{"title":"Tourism demand modelling and forecasting: a Horizon 2050 paper","authors":"Haiyan Song, Hanyuan Zhang","doi":"10.1108/tr-12-2023-0882","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\n<p>The aim of this paper is to provide a narrative review of previous research on tourism demand modelling and forecasting and potential future developments.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\n<p>A narrative approach is taken in this review of the current body of knowledge.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Findings</h3>\n<p>Significant methodological advancements in tourism demand modelling and forecasting over the past two decades are identified.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Originality/value</h3>\n<p>The distinct characteristics of the various methods applied in the field are summarised and a research agenda for future investigations is proposed.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>目的</h3>\n<p>本文旨在对先前关于旅游需求建模和预测的研究进行叙述性回顾并对未来潜在发展进行展望。</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>设计/方法</h3>\n<p>本文采用叙述性回顾方法对当前知识体系进行了评论。</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>研究结果</h3>\n<p>本文确认了过去二十年旅游需求建模和预测方法论方面的重要进展。</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>独创性</h3>\n<p>本文总结了该领域应用的各种方法的独特特征, 并对未来研究提出了建议。</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Objetivo</h3>\n<p>El objetivo de este documento es ofrecer una revisión narrativa de la investigación previa sobre modelización y previsión de la demanda turística y los posibles desarrollos futuros.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Diseño/metodología/enfoque</h3>\n<p>En esta revisión del marco actual de conocimientos sobre modelización y previsión de la demanda turística y los posibles desarrollos futuros,se adopta un enfoque narrativo.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Resultados</h3>\n<p>Se identifican avances metodológicos significativos en la modelización y previsión de la demanda turística en las dos últimas décadas.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\n<h3>Originalidad</h3>\n<p>Se resumen las características propias de los diversos métodos aplicados en este campo y se propone una agenda de investigación para futuros trabajos.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":7,"journal":{"name":"ACS Applied Polymer Materials","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ACS Applied Polymer Materials","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1108/tr-12-2023-0882","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MATERIALS SCIENCE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Purpose
The aim of this paper is to provide a narrative review of previous research on tourism demand modelling and forecasting and potential future developments.
Design/methodology/approach
A narrative approach is taken in this review of the current body of knowledge.
Findings
Significant methodological advancements in tourism demand modelling and forecasting over the past two decades are identified.
Originality/value
The distinct characteristics of the various methods applied in the field are summarised and a research agenda for future investigations is proposed.
目的
本文旨在对先前关于旅游需求建模和预测的研究进行叙述性回顾并对未来潜在发展进行展望。
设计/方法
本文采用叙述性回顾方法对当前知识体系进行了评论。
研究结果
本文确认了过去二十年旅游需求建模和预测方法论方面的重要进展。
独创性
本文总结了该领域应用的各种方法的独特特征, 并对未来研究提出了建议。
Objetivo
El objetivo de este documento es ofrecer una revisión narrativa de la investigación previa sobre modelización y previsión de la demanda turística y los posibles desarrollos futuros.
Diseño/metodología/enfoque
En esta revisión del marco actual de conocimientos sobre modelización y previsión de la demanda turística y los posibles desarrollos futuros,se adopta un enfoque narrativo.
Resultados
Se identifican avances metodológicos significativos en la modelización y previsión de la demanda turística en las dos últimas décadas.
Originalidad
Se resumen las características propias de los diversos métodos aplicados en este campo y se propone una agenda de investigación para futuros trabajos.
期刊介绍:
ACS Applied Polymer Materials is an interdisciplinary journal publishing original research covering all aspects of engineering, chemistry, physics, and biology relevant to applications of polymers.
The journal is devoted to reports of new and original experimental and theoretical research of an applied nature that integrates fundamental knowledge in the areas of materials, engineering, physics, bioscience, polymer science and chemistry into important polymer applications. The journal is specifically interested in work that addresses relationships among structure, processing, morphology, chemistry, properties, and function as well as work that provide insights into mechanisms critical to the performance of the polymer for applications.