Climate, food (in)security and conflict in the Bangladesh delta: Myths and puzzles

Ma Suza, Jeroen Warner, Han van Dijk
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Abstract

Bangladesh is customarily presented as a poster child for climate change and conflict given its dense population and susceptibility to climate variability. This vulnerability exacerbates existing challenges such as food insecurity and conflict potential. Crises like pandemics and conflicts are external drivers stressing already compromised domestic governance, such as violent politics, poor rule of law, and corruption, further compounding the challenges of land and water resource management and affecting food (in)security in Bangladesh. While we will argue that Bangladesh’s all-out (‘securitised’) efforts to achieve food security are largely successful and there is no evidence of climate conflict related to food, this does not obviate very real food security challenges in remote areas. However, these have not built up to the sense of frustration associated with food riots or community violence. Navigating the possible linkages between climate, food (in)security, and conflict requires debunking common myths and identifying unresolved research puzzles in Bangladesh’s context. These myths promote the oversimplification of complex issues and may lead to misinformed policies and actions. Future research needs to be focused on understanding how climate factors interact with local economic, political, and social dynamics, including governance mechanisms, religious and ethnic tensions, economic inequality, grievances, and political exclusion.
孟加拉国三角洲的气候、粮食(不)安全和冲突:神话与谜题
孟加拉国人口稠密,易受气候多变性的影响,因此通常被视为气候变化和冲突的典型代表。这种脆弱性加剧了粮食不安全和潜在冲突等现有挑战。大流行病和冲突等危机是外部驱动因素,对暴力政治、法治薄弱和腐败等已经受到损害的国内治理造成压力,进一步加剧了土地和水资源管理的挑战,影响了孟加拉国的粮食(不)安全。尽管我们将论证孟加拉国为实现粮食安全而做出的全面("安全化")努力在很大程度上是成功的,而且没有证据表明存在与粮食有关的气候冲突,但这并不妨碍偏远地区面临非常现实的粮食安全挑战。然而,这些挑战并没有积累到与粮食暴动或社区暴力相关的挫败感。要探索气候、粮食(不)安全和冲突之间可能存在的联系,就必须揭穿常见的迷思,找出孟加拉国尚未解决的研究难题。这些迷思使复杂的问题过于简单化,并可能导致错误的政策和行动。未来的研究需要侧重于了解气候因素如何与当地的经济、政治和社会动态相互作用,包括治理机制、宗教和种族紧张关系、经济不平等、不满和政治排斥。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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