.

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恢复民主稳定:逆向预测轮方法
本文对民主倒退问题进行了逆向预测轮分析。它指出了民主倒退的一系列相互作用的近因,然后提出了一套互补战略,以解决每个近因的根本原因。论文自始至终都采用了一种基于系统的跨学科方法。本文以对多个学科的多篇文献的广泛调查为基础。它展示了逆向预测轮如何与预期和未来研究中使用的其他方法相辅相成。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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