Study on Quantitative Precipitation Estimation by Polarimetric Radar Using Deep Learning

Abstract

Accurate radar quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) plays an essential role in disaster prevention and mitigation. In this paper, two deep learning-based QPE networks including a single-parameter network and a multi-parameter network are designed. Meanwhile, a self-defined loss function (SLF) is proposed during modeling. The dataset includes Shijiazhuang S-band dual polarimetric radar (CINRAD/SAD) data and rain gauge data within the radar’s 100-km detection range during the flood season of 2021 in North China. Considering that the specific propagation phase shift (K_DP) has a roughly linear relationship with the precipitation intensity, K_DP is set to 0.5° km⁻¹ as a threshold value to divide all the rain data (AR) into a heavy rain (HR) and light rain (LR) dataset. Subsequently, 12 deep learning-based QPE models are trained according to the input radar parameters, the precipitation datasets, and whether an SLF was adopted, respectively. The results suggest that the effects of QPE after distinguishing rainfall intensity are better than those without distinguishing, and the effects of using SLF are better than those that used MSE as a loss function. A Z-R relationship and a Z_H-K_DP-R synthesis method are compared with deep learning-based QPE. The mean relative errors (MRE) of AR models using SLF are improved by 61.90%, 51.21%, and 56.34% compared with the Z-R relational method, and by 38.63%, 42.55%, and 47.49% compared with the synthesis method. Finally, the models are further evaluated in three precipitation processes, which manifest that the deep learning-based models have significant advantages over the traditional empirical formula methods.