Asymmetric effects of uncertainty on investment: Empirical evidence from India

Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Masudul Hasan Adil , Amrita Roy
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Investment is envisaged as a prerequisite for improving productivity and growth in any economy. In India, investment has decelerated during the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008, especially after 2011–12, which has spurred a heated discussion regarding causes accountable for elongated slowdown. To this end, we empirically examine the causal nexus between investment and its covariates in an asymmetric framework. The present study finds asymmetric cointegration along with short-run impact asymmetry, long-run reaction asymmetry, and adjustment asymmetry between investment and its covariates. Furthermore, evidence of asymmetric Granger causality is also established. Our study's conclusions have important policy outcomes to combat the economy's downturn in investment.

不确定性对投资的不对称影响:印度的经验证据
在任何经济体中,投资都被视为提高生产力和实现增长的先决条件。在印度,投资在 2008 年全球金融危机(GFC)期间减速,尤其是在 2011-12 年之后,这引发了关于投资长期放缓原因的激烈讨论。为此,我们在非对称框架下对投资及其协变量之间的因果关系进行了实证研究。本研究发现,投资与其协变量之间存在非对称协整关系、短期影响非对称关系、长期反应非对称关系和调整非对称关系。此外,非对称格兰杰因果关系的证据也已确立。我们的研究结论对于应对经济投资下滑具有重要的政策效果。
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来源期刊
Journal of Economic Asymmetries
Journal of Economic Asymmetries Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
42
审稿时长
50 days
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