Correction: Modification of the PM2.5- and extreme heat-mortality relationships by historical redlining: A case-crossover study in thirteen U.S. states
Edgar Castro, Abbie Liu, Yaguang Wei, Anna Kosheleva, Joel Schwartz
{"title":"Correction: Modification of the PM2.5- and extreme heat-mortality relationships by historical redlining: A case-crossover study in thirteen U.S. states","authors":"Edgar Castro, Abbie Liu, Yaguang Wei, Anna Kosheleva, Joel Schwartz","doi":"10.1186/s12940-024-01072-4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>\n<b>Correction</b><b>: </b>\n<b>Environ Health 23, 16 (2024)</b>\n</p><p>\n<b>https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01055-5</b>\n</p><br/><p>Following publication of [1], errors were found in the code used to prepare the cohort for a case-crossover analysis and the resulting data that was used for the analysis. Despite these errors, results were only marginally effected and all conclusions remain the same. A few typos were also found in the manuscript. A table of all affected texts is shown below.\n</p><table><thead><tr><th><p>Section</p></th><th><p>Lines</p></th><th><p>Text</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Abstract</p></td><td><p>48-51</p></td><td><p>Individuals who lived in redlined areas had an interaction odds ratio for mortality of <s>1.0093</s> <b>1.0104</b> (95% confidence interval [CI]: <s>1.0084</s> <b>1.0095</b>, <s>1.0101</s> <b>1.0114)</b> for each 10 µg m<sup>-3</sup> increase in same-day ambient PM2.5 compared to individuals who did not live in redlined areas. For extreme heat, the interaction odds ratio was <s>1.0218</s> <b>1.0146</b> (95% CI <s>1.0031</s> <b>1.0039</b>, <s>1.0408</s> <b>1.0457</b>).</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Methods</p></td><td><p>159-161</p></td><td><p>To derive measures of extreme heat, we first calculated various percentiles of minimum temperature in each block group in each year. For our main analysis, we considered the <s>95</s> <sup><s>th</s></sup> <b>90</b> <sup><b>th</b></sup> percentile.</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Methods</p></td><td><p>163-165</p></td><td><p>In other words, if the minimum temperature on a certain day met or exceeded the <s>95</s> <sup><s>th</s></sup> <b>90</b> <sup><b>th</b></sup> percentile of minimum temperature in that block group in that year, then that day was marked as an extreme heat day.</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Results</p></td><td><p>229-237</p></td><td><p>We obtained <s>11,115,380</s> <b>11,076,020</b> mortality records from the <s>twelve</s> <b>thirteen</b> state departments of public health. From these records, we sequentially excluded <s>466,874</s> <b>453,754</b> deaths involving external causes; <s>139,908</s> <b>133,348</b> deaths involving individuals younger than 18 years old; 196,558 deaths with geocodes that were missing or coarser than block group-level; 331 deaths involving individuals whose home locations were outside of the state that reported their death; <s>1,392,423</s> <b>1,372,743</b> deaths before January 5<sup>th</sup>, 2001 or after December 31<sup>st</sup>, 2016 and 537 deaths whose home block groups had a population of zero according to the preceding Decennial Census (for which 4-day moving averages of population-weighted PM2.5 could not be calculated); and 34,016 deaths with lag days from 0 to 4 that included December 31<sup>st</sup> on leap years (for which Daymet predictions are not available; Figure 3)</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Results</p></td><td><p>272-278</p></td><td><p>We found a significant interaction with exposure to any extreme heat (interaction odds ratio <s>1.0218</s> <b>1.0246</b>; 95% CI <s>1.0031</s> <b>1.0039</b>, <s>1.0408</s> <b>1.0457</b>) while we did not observe significant interactions for singleton heat events or when looking at length-specific exposures. In absolute terms, this amounts to a <s>2.157%</s> <b>2.434%</b> (95% CI <s>0.307%</s> <b>0.386%</b>, <s>4.036%</s> <b>4.521%</b>) increase in the daily risk of death death from non-external causes by exposure to any extreme heat in historically-redlined neighborhoods compared to other neighborhoods. The highest overall effects were observed for exposure to any extreme heat, followed by 3, <s>1</s> <b>2</b>, and <s>2</s> <b>1</b> consecutive days of extreme heat, respectively.</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Results</p></td><td><p>283-287</p></td><td><p>We found a significant interaction with same-day ambient PM2.5 (interaction odds ratio for each 10 µg/m<sup>-3</sup> increase: <s>1.0093</s> <b>1.0104</b>; 95% CI <s>1.0084</s> <b>1.0095</b>, <s>1.0101</s> <b>1.0114</b>) while we did not observe interactions for different moving averages of ambient PM2.5. In absolute terms, this amounts to a <s>0.930%</s> <b>1.029%</b> (95% CI <s>0.831%</s> <b>0.940%</b>, <s>1.000%</s> <b>1.128%</b>) increase in the daily risk of death from non-external causes for each 10 µg/m-3 increase in ambient PM2.5 in historically-redlined neighborhoods compared to other neighborhoods.</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Results</p></td><td><p>295-296</p></td><td><p>However, for PM2.5, we did observe that the interaction with same-day ambient PM2.5 was not significant for <b>a</b> population cutoff<s>s</s> of 50%<s> and 99%</s>.</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Results</p></td><td><p>302-305</p></td><td><p>We also observed that the 85<sup>th</sup> and 95<sup>th</sup> percentile cutoffs of minimum temperature had higher interactions than the 90<sup>th</sup> percentile cutoff <b>on earlier days</b>, with the 85<sup>th</sup> percentile being the highest for any exposure<b> or the 1</b> <sup><b>st</b></sup> <b> day of extreme heat </b>and the 99<sup>th</sup> percentile being the highest for <b>any exposure or </b>the 1<sup>st</sup> <b> or 2</b> <sup><b>nd</b></sup> day<b>s</b> of extreme heat.</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Firstly, 39,360 deaths from the raw data were duplicated (0.36% of total deaths), resulting in an erroneous Fig. 1 and numbers in the accompanying paragraph. However, the total number of deaths used for the analysis remained the same, though this was misreported in the original Fig. 1 (884,733 deaths rather than 8,884,733). A few percentages were also incorrect. The corrected Fig. 1 is shown below next to the original Fig. 1, followed by a table of changes in the text.</p><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure a\" aria-describedby=\"Figa\" height=\"617\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figa_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 1 with changed bolded</i>.</p></figure><p>Additionally, code that was meant to restrict control days only to those occurring in the same month of the case was not run, resulting in a mean of 7.91 controls for each case (SD: 0.57). After corrections, this was reduced to a mean of 3.38 controls per case (SD: 0.49). Unlike the previous error, this slightly altered the results, though only marginally. The corrected text, figures, and coefficient tables are presented below alongside what was originally reported. Old and new results are differentiated by different shades in the figures and changes in significance are noted in bold in the tables.</p><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure b\" aria-describedby=\"Figb\" height=\"220\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figb_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 4 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure c\" aria-describedby=\"Figc\" height=\"267\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figc_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 5 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure d\" aria-describedby=\"Figd\" height=\"212\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figd_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 6 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure e\" aria-describedby=\"Fige\" height=\"207\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Fige_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 7 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure f\" aria-describedby=\"Figf\" height=\"212\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figf_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 8 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure g\" aria-describedby=\"Figg\" height=\"211\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figg_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 9 combined. The plots for “Whole population” originally showed results from the sensitivity analysis of 99% population cutoff for HOLC apportionment rather than the main analysis of 90%. As a result, the confidence intervals for the new results are smaller</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure h\" aria-describedby=\"Figh\" height=\"209\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figh_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 10 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure i\" aria-describedby=\"Figi\" height=\"336\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figi_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 11 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure j\" aria-describedby=\"Figj\" height=\"384\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figj_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 12 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure k\" aria-describedby=\"Figk\" height=\"333\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figk_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 13 combined</i>.</p></figure><figure><picture><img alt=\"figure l\" aria-describedby=\"Figl\" height=\"338\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"//media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1186%2Fs12940-024-01072-4/MediaObjects/12940_2024_1072_Figl_HTML.png\" width=\"685\"/></picture><p>\n<i> Original and corrected Fig. 14 combined</i>.</p></figure><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement A.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.013</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0161</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0125</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0161</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.011</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>1.0149</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0046</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.008</p></td><td><p>1.0025</p></td><td><p>1.0130</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>1.0148</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.013</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0194</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0210</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.013</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0163</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.011</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0151</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.008</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>1.0148</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.013</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0199</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>1.0215</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.013</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0163</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.011</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0150</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>1.0048</p></td><td><p>1.0141</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.008</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>1.0148</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.014</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0200</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0216</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement A.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0211</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>1.0364</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0232</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0402</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>0.9867</p></td><td><p>1.0332</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td><td><p>1.0155</p></td><td><p>0.9906</p></td><td><p>1.0411</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0206</p></td><td><p>0.9923</p></td><td><p>1.0496</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>0.9808</p></td><td><p>1.0417</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0273</p></td><td><p>0.9926</p></td><td><p>1.0633</p></td><td><p>0.13</p></td><td><p>1.0247</p></td><td><p>0.9874</p></td><td><p>1.0634</p></td><td><p>0.20</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0218</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>1.0408</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0246</p></td><td><p>1.0039</p></td><td><p>1.0457</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>0.9773</p></td><td><p>1.0346</p></td><td><p>0.70</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>0.9794</p></td><td><p>1.0415</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0195</p></td><td><p>0.9846</p></td><td><p>1.0557</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>1.0171</p></td><td><p>0.9797</p></td><td><p>1.0559</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0155</p></td><td><p>0.9731</p></td><td><p>1.0597</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>0.9641</p></td><td><p>1.0568</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0222</p></td><td><p>1.0021</p></td><td><p>1.0428</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0259</p></td><td><p>1.0036</p></td><td><p>1.0487</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>0.9793</p></td><td><p>1.0413</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td><td><p>1.0168</p></td><td><p>0.9836</p></td><td><p>1.0510</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0208</p></td><td><p>0.9832</p></td><td><p>1.0599</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>1.0174</p></td><td><p>0.9772</p></td><td><p>1.0593</p></td><td><p>0.40</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0119</p></td><td><p>0.9664</p></td><td><p>1.0596</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td><td><p>1.0061</p></td><td><p>0.9575</p></td><td><p>1.0572</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement B.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Exposure</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0102</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>1.0102</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0089</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement B.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Exposure</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0044</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0042</p></td><td><p>1.0057</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>1.0027</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>0.38</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>1.0037</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0020</p></td><td><p>1.0037</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.0044</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0022</p></td><td><p>1.0012</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>1.0020</p></td><td><p>1.0041</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0021</p></td><td><p>1.0011</p></td><td><p>1.0032</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.0012</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0061</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0057</p></td><td><p>1.0045</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>0.24</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement C.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 85th percentile</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0109</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0138</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0117</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0149</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0030</p></td><td><p>1.0109</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0037</p></td><td><p>1.0122</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0124</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0171</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0135</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>1.0186</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0145</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 90th percentile</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0163</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0151</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>1.0148</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0134</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0199</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>1.0215</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 99th percentile</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0217</p></td><td><p>1.0143</p></td><td><p>1.0292</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0211</p></td><td><p>1.0130</p></td><td><p>1.0293</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0181</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0271</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0176</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0273</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0227</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0376</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0193</p></td><td><p>1.0036</p></td><td><p>1.0353</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0501</p></td><td><p>1.0238</p></td><td><p>1.0771</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0623</p></td><td><p>1.0336</p></td><td><p>1.0917</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement C.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 85th percentile</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0279</p></td><td><p>1.0109</p></td><td><p>1.045</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0302</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>1.0497</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0340</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>1.061</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0378</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0674</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9972</p></td><td><p>0.9665</p></td><td><p>1.029</p></td><td><p>0.86</p></td><td><p>1.0001</p></td><td><p>0.9670</p></td><td><p>1.0344</p></td><td><p>1.00</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>0.9779</p></td><td><p>1.052</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td><td><p>1.0052</p></td><td><p>0.9666</p></td><td><p>1.0454</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 90th percentile</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0218</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>1.041</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0246</p></td><td><p>1.0039</p></td><td><p>1.0457</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>0.9773</p></td><td><p>1.035</p></td><td><p>0.70</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>0.9794</p></td><td><p>1.0415</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0195</p></td><td><p>0.9846</p></td><td><p>1.056</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>1.0171</p></td><td><p>0.9797</p></td><td><p>1.0559</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0155</p></td><td><p>0.9731</p></td><td><p>1.060</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>0.9641</p></td><td><p>1.0568</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 99th percentile</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0266</p></td><td><p>0.9793</p></td><td><p>1.076</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>1.0350</p></td><td><p>0.9836</p></td><td><p>1.0892</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0368</p></td><td><p>0.9793</p></td><td><p>1.098</p></td><td><p>0.21</p></td><td><p>1.0344</p></td><td><p>0.9727</p></td><td><p>1.1001</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0021</p></td><td><p>0.9081</p></td><td><p>1.106</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td><td><p>1.0553</p></td><td><p>0.9482</p></td><td><p>1.1746</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>0.8419</p></td><td><p>1.196</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td><td><p>0.9774</p></td><td><p>0.8095</p></td><td><p>1.1802</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement D.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Whole population</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0163</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0151</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>1.0148</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0134</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0199</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>1.0215</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Black individuals</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>0.9956</p></td><td><p>1.0160</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td><td><p>1.0052</p></td><td><p>0.9939</p></td><td><p>1.0165</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0008</p></td><td><p>0.9872</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>0.91</p></td><td><p>0.9984</p></td><td><p>0.9839</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9975</p></td><td><p>0.9810</p></td><td><p>1.0141</p></td><td><p>0.76</p></td><td><p>0.9971</p></td><td><p>0.9794</p></td><td><p>1.0150</p></td><td><p>0.75</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0191</p></td><td><p>0.9988</p></td><td><p>1.0399</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>1.0209</p></td><td><p>0.9989</p></td><td><p>1.0433</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p> > 50% Black neighborhoods</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>0.9936</p></td><td><p>1.0201</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>1.0011</p></td><td><p>0.9865</p></td><td><p>1.0159</p></td><td><p>0.88</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>0.9913</p></td><td><p>1.0261</p></td><td><p>0.33</p></td><td><p>1.0010</p></td><td><p>0.9826</p></td><td><p>1.0198</p></td><td><p>0.91</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>0.9801</p></td><td><p>1.0218</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td><td><p>0.9969</p></td><td><p>0.9748</p></td><td><p>1.0195</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p>0.9877</p></td><td><p>1.0395</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>0.9867</p></td><td><p>1.0425</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>White individuals</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0141</p></td><td><p>1.0107</p></td><td><p>1.0175</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0177</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0127</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0173</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0118</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>1.0168</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0089</p></td><td><p>1.0033</p></td><td><p>1.0145</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0038</p></td><td><p>1.0159</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>1.0041</p></td><td><p>1.0180</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0123</p></td><td><p>1.0048</p></td><td><p>1.0198</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p> > 50% White neighborhoods</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0162</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0125</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>1.0163</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0118</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>1.0161</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>1.0003</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0009</p></td><td><p>1.0131</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0209</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0148</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>1.0224</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement D.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Whole population</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0218</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>1.0408</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0246</p></td><td><p>1.0039</p></td><td><p>1.0457</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>0.9773</p></td><td><p>1.0346</p></td><td><p>0.70</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>0.9794</p></td><td><p>1.0415</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0195</p></td><td><p>0.9846</p></td><td><p>1.0557</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>1.0171</p></td><td><p>0.9797</p></td><td><p>1.0559</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0155</p></td><td><p>0.9731</p></td><td><p>1.0597</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>0.9641</p></td><td><p>1.0568</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Black individuals</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>0.9739</p></td><td><p>1.0356</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td><td><p>1.0190</p></td><td><p>0.9850</p></td><td><p>1.0542</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9977</p></td><td><p>0.9516</p></td><td><p>1.0460</p></td><td><p>0.92</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>0.9624</p></td><td><p>1.0659</p></td><td><p>0.62</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0561</p></td><td><p>0.9978</p></td><td><p>1.1178</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td><td><p>1.0625</p></td><td><p>0.9995</p></td><td><p>1.1295</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>0.9417</p></td><td><p>1.0830</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td><td><p>1.0029</p></td><td><p>0.9304</p></td><td><p>1.0811</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p> > 50% Black neighborhoods</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0017</p></td><td><p>0.9685</p></td><td><p>1.0361</p></td><td><p>0.92</p></td><td><p>1.0193</p></td><td><p>0.9819</p></td><td><p>1.0580</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9707</p></td><td><p>0.9216</p></td><td><p>1.0223</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td><td><p>0.9962</p></td><td><p>0.9420</p></td><td><p>1.0537</p></td><td><p>0.9</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0399</p></td><td><p>0.9775</p></td><td><p>1.1062</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td><td><p>1.0393</p></td><td><p>0.9724</p></td><td><p>1.1107</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0272</p></td><td><p>0.9520</p></td><td><p>1.1084</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td><td><p>1.0236</p></td><td><p>0.9433</p></td><td><p>1.1108</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>White individuals</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0403</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>1.0667</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0373</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0665</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0262</p></td><td><p>0.9874</p></td><td><p>1.0666</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td><td><p>1.0225</p></td><td><p>0.9808</p></td><td><p>1.0660</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9954</p></td><td><p>0.9487</p></td><td><p>1.0443</p></td><td><p>0.85</p></td><td><p>0.9894</p></td><td><p>0.9397</p></td><td><p>1.0418</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0327</p></td><td><p>0.9745</p></td><td><p>1.0944</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>1.0266</p></td><td><p>0.9643</p></td><td><p>1.0930</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p> > 50% White neighborhoods</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0383</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0695</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0296</p></td><td><p>1.0038</p></td><td><p>1.0560</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0359</p></td><td><p>0.9903</p></td><td><p>1.0836</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td><td><p>1.0269</p></td><td><p>0.9890</p></td><td><p>1.0662</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>0.9516</p></td><td><p>1.0645</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>0.9599</p></td><td><p>1.0524</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0259</p></td><td><p>0.9585</p></td><td><p>1.0980</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td><td><p>1.0499</p></td><td><p>0.9927</p></td><td><p>1.1104</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement E.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Whole population</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Black individuals</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0117</p></td><td><p>1.0112</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0130</p></td><td><p>1.0124</p></td><td><p>1.0135</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0125</p></td><td><p>1.0120</p></td><td><p>1.0131</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0130</p></td><td><p>1.0124</p></td><td><p>1.0136</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>1.0145</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0122</p></td><td><p>1.0134</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0145</p></td><td><p>1.0138</p></td><td><p>1.0152</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0127</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>1.0134</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0152</p></td><td><p>1.0145</p></td><td><p>1.0160</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p> > 50% Black neighborhoods</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p>0.08</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0061</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0039</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>1.0047</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>1.0011</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>White individuals</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>1.0102</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0061</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p> > 50% White neighborhoods</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>1.0061</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement E.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Whole population</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0061</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0057</p></td><td><p>1.0045</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Black individuals</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0020</p></td><td><p>1.0006</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0004</p></td><td><p>0.9988</p></td><td><p>1.0020</p></td><td><p>0.96</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>1.0036</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>0.55</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.0006</p></td><td><p>1.0042</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>0.35</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0008</p></td><td><p>1.0047</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0041</p></td><td><p>1.0020</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>0.70</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p> > 50% Black neighborhoods</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>0.20</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>1.0147</p></td><td><p>1.0180</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0126</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td><td><p>1.0191</p></td><td><p>1.0172</p></td><td><p>1.0210</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>0.40</p></td><td><p>1.0212</p></td><td><p>1.0190</p></td><td><p>1.0234</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td><td><p>1.0226</p></td><td><p>1.0202</p></td><td><p>1.0250</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p>0.44</p></td><td><p>1.0230</p></td><td><p>1.0204</p></td><td><p>1.0257</p></td><td><p>0.08</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>White individuals</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0115</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>1.0126</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0117</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>1.0129</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.07</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0119</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>0.30</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>0.42</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0047</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0048</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0050</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p> > 50% White neighborhoods</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0054</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0021</p></td><td><p>1.0006</p></td><td><p>1.0037</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td><td><p>1.0017</p></td><td><p>1.0000</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>0.85</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>0.9990</p></td><td><p>1.0025</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td><td><p>0.9996</p></td><td><p>0.9977</p></td><td><p>1.0016</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9989</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>1.0009</p></td><td><p>0.91</p></td><td><p>0.9968</p></td><td><p>0.9947</p></td><td><p>0.9990</p></td><td><p>0.77</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9963</p></td><td><p>0.9942</p></td><td><p>0.9984</p></td><td><p>0.73</p></td><td><p>0.9951</p></td><td><p>0.9928</p></td><td><p>0.9975</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement F.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>California</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0150</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0214</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2317</p></td><td><p>1.2232</p></td><td><p>1.2403</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0166</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0264</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2076</p></td><td><p>1.1952</p></td><td><p>1.2202</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>0.9906</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>1.0891</p></td><td><p>1.0753</p></td><td><p>1.1030</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0117</p></td><td><p>0.9973</p></td><td><p>1.0262</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td><td><p>1.1726</p></td><td><p>1.1547</p></td><td><p>1.1908</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Florida</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0042</p></td><td><p>0.9956</p></td><td><p>1.0129</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td><td><p>1.0208</p></td><td><p>1.0111</p></td><td><p>1.0306</p></td><td><p>0.67</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p>0.9968</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td><td><p>1.0338</p></td><td><p>1.0231</p></td><td><p>1.0447</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9954</p></td><td><p>0.9833</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td><td><p>0.9616</p></td><td><p>0.9490</p></td><td><p>0.9744</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>0.9898</p></td><td><p>1.0210</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td><td><p>1.0157</p></td><td><p>0.9989</p></td><td><p>1.0328</p></td><td><p>0.85</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Georgia</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9935</p></td><td><p>0.9658</p></td><td><p>1.0219</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>0.9617</p></td><td><p>0.9319</p></td><td><p>0.9924</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9909</p></td><td><p>0.9589</p></td><td><p>1.0239</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td><td><p>0.9385</p></td><td><p>0.9056</p></td><td><p>0.9726</p></td><td><p>0.73</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0154</p></td><td><p>0.9767</p></td><td><p>1.0557</p></td><td><p>0.44</p></td><td><p>1.3822</p></td><td><p>1.3251</p></td><td><p>1.4418</p></td><td><p>0.13</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9768</p></td><td><p>0.9333</p></td><td><p>1.0224</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td><td><p>0.7916</p></td><td><p>0.7537</p></td><td><p>0.8314</p></td><td><p>0.35</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Illinois</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9945</p></td><td><p>0.9805</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td><td><p>0.9659</p></td><td><p>0.9511</p></td><td><p>0.9809</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0089</p></td><td><p>0.9944</p></td><td><p>1.0235</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.1091</p></td><td><p>1.0921</p></td><td><p>1.1264</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9912</p></td><td><p>0.9740</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>0.9506</p></td><td><p>0.9329</p></td><td><p>0.9685</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0148</p></td><td><p>0.9933</p></td><td><p>1.0368</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td><td><p>1.1250</p></td><td><p>1.0996</p></td><td><p>1.1511</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Indiana</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9819</p></td><td><p>0.9385</p></td><td><p>1.0273</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td><td><p>0.6862</p></td><td><p>0.6534</p></td><td><p>0.7207</p></td><td><p>0.13</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0208</p></td><td><p>0.9802</p></td><td><p>1.0631</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>1.0518</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p>1.0991</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0022</p></td><td><p>0.9552</p></td><td><p>1.0515</p></td><td><p>0.93</p></td><td><p>0.8497</p></td><td><p>0.8069</p></td><td><p>0.8948</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9960</p></td><td><p>0.9364</p></td><td><p>1.0594</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td><td><p>1.0909</p></td><td><p>1.0211</p></td><td><p>1.1655</p></td><td><p>0.80</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Kansas</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>0.9618</p></td><td><p>1.0741</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td><td><p>1.2327</p></td><td><p>1.1602</p></td><td><p>1.3096</p></td><td><p>0.50</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9920</p></td><td><p>0.9349</p></td><td><p>1.0525</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td><td><p>0.8290</p></td><td><p>0.7780</p></td><td><p>0.8835</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9833</p></td><td><p>0.9118</p></td><td><p>1.0604</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td><td><p>0.8378</p></td><td><p>0.7723</p></td><td><p>0.9088</p></td><td><p>0.67</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9584</p></td><td><p>0.8742</p></td><td><p>1.0508</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td><td><p>0.7700</p></td><td><p>0.6972</p></td><td><p>0.8503</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Massachusetts</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>0.9933</p></td><td><p>1.0249</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td><td><p>1.0228</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0404</p></td><td><p>0.80</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0293</p></td><td><p>1.0141</p></td><td><p>1.0447</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2644</p></td><td><p>1.2444</p></td><td><p>1.2847</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>0.9888</p></td><td><p>1.0251</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td><td><p>1.0798</p></td><td><p>1.0591</p></td><td><p>1.1009</p></td><td><p>0.44</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9766</p></td><td><p>0.9544</p></td><td><p>0.9993</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.8990</p></td><td><p>0.8771</p></td><td><p>0.9215</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.40</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Michigan</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9947</p></td><td><p>0.9771</p></td><td><p>1.0126</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td><td><p>0.9648</p></td><td><p>0.9464</p></td><td><p>0.9835</p></td><td><p>0.72</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>0.9905</p></td><td><p>1.0251</p></td><td><p>0.38</p></td><td><p>1.1096</p></td><td><p>1.0892</p></td><td><p>1.1304</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>0.9898</p></td><td><p>1.0319</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>1.2030</p></td><td><p>1.1763</p></td><td><p>1.2302</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0044</p></td><td><p>0.9786</p></td><td><p>1.0309</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td><td><p>0.9753</p></td><td><p>0.9486</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>0.86</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Missouri</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0208</p></td><td><p>0.9980</p></td><td><p>1.0441</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>1.0411</p></td><td><p>1.0155</p></td><td><p>1.0673</p></td><td><p>0.75</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0145</p></td><td><p>0.9912</p></td><td><p>1.0384</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td><td><p>1.0484</p></td><td><p>1.0227</p></td><td><p>1.0747</p></td><td><p>0.71</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0190</p></td><td><p>0.9908</p></td><td><p>1.0480</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td><td><p>1.1461</p></td><td><p>1.1121</p></td><td><p>1.1812</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0287</p></td><td><p>0.9959</p></td><td><p>1.0625</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.2878</p></td><td><p>1.2440</p></td><td><p>1.3332</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>New Hampshire</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>0.9561</p></td><td><p>1.0474</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td><td><p>0.8465</p></td><td><p>0.8054</p></td><td><p>0.8897</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9961</p></td><td><p>0.9545</p></td><td><p>1.0395</p></td><td><p>0.86</p></td><td><p>0.8501</p></td><td><p>0.8122</p></td><td><p>0.8899</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0596</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>1.1167</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.5480</p></td><td><p>1.4627</p></td><td><p>1.6383</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.13</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9796</p></td><td><p>0.9140</p></td><td><p>1.0499</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td><td><p>0.8454</p></td><td><p>0.7847</p></td><td><p>0.9108</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>New Jersey</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9732</p></td><td><p>0.9510</p></td><td><p>0.9959</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.7422</p></td><td><p>0.7236</p></td><td><p>0.7612</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9871</p></td><td><p>0.9649</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td><td><p>0.8486</p></td><td><p>0.8281</p></td><td><p>0.8695</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0011</p></td><td><p>0.9740</p></td><td><p>1.0289</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td><td><p>1.0317</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>1.0623</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>0.9756</p></td><td><p>1.0415</p></td><td><p>0.63</p></td><td><p>1.1852</p></td><td><p>1.1442</p></td><td><p>1.2277</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Ohio</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>0.9917</p></td><td><p>1.0251</p></td><td><p>0.33</p></td><td><p>1.1022</p></td><td><p>1.0827</p></td><td><p>1.1220</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>0.9938</p></td><td><p>1.0257</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.1219</p></td><td><p>1.1030</p></td><td><p>1.1411</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>0.9919</p></td><td><p>1.0293</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td><td><p>1.0785</p></td><td><p>1.0573</p></td><td><p>1.1002</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0015</p></td><td><p>0.9789</p></td><td><p>1.0246</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td><td><p>1.0670</p></td><td><p>1.0411</p></td><td><p>1.0937</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Texas</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0015</p></td><td><p>0.9933</p></td><td><p>1.0097</p></td><td><p>0.73</p></td><td><p>0.9984</p></td><td><p>0.9894</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9931</p></td><td><p>0.9827</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td><td><p>0.9285</p></td><td><p>0.9181</p></td><td><p>0.9391</p></td><td><p>0.20</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>0.9925</p></td><td><p>1.0183</p></td><td><p>0.42</p></td><td><p>1.0396</p></td><td><p>1.0253</p></td><td><p>1.0540</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0240</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>1.0398</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2998</p></td><td><p>1.2787</p></td><td><p>1.3213</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement F.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>California</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0239</p></td><td><p>0.9882</p></td><td><p>1.0607</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td><td><p>1.3192</p></td><td><p>1.2689</p></td><td><p>1.3716</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9851</p></td><td><p>0.9306</p></td><td><p>1.0429</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td><td><p>0.8294</p></td><td><p>0.7802</p></td><td><p>0.8817</p></td><td><p>0.55</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0389</p></td><td><p>0.9679</p></td><td><p>1.1151</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td><td><p>1.5664</p></td><td><p>1.4515</p></td><td><p>1.6905</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0402</p></td><td><p>0.9549</p></td><td><p>1.1331</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td><td><p>1.4147</p></td><td><p>1.2893</p></td><td><p>1.5523</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Florida</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0089</p></td><td><p>0.9381</p></td><td><p>1.0849</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td><td><p>1.0615</p></td><td><p>0.9789</p></td><td><p>1.1510</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.8867</p></td><td><p>0.7949</p></td><td><p>0.9891</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.2448</p></td><td><p>0.2178</p></td><td><p>0.2751</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9972</p></td><td><p>0.8718</p></td><td><p>1.1407</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td><td><p>0.8372</p></td><td><p>0.7250</p></td><td><p>0.9667</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.1187</p></td><td><p>0.9424</p></td><td><p>1.3279</p></td><td><p>0.20</p></td><td><p>3.5029</p></td><td><p>2.9067</p></td><td><p>4.2214</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Georgia</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0635</p></td><td><p>0.8713</p></td><td><p>1.2982</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td><td><p>2.3353</p></td><td><p>1.8653</p></td><td><p>2.9237</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0903</p></td><td><p>0.7976</p></td><td><p>1.4905</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td><td><p>3.1935</p></td><td><p>2.2622</p></td><td><p>4.5081</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.8493</p></td><td><p>0.5684</p></td><td><p>1.2689</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td><td><p>0.0714</p></td><td><p>0.0467</p></td><td><p>0.1092</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.3865</p></td><td><p>0.8795</p></td><td><p>2.1856</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td><td><p>43.2690</p></td><td><p>26.2281</p></td><td><p>71.3815</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Illinois</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0152</p></td><td><p>0.9739</p></td><td><p>1.0583</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>1.2365</p></td><td><p>1.1810</p></td><td><p>1.2946</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9766</p></td><td><p>0.9163</p></td><td><p>1.0409</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td><td><p>0.9484</p></td><td><p>0.8853</p></td><td><p>1.0161</p></td><td><p>0.88</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0812</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.1663</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>2.3017</p></td><td><p>2.1222</p></td><td><p>2.4964</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9878</p></td><td><p>0.8984</p></td><td><p>1.0860</p></td><td><p>0.80</p></td><td><p>0.7562</p></td><td><p>0.6837</p></td><td><p>0.8365</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Indiana</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0256</p></td><td><p>0.8980</p></td><td><p>1.1713</p></td><td><p>0.71</p></td><td><p>1.2758</p></td><td><p>1.1030</p></td><td><p>1.4755</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9508</p></td><td><p>0.7765</p></td><td><p>1.1641</p></td><td><p>0.62</p></td><td><p>0.8328</p></td><td><p>0.6673</p></td><td><p>1.0394</p></td><td><p>0.87</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0904</p></td><td><p>0.8633</p></td><td><p>1.3773</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td><td><p>3.1247</p></td><td><p>2.4260</p></td><td><p>4.0246</p></td><td><p>0.38</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0593</p></td><td><p>0.8005</p></td><td><p>1.4017</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>0.7652</p></td><td><p>0.5657</p></td><td><p>1.0351</p></td><td><p>0.86</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Kansas</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9867</p></td><td><p>0.7948</p></td><td><p>1.2248</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td><td><p>0.5135</p></td><td><p>0.4006</p></td><td><p>0.6583</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0590</p></td><td><p>0.7564</p></td><td><p>1.4827</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td><td><p>1.4871</p></td><td><p>1.0361</p></td><td><p>2.1343</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.7153</p></td><td><p>0.4172</p></td><td><p>1.2265</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td><td><p>0.0206</p></td><td><p>0.0117</p></td><td><p>0.0365</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.6994</p></td><td><p>0.3742</p></td><td><p>1.3071</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td><td><p>0.0222</p></td><td><p>0.0115</p></td><td><p>0.0430</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Massachusetts</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0336</p></td><td><p>0.9793</p></td><td><p>1.0909</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.6045</p></td><td><p>1.5096</p></td><td><p>1.7055</p></td><td><p>0.13</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0332</p></td><td><p>0.9530</p></td><td><p>1.1201</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td><td><p>1.5079</p></td><td><p>1.3818</p></td><td><p>1.6455</p></td><td><p>0.36</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0112</p></td><td><p>0.9175</p></td><td><p>1.1144</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td><td><p>1.2129</p></td><td><p>1.0928</p></td><td><p>1.3462</p></td><td><p>0.72</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0376</p></td><td><p>0.9195</p></td><td><p>1.1708</p></td><td><p>0.55</p></td><td><p>1.0991</p></td><td><p>0.9656</p></td><td><p>1.2511</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Michigan</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9166</p></td><td><p>0.8583</p></td><td><p>0.9788</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.4083</p></td><td><p>0.3801</p></td><td><p>0.4386</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9491</p></td><td><p>0.8608</p></td><td><p>1.0464</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td><td><p>0.6647</p></td><td><p>0.5979</p></td><td><p>0.7389</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9356</p></td><td><p>0.8298</p></td><td><p>1.0550</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>0.3779</p></td><td><p>0.3321</p></td><td><p>0.4300</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9029</p></td><td><p>0.7768</p></td><td><p>1.0493</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td><td><p>0.4820</p></td><td><p>0.4108</p></td><td><p>0.5655</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Missouri</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0474</p></td><td><p>0.9477</p></td><td><p>1.1576</p></td><td><p>0.36</p></td><td><p>2.1684</p></td><td><p>1.9404</p></td><td><p>2.4231</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0663</p></td><td><p>0.9074</p></td><td><p>1.2532</p></td><td><p>0.44</p></td><td><p>2.2724</p></td><td><p>1.9092</p></td><td><p>2.7047</p></td><td><p>0.36</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0331</p></td><td><p>0.8472</p></td><td><p>1.2597</p></td><td><p>0.75</p></td><td><p>2.5343</p></td><td><p>2.0453</p></td><td><p>3.1401</p></td><td><p>0.40</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0194</p></td><td><p>0.8148</p></td><td><p>1.2753</p></td><td><p>0.87</p></td><td><p>2.1669</p></td><td><p>1.6973</p></td><td><p>2.7665</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>New Hampshire</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.7292</p></td><td><p>0.4301</p></td><td><p>1.2364</p></td><td><p>0.24</p></td><td><p>0.0331</p></td><td><p>0.0184</p></td><td><p>0.0596</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.1650</p></td><td><p>0.5956</p></td><td><p>2.2786</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td><td><p>0.6494</p></td><td><p>0.3223</p></td><td><p>1.3085</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.2818</p></td><td><p>0.0671</p></td><td><p>1.1839</p></td><td><p>0.08</p></td><td><p>0.0000</p></td><td><p>0.0000</p></td><td><p>0.0002</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.7075</p></td><td><p>0.1639</p></td><td><p>3.0548</p></td><td><p>0.64</p></td><td><p>15.2258</p></td><td><p>2.9415</p></td><td><p>78.8129</p></td><td><p>0.75</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>New Jersey</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0203</p></td><td><p>0.9514</p></td><td><p>1.0942</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td><td><p>0.9928</p></td><td><p>0.9172</p></td><td><p>1.0747</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.1206</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.2471</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>2.2716</p></td><td><p>2.0244</p></td><td><p>2.5489</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.16</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9623</p></td><td><p>0.8421</p></td><td><p>1.0996</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td><td><p>0.5515</p></td><td><p>0.4784</p></td><td><p>0.6358</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9680</p></td><td><p>0.8248</p></td><td><p>1.1361</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>0.8477</p></td><td><p>0.7117</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>0.85</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Ohio</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0632</p></td><td><p>0.9809</p></td><td><p>1.1524</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td><td><p>1.9883</p></td><td><p>1.8221</p></td><td><p>2.1698</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0894</p></td><td><p>0.9608</p></td><td><p>1.2353</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td><td><p>2.9294</p></td><td><p>2.5535</p></td><td><p>3.3606</p></td><td><p>0.13</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.1124</p></td><td><p>0.9623</p></td><td><p>1.2860</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>2.5414</p></td><td><p>2.1701</p></td><td><p>2.9762</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.8973</p></td><td><p>0.7475</p></td><td><p>1.0771</p></td><td><p>0.24</p></td><td><p>0.3504</p></td><td><p>0.2876</p></td><td><p>0.4270</p></td><td><p>0.30</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Texas</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0671</p></td><td><p>0.9958</p></td><td><p>1.1435</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>1.7130</p></td><td><p>1.5864</p></td><td><p>1.8497</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0600</p></td><td><p>0.9544</p></td><td><p>1.1772</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>2.0693</p></td><td><p>1.8455</p></td><td><p>2.3202</p></td><td><p>0.21</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9206</p></td><td><p>0.8023</p></td><td><p>1.0563</p></td><td><p>0.24</p></td><td><p>0.3139</p></td><td><p>0.2708</p></td><td><p>0.3637</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.1452</p></td><td><p>0.9800</p></td><td><p>1.3382</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>2.3357</p></td><td><p>1.9744</p></td><td><p>2.7630</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement G.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Exposure</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>California</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>1.0119</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0047</p></td><td><p>1.0054</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0131</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0135</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0136</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>1.0149</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0057</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0163</p></td><td><p>1.0160</p></td><td><p>1.0167</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Florida</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9980</p></td><td><p>0.9975</p></td><td><p>0.9984</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td><td><p>1.0018</p></td><td><p>1.0012</p></td><td><p>1.0023</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9967</p></td><td><p>0.9962</p></td><td><p>0.9972</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.0013</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>0.67</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9963</p></td><td><p>0.9957</p></td><td><p>0.9969</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>1.0013</p></td><td><p>1.0026</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9943</p></td><td><p>0.9937</p></td><td><p>0.9950</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.0020</p></td><td><p>1.0013</p></td><td><p>1.0027</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9920</p></td><td><p>0.9913</p></td><td><p>0.9927</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0021</p></td><td><p>1.0013</p></td><td><p>1.0029</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.60</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Georgia</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9896</p></td><td><p>0.9885</p></td><td><p>0.9907</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>1.0006</p></td><td><p>0.9994</p></td><td><p>1.0018</p></td><td><p>0.92</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9831</p></td><td><p>0.9819</p></td><td><p>0.9844</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9993</p></td><td><p>0.9979</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.92</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9856</p></td><td><p>0.9842</p></td><td><p>0.9870</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0089</p></td><td><p>1.0073</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.27</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9829</p></td><td><p>0.9814</p></td><td><p>0.9844</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.35</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9818</p></td><td><p>0.9802</p></td><td><p>0.9834</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.37</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Illinois</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>1.0039</p></td><td><p>1.0048</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0045</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td><td><p>1.0118</p></td><td><p>1.0112</p></td><td><p>1.0124</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0025</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>0.40</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>1.0107</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9992</p></td><td><p>0.9986</p></td><td><p>0.9999</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9951</p></td><td><p>0.9944</p></td><td><p>0.9958</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>0.08</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Indiana</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9706</p></td><td><p>0.9695</p></td><td><p>0.9718</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9956</p></td><td><p>0.9942</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.53</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9639</p></td><td><p>0.9626</p></td><td><p>0.9653</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9991</p></td><td><p>0.9975</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.91</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9607</p></td><td><p>0.9592</p></td><td><p>0.9621</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0012</p></td><td><p>0.9995</p></td><td><p>1.0030</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.89</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9583</p></td><td><p>0.9567</p></td><td><p>0.9599</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0033</p></td><td><p>1.0014</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.74</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9601</p></td><td><p>0.9583</p></td><td><p>0.9619</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.34</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Kansas</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0279</p></td><td><p>1.0258</p></td><td><p>1.0300</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0405</p></td><td><p>1.0381</p></td><td><p>1.0428</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>1.0097</p></td><td><p>1.0144</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td><td><p>1.0243</p></td><td><p>1.0217</p></td><td><p>1.0270</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.07</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9969</p></td><td><p>0.9944</p></td><td><p>0.9995</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.56</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9829</p></td><td><p>0.9801</p></td><td><p>0.9856</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>0.9939</p></td><td><p>1.0001</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.85</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9739</p></td><td><p>0.9710</p></td><td><p>0.9769</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>0.9914</p></td><td><p>0.9881</p></td><td><p>0.9948</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.62</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Massachusetts</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0166</p></td><td><p>1.0160</p></td><td><p>1.0173</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0162</p></td><td><p>1.0154</p></td><td><p>1.0169</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0149</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>1.0157</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0162</p></td><td><p>1.0154</p></td><td><p>1.0170</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0134</p></td><td><p>1.0126</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0151</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>1.0161</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>1.0097</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0118</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Michigan</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0044</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>1.0127</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0191</p></td><td><p>1.0184</p></td><td><p>1.0199</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td><td><p>1.0175</p></td><td><p>1.0166</p></td><td><p>1.0183</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0040</p></td><td><p>1.0032</p></td><td><p>1.0048</p></td><td><p>0.33</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0119</p></td><td><p>1.0137</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.0015</p></td><td><p>1.0033</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Missouri</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0174</p></td><td><p>1.0165</p></td><td><p>1.0183</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0112</p></td><td><p>1.0102</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0190</p></td><td><p>1.0180</p></td><td><p>1.0200</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0123</p></td><td><p>1.0111</p></td><td><p>1.0134</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0177</p></td><td><p>1.0166</p></td><td><p>1.0188</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.06</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0145</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p>1.0157</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.23</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>1.0020</p></td><td><p>1.0048</p></td><td><p>0.64</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>New Hampshire</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0243</p></td><td><p>1.0222</p></td><td><p>1.0265</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0283</p></td><td><p>1.0259</p></td><td><p>1.0307</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0183</p></td><td><p>1.0158</p></td><td><p>1.0209</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>1.0229</p></td><td><p>1.0201</p></td><td><p>1.0258</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0127</p></td><td><p>0.50</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0140</p></td><td><p>0.5</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9932</p></td><td><p>0.9902</p></td><td><p>0.9963</p></td><td><p>0.67</p></td><td><p>0.9889</p></td><td><p>0.9855</p></td><td><p>0.9924</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9899</p></td><td><p>0.9866</p></td><td><p>0.9932</p></td><td><p>0.55</p></td><td><p>0.9857</p></td><td><p>0.9819</p></td><td><p>0.9895</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>New Jersey</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0152</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>1.0159</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0152</p></td><td><p>1.0144</p></td><td><p>1.0159</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0138</p></td><td><p>1.0130</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>1.0112</p></td><td><p>1.0129</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0134</p></td><td><p>1.0125</p></td><td><p>1.0144</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0129</p></td><td><p>1.0118</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0054</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>1.0124</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Ohio</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0102</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.0041</p></td><td><p>1.0033</p></td><td><p>1.0048</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0030</p></td><td><p>1.0022</p></td><td><p>1.0037</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td><td><p>0.9996</p></td><td><p>0.9988</p></td><td><p>1.0005</p></td><td><p>0.93</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0008</p></td><td><p>1.0000</p></td><td><p>1.0016</p></td><td><p>0.85</p></td><td><p>0.9956</p></td><td><p>0.9947</p></td><td><p>0.9965</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Texas</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0082</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0107</p></td><td><p>1.0102</p></td><td><p>1.0112</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>1.0102</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0126</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0012</p></td><td><p>1.0006</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9999</p></td><td><p>0.9993</p></td><td><p>1.0006</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement G.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Exposure</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>California</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0131</p></td><td><p>1.0115</p></td><td><p>1.0147</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0046</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td><td><p>1.0009</p></td><td><p>0.9989</p></td><td><p>1.0029</p></td><td><p>0.93</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0064</p></td><td><p>1.0045</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td><td><p>1.0018</p></td><td><p>0.9996</p></td><td><p>1.0039</p></td><td><p>0.87</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0097</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>1.0018</p></td><td><p>0.9995</p></td><td><p>1.0041</p></td><td><p>0.88</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0137</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>0.9999</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>0.85</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Florida</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0115</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0165</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0044</p></td><td><p>1.0152</p></td><td><p>0.72</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0002</p></td><td><p>0.9946</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td><td><p>0.9966</p></td><td><p>0.9905</p></td><td><p>1.0027</p></td><td><p>0.91</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9885</p></td><td><p>0.9824</p></td><td><p>0.9947</p></td><td><p>0.72</p></td><td><p>0.9857</p></td><td><p>0.9789</p></td><td><p>0.9925</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9952</p></td><td><p>0.9886</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td><td><p>0.9890</p></td><td><p>0.9817</p></td><td><p>0.9964</p></td><td><p>0.77</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0230</p></td><td><p>1.0159</p></td><td><p>1.0302</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>1.0244</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Georgia</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0284</p></td><td><p>1.0187</p></td><td><p>1.0383</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td><td><p>1.0402</p></td><td><p>1.0292</p></td><td><p>1.0513</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0243</p></td><td><p>1.0134</p></td><td><p>1.0353</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td><td><p>1.0457</p></td><td><p>1.0331</p></td><td><p>1.0585</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0373</p></td><td><p>1.0251</p></td><td><p>1.0496</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td><td><p>1.0619</p></td><td><p>1.0476</p></td><td><p>1.0764</p></td><td><p>0.39</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0495</p></td><td><p>1.0361</p></td><td><p>1.0631</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td><td><p>1.0869</p></td><td><p>1.0710</p></td><td><p>1.1030</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0644</p></td><td><p>1.0499</p></td><td><p>1.0792</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td><td><p>1.1123</p></td><td><p>1.0947</p></td><td><p>1.1301</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Illinois</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0054</p></td><td><p>1.0089</p></td><td><p>0.42</p></td><td><p>1.0145</p></td><td><p>1.0125</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td><td><p>1.0157</p></td><td><p>1.0135</p></td><td><p>1.0180</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>1.0193</p></td><td><p>1.0168</p></td><td><p>1.0218</p></td><td><p>0.13</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>1.0033</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>1.0136</p></td><td><p>1.0192</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>1.0004</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td><td><p>1.0126</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>1.0157</p></td><td><p>0.42</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Indiana</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0775</p></td><td><p>1.0720</p></td><td><p>1.0830</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0856</p></td><td><p>1.0797</p></td><td><p>1.0917</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0781</p></td><td><p>1.0719</p></td><td><p>1.0843</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0804</p></td><td><p>1.0737</p></td><td><p>1.0872</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0657</p></td><td><p>1.0589</p></td><td><p>1.0725</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0595</p></td><td><p>1.0521</p></td><td><p>1.0669</p></td><td><p>0.1</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0581</p></td><td><p>1.0507</p></td><td><p>1.0655</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td><td><p>1.0484</p></td><td><p>1.0405</p></td><td><p>1.0564</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0586</p></td><td><p>1.0506</p></td><td><p>1.0667</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td><td><p>1.0490</p></td><td><p>1.0405</p></td><td><p>1.0577</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Kansas</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9561</p></td><td><p>0.9444</p></td><td><p>0.9680</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>0.9625</p></td><td><p>0.9495</p></td><td><p>0.9756</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9770</p></td><td><p>0.9634</p></td><td><p>0.9908</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td><td><p>0.9981</p></td><td><p>0.9827</p></td><td><p>1.0138</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0025</p></td><td><p>0.9873</p></td><td><p>1.0180</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td><td><p>1.0254</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0431</p></td><td><p>0.77</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0396</p></td><td><p>1.0225</p></td><td><p>1.0570</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>1.0873</p></td><td><p>1.0673</p></td><td><p>1.1077</p></td><td><p>0.38</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0649</p></td><td><p>1.0460</p></td><td><p>1.0840</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td><td><p>1.1367</p></td><td><p>1.1140</p></td><td><p>1.1598</p></td><td><p>0.21</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Massachusetts</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9984</p></td><td><p>0.9960</p></td><td><p>1.0009</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td><td><p>0.9968</p></td><td><p>0.9941</p></td><td><p>0.9995</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0046</p></td><td><p>1.0017</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>0.76</p></td><td><p>1.0036</p></td><td><p>1.0004</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9955</p></td><td><p>0.9922</p></td><td><p>0.9988</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>0.9933</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>0.87</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9887</p></td><td><p>0.9851</p></td><td><p>0.9923</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td><td><p>0.9894</p></td><td><p>0.9853</p></td><td><p>0.9935</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9839</p></td><td><p>0.9800</p></td><td><p>0.9879</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td><td><p>0.9851</p></td><td><p>0.9807</p></td><td><p>0.9896</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Michigan</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0121</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0149</p></td><td><p>0.39</p></td><td><p>1.0197</p></td><td><p>1.0167</p></td><td><p>1.0228</p></td><td><p>0.2</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0026</p></td><td><p>0.9995</p></td><td><p>1.0057</p></td><td><p>0.87</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>1.0129</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td><td><p>1.0118</p></td><td><p>1.0079</p></td><td><p>1.0157</p></td><td><p>0.55</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>1.0020</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>0.77</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>1.0147</p></td><td><p>0.63</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0052</p></td><td><p>1.0010</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td><td><p>1.0127</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0174</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Missouri</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0262</p></td><td><p>1.0206</p></td><td><p>1.0319</p></td><td><p>0.35</p></td><td><p>1.0412</p></td><td><p>1.0349</p></td><td><p>1.0475</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0195</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>1.0258</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td><td><p>1.0253</p></td><td><p>1.0183</p></td><td><p>1.0324</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0311</p></td><td><p>1.0241</p></td><td><p>1.0381</p></td><td><p>0.38</p></td><td><p>1.0473</p></td><td><p>1.0394</p></td><td><p>1.0553</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0159</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0235</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td><td><p>1.0407</p></td><td><p>1.0321</p></td><td><p>1.0494</p></td><td><p>0.35</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9988</p></td><td><p>0.9909</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td><td><p>1.0288</p></td><td><p>1.0196</p></td><td><p>1.0381</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>New Hampshire</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0593</p></td><td><p>1.0313</p></td><td><p>1.0881</p></td><td><p>0.67</p></td><td><p>1.1049</p></td><td><p>1.0732</p></td><td><p>1.1375</p></td><td><p>0.5</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9618</p></td><td><p>0.9318</p></td><td><p>0.9928</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td><td><p>0.9531</p></td><td><p>0.9205</p></td><td><p>0.9868</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9259</p></td><td><p>0.8930</p></td><td><p>0.9601</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td><td><p>0.8824</p></td><td><p>0.8480</p></td><td><p>0.9182</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.8920</p></td><td><p>0.8570</p></td><td><p>0.9284</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td><td><p>0.8629</p></td><td><p>0.8255</p></td><td><p>0.9020</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.7826</p></td><td><p>0.7483</p></td><td><p>0.8185</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>0.7777</p></td><td><p>0.7403</p></td><td><p>0.8169</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>New Jersey</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9974</p></td><td><p>0.9950</p></td><td><p>0.9999</p></td><td><p>0.84</p></td><td><p>0.9950</p></td><td><p>0.9924</p></td><td><p>0.9977</p></td><td><p>0.71</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9943</p></td><td><p>0.9915</p></td><td><p>0.9972</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>0.9890</p></td><td><p>0.9859</p></td><td><p>0.9920</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9920</p></td><td><p>0.9888</p></td><td><p>0.9952</p></td><td><p>0.63</p></td><td><p>0.9898</p></td><td><p>0.9863</p></td><td><p>0.9933</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9906</p></td><td><p>0.9870</p></td><td><p>0.9943</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td><td><p>0.9920</p></td><td><p>0.9881</p></td><td><p>0.9960</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9878</p></td><td><p>0.9839</p></td><td><p>0.9918</p></td><td><p>0.55</p></td><td><p>0.9899</p></td><td><p>0.9855</p></td><td><p>0.9942</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Ohio</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9978</p></td><td><p>0.9942</p></td><td><p>1.0013</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td><td><p>0.9990</p></td><td><p>0.9952</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>0.96</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9976</p></td><td><p>0.9937</p></td><td><p>1.0017</p></td><td><p>0.91</p></td><td><p>1.0002</p></td><td><p>0.9959</p></td><td><p>1.0045</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9937</p></td><td><p>0.9893</p></td><td><p>0.9982</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td><td><p>0.9961</p></td><td><p>0.9913</p></td><td><p>1.0009</p></td><td><p>0.87</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9977</p></td><td><p>0.9928</p></td><td><p>1.0027</p></td><td><p>0.93</p></td><td><p>1.0005</p></td><td><p>0.9951</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0000</p></td><td><p>0.9946</p></td><td><p>1.0054</p></td><td><p>1.00</p></td><td><p>1.0018</p></td><td><p>0.9960</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>0.95</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>Texas</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9901</p></td><td><p>0.9853</p></td><td><p>0.9949</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>0.9684</p></td><td><p>0.9634</p></td><td><p>0.9735</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9836</p></td><td><p>0.9782</p></td><td><p>0.9891</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td><td><p>0.9667</p></td><td><p>0.9609</p></td><td><p>0.9725</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9861</p></td><td><p>0.9800</p></td><td><p>0.9921</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>0.9765</p></td><td><p>0.9699</p></td><td><p>0.9831</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9957</p></td><td><p>0.9891</p></td><td><p>1.0023</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td><td><p>0.9855</p></td><td><p>0.9783</p></td><td><p>0.9928</p></td><td><p>0.7</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0010</p></td><td><p>1.0154</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td><td><p>0.9958</p></td><td><p>0.9879</p></td><td><p>1.0037</p></td><td><p>0.92</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement H.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2000</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9485</p></td><td><p>0.8922</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>0.4763</p></td><td><p>0.4465</p></td><td><p>0.5081</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0005</p></td><td><p>0.9456</p></td><td><p>1.0587</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td><td><p>0.8542</p></td><td><p>0.8043</p></td><td><p>0.9073</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9966</p></td><td><p>0.9280</p></td><td><p>1.0702</p></td><td><p>0.92</p></td><td><p>0.7894</p></td><td><p>0.7312</p></td><td><p>0.8523</p></td><td><p>0.55</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9807</p></td><td><p>0.8987</p></td><td><p>1.0703</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td><td><p>1.0744</p></td><td><p>0.9767</p></td><td><p>1.1818</p></td><td><p>0.88</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2001</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9800</p></td><td><p>0.9237</p></td><td><p>1.0397</p></td><td><p>0.50</p></td><td><p>0.6833</p></td><td><p>0.6401</p></td><td><p>0.7294</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0296</p></td><td><p>0.9751</p></td><td><p>1.0872</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td><td><p>1.0925</p></td><td><p>1.0298</p></td><td><p>1.1589</p></td><td><p>0.77</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0372</p></td><td><p>0.9683</p></td><td><p>1.1110</p></td><td><p>0.30</p></td><td><p>1.9251</p></td><td><p>1.7879</p></td><td><p>2.0728</p></td><td><p>0.08</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9641</p></td><td><p>0.8776</p></td><td><p>1.0591</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td><td><p>0.8348</p></td><td><p>0.7553</p></td><td><p>0.9226</p></td><td><p>0.72</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2002</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9943</p></td><td><p>0.9341</p></td><td><p>1.0585</p></td><td><p>0.86</p></td><td><p>1.0278</p></td><td><p>0.9618</p></td><td><p>1.0983</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9934</p></td><td><p>0.9368</p></td><td><p>1.0534</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>0.9345</p></td><td><p>1.0637</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9974</p></td><td><p>0.9289</p></td><td><p>1.0709</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td><td><p>0.8534</p></td><td><p>0.7901</p></td><td><p>0.9219</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9641</p></td><td><p>0.8776</p></td><td><p>1.0591</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td><td><p>0.5669</p></td><td><p>0.5068</p></td><td><p>0.6343</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2003</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9973</p></td><td><p>0.9315</p></td><td><p>1.0677</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td><td><p>0.9187</p></td><td><p>0.8514</p></td><td><p>0.9912</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0660</p></td><td><p>1.0017</p></td><td><p>1.1344</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.6054</p></td><td><p>1.5012</p></td><td><p>1.7169</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.17</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9674</p></td><td><p>0.8944</p></td><td><p>1.0463</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td><td><p>0.6832</p></td><td><p>0.6288</p></td><td><p>0.7423</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9424</p></td><td><p>0.8576</p></td><td><p>1.0355</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td><td><p>0.4967</p></td><td><p>0.4496</p></td><td><p>0.5488</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2004</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0521</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>1.0953</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.4140</p></td><td><p>1.3538</p></td><td><p>1.4770</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.12</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0301</p></td><td><p>0.9911</p></td><td><p>1.0706</p></td><td><p>0.13</p></td><td><p>1.1508</p></td><td><p>1.1043</p></td><td><p>1.1993</p></td><td><p>0.50</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0119</p></td><td><p>0.9655</p></td><td><p>1.0606</p></td><td><p>0.62</p></td><td><p>1.3339</p></td><td><p>1.2687</p></td><td><p>1.4025</p></td><td><p>0.26</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0559</p></td><td><p>0.9986</p></td><td><p>1.1164</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td><td><p>1.7391</p></td><td><p>1.6377</p></td><td><p>1.8468</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2005</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9626</p></td><td><p>0.9226</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>0.08</p></td><td><p>0.5985</p></td><td><p>0.5712</p></td><td><p>0.6271</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9893</p></td><td><p>0.9503</p></td><td><p>1.0299</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td><td><p>0.9058</p></td><td><p>0.8673</p></td><td><p>0.9459</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9827</p></td><td><p>0.9368</p></td><td><p>1.0309</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td><td><p>0.6965</p></td><td><p>0.6617</p></td><td><p>0.7331</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9788</p></td><td><p>0.9238</p></td><td><p>1.0370</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td><td><p>0.9771</p></td><td><p>0.9176</p></td><td><p>1.0405</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2006</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0057</p></td><td><p>0.9631</p></td><td><p>1.0502</p></td><td><p>0.80</p></td><td><p>1.1723</p></td><td><p>1.1160</p></td><td><p>1.2314</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0389</p></td><td><p>0.9929</p></td><td><p>1.0871</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td><td><p>1.9436</p></td><td><p>1.8524</p></td><td><p>2.0393</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>0.9600</p></td><td><p>1.0639</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>1.1397</p></td><td><p>1.0798</p></td><td><p>1.2029</p></td><td><p>0.63</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9787</p></td><td><p>0.9237</p></td><td><p>1.0370</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td><td><p>0.9307</p></td><td><p>0.8750</p></td><td><p>0.9900</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2007</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0045</p></td><td><p>0.9928</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td><td><p>1.1170</p></td><td><p>1.1022</p></td><td><p>1.1320</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>0.9953</p></td><td><p>1.0256</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td><td><p>1.0935</p></td><td><p>1.0760</p></td><td><p>1.1113</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9876</p></td><td><p>0.9695</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td><td><p>0.9083</p></td><td><p>0.8905</p></td><td><p>0.9265</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>0.9868</p></td><td><p>1.0322</p></td><td><p>0.42</p></td><td><p>1.2268</p></td><td><p>1.1974</p></td><td><p>1.2568</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2008</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>0.9919</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td><td><p>1.0166</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>1.0290</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9990</p></td><td><p>0.9845</p></td><td><p>1.0136</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td><td><p>0.9874</p></td><td><p>0.9719</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>0.87</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0150</p></td><td><p>0.9978</p></td><td><p>1.0326</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.1603</p></td><td><p>1.1389</p></td><td><p>1.1821</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>0.9904</p></td><td><p>1.0321</p></td><td><p>0.30</p></td><td><p>1.1741</p></td><td><p>1.1483</p></td><td><p>1.2005</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2009</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0017</p></td><td><p>0.9924</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>0.73</p></td><td><p>1.0548</p></td><td><p>1.0440</p></td><td><p>1.0658</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>0.9964</p></td><td><p>1.0223</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td><td><p>1.0897</p></td><td><p>1.0749</p></td><td><p>1.1048</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9969</p></td><td><p>0.9814</p></td><td><p>1.0126</p></td><td><p>0.70</p></td><td><p>1.0539</p></td><td><p>1.0363</p></td><td><p>1.0717</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9867</p></td><td><p>0.9670</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td><td><p>0.8997</p></td><td><p>0.8804</p></td><td><p>0.9194</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2010</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0260</p></td><td><p>1.0159</p></td><td><p>1.0361</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.1450</p></td><td><p>1.1323</p></td><td><p>1.1578</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>0.9939</p></td><td><p>1.0212</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>0.9894</p></td><td><p>0.9751</p></td><td><p>1.0041</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0171</p></td><td><p>1.0005</p></td><td><p>1.0340</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.1348</p></td><td><p>1.1147</p></td><td><p>1.1552</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.16</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0312</p></td><td><p>1.0109</p></td><td><p>1.0519</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2961</p></td><td><p>1.2684</p></td><td><p>1.3245</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2011</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0004</p></td><td><p>0.9906</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td><td><p>1.1202</p></td><td><p>1.1079</p></td><td><p>1.1326</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0148</p></td><td><p>1.0011</p></td><td><p>1.0288</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2305</p></td><td><p>1.2127</p></td><td><p>1.2487</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9869</p></td><td><p>0.9705</p></td><td><p>1.0036</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td><td><p>0.9523</p></td><td><p>0.9354</p></td><td><p>0.9696</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0042</p></td><td><p>0.9838</p></td><td><p>1.0250</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>1.0736</p></td><td><p>1.0502</p></td><td><p>1.0975</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2012</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0305</p></td><td><p>1.0205</p></td><td><p>1.0406</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2161</p></td><td><p>1.2029</p></td><td><p>1.2295</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0189</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0325</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.1252</p></td><td><p>1.1093</p></td><td><p>1.1413</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.10</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0180</p></td><td><p>1.0016</p></td><td><p>1.0347</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.1157</p></td><td><p>1.0964</p></td><td><p>1.1353</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.22</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0237</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>1.0444</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2335</p></td><td><p>1.2073</p></td><td><p>1.2604</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.06</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2013</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0168</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0266</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2231</p></td><td><p>1.2104</p></td><td><p>1.2360</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>0.9908</p></td><td><p>1.0181</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td><td><p>1.0971</p></td><td><p>1.0812</p></td><td><p>1.1133</p></td><td><p>0.21</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>0.9939</p></td><td><p>1.0279</p></td><td><p>0.21</p></td><td><p>1.1586</p></td><td><p>1.1380</p></td><td><p>1.1797</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0225</p></td><td><p>1.0023</p></td><td><p>1.0431</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2665</p></td><td><p>1.2398</p></td><td><p>1.2939</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2014</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9986</p></td><td><p>0.9882</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td><td><p>1.0207</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>1.0327</p></td><td><p>0.73</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>0.9829</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td><td><p>0.9818</p></td><td><p>0.9669</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9953</p></td><td><p>0.9782</p></td><td><p>1.0127</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td><td><p>0.9519</p></td><td><p>0.9342</p></td><td><p>0.9699</p></td><td><p>0.61</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>0.9858</p></td><td><p>1.0301</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td><td><p>1.0709</p></td><td><p>1.0458</p></td><td><p>1.0966</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2015</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>0.9947</p></td><td><p>1.0156</p></td><td><p>0.33</p></td><td><p>1.2467</p></td><td><p>1.2328</p></td><td><p>1.2607</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>0.9930</p></td><td><p>1.0214</p></td><td><p>0.33</p></td><td><p>1.1541</p></td><td><p>1.1368</p></td><td><p>1.1717</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0177</p></td><td><p>1.0003</p></td><td><p>1.0354</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.3149</p></td><td><p>1.2909</p></td><td><p>1.3393</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0173</p></td><td><p>0.9963</p></td><td><p>1.0388</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td><td><p>1.3036</p></td><td><p>1.2747</p></td><td><p>1.3332</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2016</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0296</p></td><td><p>1.0186</p></td><td><p>1.0406</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.1412</p></td><td><p>1.1278</p></td><td><p>1.1549</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0277</p></td><td><p>1.0127</p></td><td><p>1.0430</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.1876</p></td><td><p>1.1688</p></td><td><p>1.2066</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0295</p></td><td><p>1.0112</p></td><td><p>1.0482</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.2437</p></td><td><p>1.2199</p></td><td><p>1.2681</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0230</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>1.0457</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0712</p></td><td><p>1.0462</p></td><td><p>1.0968</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.57</b>\n</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>\n<i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement H.</i>\n</p><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Heat day</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2000</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9443</p></td><td><p>0.7704</p></td><td><p>1.1574</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td><td><p>0.4969</p></td><td><p>0.4010</p></td><td><p>0.6156</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.1722</p></td><td><p>0.8804</p></td><td><p>1.5607</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td><td><p>2.9312</p></td><td><p>2.1560</p></td><td><p>3.9851</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0136</p></td><td><p>0.7107</p></td><td><p>1.4456</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td><td><p>1.0813</p></td><td><p>0.7442</p></td><td><p>1.5712</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.6749</p></td><td><p>0.4151</p></td><td><p>1.0972</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td><td><p>0.0090</p></td><td><p>0.0054</p></td><td><p>0.0148</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2001</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9519</p></td><td><p>0.7836</p></td><td><p>1.1562</p></td><td><p>0.62</p></td><td><p>0.5014</p></td><td><p>0.4020</p></td><td><p>0.6253</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0473</p></td><td><p>0.7939</p></td><td><p>1.3817</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td><td><p>2.9003</p></td><td><p>2.1418</p></td><td><p>3.9274</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.7789</p></td><td><p>0.5235</p></td><td><p>1.1589</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td><td><p>0.0758</p></td><td><p>0.0497</p></td><td><p>0.1156</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.7273</p></td><td><p>0.4233</p></td><td><p>1.2495</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td><td><p>0.0054</p></td><td><p>0.0031</p></td><td><p>0.0094</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2002</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0534</p></td><td><p>0.8531</p></td><td><p>1.3009</p></td><td><p>0.63</p></td><td><p>2.8301</p></td><td><p>2.2310</p></td><td><p>3.5900</p></td><td><p>0.39</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.8775</p></td><td><p>0.6143</p></td><td><p>1.2534</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td><td><p>0.3633</p></td><td><p>0.2439</p></td><td><p>0.5413</p></td><td><p>0.62</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.6871</p></td><td><p>0.4391</p></td><td><p>1.0749</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td><td><p>0.0174</p></td><td><p>0.0106</p></td><td><p>0.0284</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.7273</p></td><td><p>0.4233</p></td><td><p>1.2495</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td><td><p>69.4835</p></td><td><p>38.8563</p></td><td><p>124.2519</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2003</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.1611</p></td><td><p>0.9524</p></td><td><p>1.4156</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td><td><p>11.6884</p></td><td><p>9.3215</p></td><td><p>14.6564</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.1348</p></td><td><p>0.8162</p></td><td><p>1.5778</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td><td><p>9.7846</p></td><td><p>6.8295</p></td><td><p>14.0183</p></td><td><p>0.21</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9508</p></td><td><p>0.6196</p></td><td><p>1.4588</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td><td><p>0.9024</p></td><td><p>0.5774</p></td><td><p>1.4103</p></td><td><p>0.96</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.8368</p></td><td><p>1.2226</p></td><td><p>2.7594</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>139.0756</p></td><td><p>91.0386</p></td><td><p>212.4595</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2004</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0272</p></td><td><p>0.9058</p></td><td><p>1.1649</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td><td><p>1.2190</p></td><td><p>1.0593</p></td><td><p>1.4027</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.1850</p></td><td><p>0.9872</p></td><td><p>1.4224</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>8.2959</p></td><td><p>6.7905</p></td><td><p>10.1350</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9205</p></td><td><p>0.7311</p></td><td><p>1.1589</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td><td><p>0.2940</p></td><td><p>0.2298</p></td><td><p>0.3760</p></td><td><p>0.33</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.8037</p></td><td><p>0.5995</p></td><td><p>1.0774</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td><td><p>0.0853</p></td><td><p>0.0623</p></td><td><p>0.1168</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2005</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.1008</p></td><td><p>0.9672</p></td><td><p>1.2528</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>4.3792</p></td><td><p>3.7878</p></td><td><p>5.0630</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0888</p></td><td><p>0.8956</p></td><td><p>1.3237</p></td><td><p>0.39</p></td><td><p>3.6774</p></td><td><p>2.9680</p></td><td><p>4.5565</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0895</p></td><td><p>0.8674</p></td><td><p>1.3686</p></td><td><p>0.46</p></td><td><p>5.1398</p></td><td><p>4.0145</p></td><td><p>6.5806</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.2123</p></td><td><p>0.9225</p></td><td><p>1.5930</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td><td><p>4.0832</p></td><td><p>3.0138</p></td><td><p>5.5322</p></td><td><p>0.36</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2006</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0740</p></td><td><p>0.9331</p></td><td><p>1.2362</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td><td><p>0.9767</p></td><td><p>0.8337</p></td><td><p>1.1441</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0997</p></td><td><p>0.8785</p></td><td><p>1.3766</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td><td><p>0.9290</p></td><td><p>0.7339</p></td><td><p>1.1759</p></td><td><p>0.95</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9565</p></td><td><p>0.7413</p></td><td><p>1.2342</p></td><td><p>0.73</p></td><td><p>0.6484</p></td><td><p>0.4960</p></td><td><p>0.8477</p></td><td><p>0.75</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0563</p></td><td><p>0.7933</p></td><td><p>1.4066</p></td><td><p>0.71</p></td><td><p>0.6745</p></td><td><p>0.4949</p></td><td><p>0.9193</p></td><td><p>0.80</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2007</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9811</p></td><td><p>0.9142</p></td><td><p>1.0528</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td><td><p>0.9392</p></td><td><p>0.8684</p></td><td><p>1.0158</p></td><td><p>0.88</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0253</p></td><td><p>0.9251</p></td><td><p>1.1362</p></td><td><p>0.63</p></td><td><p>1.3820</p></td><td><p>1.2352</p></td><td><p>1.5462</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9631</p></td><td><p>0.8473</p></td><td><p>1.0947</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td><td><p>0.6048</p></td><td><p>0.5268</p></td><td><p>0.6942</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9373</p></td><td><p>0.7976</p></td><td><p>1.1014</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td><td><p>0.6173</p></td><td><p>0.5195</p></td><td><p>0.7337</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2008</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9911</p></td><td><p>0.9321</p></td><td><p>1.0539</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td><td><p>0.7301</p></td><td><p>0.6818</p></td><td><p>0.7819</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>0.9164</p></td><td><p>1.1063</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td><td><p>1.0202</p></td><td><p>0.9208</p></td><td><p>1.1304</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9947</p></td><td><p>0.8893</p></td><td><p>1.1125</p></td><td><p>0.93</p></td><td><p>0.7201</p></td><td><p>0.6378</p></td><td><p>0.8131</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9543</p></td><td><p>0.8341</p></td><td><p>1.0917</p></td><td><p>0.50</p></td><td><p>0.4485</p></td><td><p>0.3883</p></td><td><p>0.5179</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2009</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9772</p></td><td><p>0.9251</p></td><td><p>1.0323</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td><td><p>0.6014</p></td><td><p>0.5658</p></td><td><p>0.6392</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9188</p></td><td><p>0.8427</p></td><td><p>1.0018</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td><td><p>0.3385</p></td><td><p>0.3088</p></td><td><p>0.3711</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0168</p></td><td><p>0.9162</p></td><td><p>1.1285</p></td><td><p>0.75</p></td><td><p>1.2062</p></td><td><p>1.0793</p></td><td><p>1.3480</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.1579</p></td><td><p>1.0202</p></td><td><p>1.3143</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>3.3197</p></td><td><p>2.8967</p></td><td><p>3.8044</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.08</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2010</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0593</p></td><td><p>0.9985</p></td><td><p>1.1236</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td><td><p>2.0142</p></td><td><p>1.8878</p></td><td><p>2.1490</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0025</p></td><td><p>0.9122</p></td><td><p>1.1018</p></td><td><p>0.96</p></td><td><p>1.1307</p></td><td><p>1.0210</p></td><td><p>1.2522</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.1280</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.2589</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.8317</p></td><td><p>1.6273</p></td><td><p>2.0618</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.32</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0317</p></td><td><p>0.9023</p></td><td><p>1.1797</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>2.2578</p></td><td><p>1.9498</p></td><td><p>2.6145</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2011</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0357</p></td><td><p>0.9765</p></td><td><p>1.0986</p></td><td><p>0.24</p></td><td><p>1.8924</p></td><td><p>1.7709</p></td><td><p>2.0224</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9989</p></td><td><p>0.9103</p></td><td><p>1.0960</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td><td><p>1.0720</p></td><td><p>0.9697</p></td><td><p>1.1852</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.0005</p></td><td><p>0.8900</p></td><td><p>1.1247</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td><td><p>1.2928</p></td><td><p>1.1393</p></td><td><p>1.4670</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9915</p></td><td><p>0.8611</p></td><td><p>1.1417</p></td><td><p>0.91</p></td><td><p>0.9081</p></td><td><p>0.7800</p></td><td><p>1.0574</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2012</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>0.9502</p></td><td><p>1.0700</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td><td><p>0.7972</p></td><td><p>0.7457</p></td><td><p>0.8522</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9758</p></td><td><p>0.8909</p></td><td><p>1.0688</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td><td><p>0.7121</p></td><td><p>0.6461</p></td><td><p>0.7849</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9859</p></td><td><p>0.8774</p></td><td><p>1.1078</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td><td><p>0.7069</p></td><td><p>0.6248</p></td><td><p>0.7997</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9844</p></td><td><p>0.8542</p></td><td><p>1.1345</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td><td><p>0.6514</p></td><td><p>0.5601</p></td><td><p>0.7575</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2013</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9884</p></td><td><p>0.9332</p></td><td><p>1.0469</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>1.2316</p></td><td><p>1.1568</p></td><td><p>1.3112</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>0.9071</p></td><td><p>1.0958</p></td><td><p>0.95</p></td><td><p>1.2096</p></td><td><p>1.0913</p></td><td><p>1.3406</p></td><td><p>0.72</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9923</p></td><td><p>0.8816</p></td><td><p>1.1168</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td><td><p>1.5142</p></td><td><p>1.3335</p></td><td><p>1.7193</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9897</p></td><td><p>0.8625</p></td><td><p>1.1356</p></td><td><p>0.88</p></td><td><p>1.2006</p></td><td><p>1.0358</p></td><td><p>1.3917</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2014</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>0.9942</p></td><td><p>0.9311</p></td><td><p>1.0616</p></td><td><p>0.86</p></td><td><p>0.7803</p></td><td><p>0.7250</p></td><td><p>0.8397</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0027</p></td><td><p>0.9090</p></td><td><p>1.1060</p></td><td><p>0.96</p></td><td><p>1.0170</p></td><td><p>0.9147</p></td><td><p>1.1308</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>0.9296</p></td><td><p>0.8214</p></td><td><p>1.0520</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td><td><p>0.4366</p></td><td><p>0.3818</p></td><td><p>0.4994</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0659</p></td><td><p>0.9128</p></td><td><p>1.2448</p></td><td><p>0.42</p></td><td><p>1.8001</p></td><td><p>1.5194</p></td><td><p>2.1326</p></td><td><p>0.50</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2015</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.1146</p></td><td><p>1.0457</p></td><td><p>1.1881</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>4.0144</p></td><td><p>3.7491</p></td><td><p>4.2986</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>1.0730</p></td><td><p>0.9751</p></td><td><p>1.1808</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>2.6014</p></td><td><p>2.3470</p></td><td><p>2.8834</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.1101</p></td><td><p>0.9852</p></td><td><p>1.2509</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>4.6836</p></td><td><p>4.1202</p></td><td><p>5.3239</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>1.0207</p></td><td><p>0.8828</p></td><td><p>1.1802</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td><td><p>1.1026</p></td><td><p>0.9431</p></td><td><p>1.2890</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2016</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Any day</p></td><td><p>1.0456</p></td><td><p>0.9784</p></td><td><p>1.1175</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td><td><p>1.7317</p></td><td><p>1.6103</p></td><td><p>1.8622</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>1st day</p></td><td><p>0.9830</p></td><td><p>0.8883</p></td><td><p>1.0877</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td><td><p>0.9885</p></td><td><p>0.8862</p></td><td><p>1.1027</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2nd day</p></td><td><p>1.1660</p></td><td><p>1.0383</p></td><td><p>1.3095</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>3.6850</p></td><td><p>3.2514</p></td><td><p>4.1764</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>3rd day</p></td><td><p>0.9712</p></td><td><p>0.8292</p></td><td><p>1.1374</p></td><td><p>0.72</p></td><td><p>1.3298</p></td><td><p>1.1220</p></td><td><p>1.5762</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement I.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Exposure</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2000</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9216</p></td><td><p>0.9197</p></td><td><p>0.9235</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9833</p></td><td><p>0.9811</p></td><td><p>0.9856</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.16</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.8989</p></td><td><p>0.8967</p></td><td><p>0.9012</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9878</p></td><td><p>0.9851</p></td><td><p>0.9906</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.39</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.8736</p></td><td><p>0.8711</p></td><td><p>0.8761</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9957</p></td><td><p>0.9925</p></td><td><p>0.9990</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.80</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.8453</p></td><td><p>0.8426</p></td><td><p>0.8481</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9959</p></td><td><p>0.9922</p></td><td><p>0.9996</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.83</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.8278</p></td><td><p>0.8249</p></td><td><p>0.8308</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9896</p></td><td><p>0.9856</p></td><td><p>0.9937</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.61</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2001</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0651</p></td><td><p>1.0632</p></td><td><p>1.0670</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0342</p></td><td><p>1.0321</p></td><td><p>1.0364</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.1001</p></td><td><p>1.0978</p></td><td><p>1.1025</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0482</p></td><td><p>1.0456</p></td><td><p>1.0508</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.1190</p></td><td><p>1.1164</p></td><td><p>1.1217</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0489</p></td><td><p>1.0459</p></td><td><p>1.0520</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.1407</p></td><td><p>1.1376</p></td><td><p>1.1437</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0535</p></td><td><p>1.0501</p></td><td><p>1.0569</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.1591</p></td><td><p>1.1557</p></td><td><p>1.1625</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0593</p></td><td><p>1.0555</p></td><td><p>1.0630</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2002</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9930</p></td><td><p>0.9915</p></td><td><p>0.9945</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td><td><p>0.9933</p></td><td><p>0.9916</p></td><td><p>0.9949</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9988</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>1.0006</p></td><td><p>0.90</p></td><td><p>0.9986</p></td><td><p>0.9965</p></td><td><p>1.0006</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9998</p></td><td><p>0.9977</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td><td><p>0.9963</p></td><td><p>0.9940</p></td><td><p>0.9986</p></td><td><p>0.75</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9972</p></td><td><p>0.9948</p></td><td><p>0.9995</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td><td><p>0.9887</p></td><td><p>0.9862</p></td><td><p>0.9913</p></td><td><p>0.40</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9846</p></td><td><p>0.9820</p></td><td><p>0.9871</p></td><td><p>0.24</p></td><td><p>0.9736</p></td><td><p>0.9707</p></td><td><p>0.9764</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2003</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9895</p></td><td><p>0.9877</p></td><td><p>0.9912</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.0054</p></td><td><p>1.0035</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9850</p></td><td><p>0.9828</p></td><td><p>0.9871</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>1.0123</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9590</p></td><td><p>0.9566</p></td><td><p>0.9614</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9940</p></td><td><p>0.9911</p></td><td><p>0.9970</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.69</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9577</p></td><td><p>0.9550</p></td><td><p>0.9604</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9998</p></td><td><p>0.9964</p></td><td><p>1.0032</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.99</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9570</p></td><td><p>0.9540</p></td><td><p>0.9600</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0011</p></td><td><p>0.9973</p></td><td><p>1.0049</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.96</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2004</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0398</p></td><td><p>1.0387</p></td><td><p>1.0410</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0137</p></td><td><p>1.0125</p></td><td><p>1.0149</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0428</p></td><td><p>1.0414</p></td><td><p>1.0441</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0153</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>1.0168</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0410</p></td><td><p>1.0395</p></td><td><p>1.0426</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0153</p></td><td><p>1.0137</p></td><td><p>1.0169</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.06</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0428</p></td><td><p>1.0411</p></td><td><p>1.0445</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0178</p></td><td><p>1.0159</p></td><td><p>1.0196</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0388</p></td><td><p>1.0369</p></td><td><p>1.0407</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0119</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0139</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.24</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2005</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0515</p></td><td><p>1.0503</p></td><td><p>1.0527</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0135</p></td><td><p>1.0122</p></td><td><p>1.0149</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0779</p></td><td><p>1.0764</p></td><td><p>1.0793</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0208</p></td><td><p>1.0192</p></td><td><p>1.0225</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.1114</p></td><td><p>1.1097</p></td><td><p>1.1132</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0290</p></td><td><p>1.0271</p></td><td><p>1.0309</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.1355</p></td><td><p>1.1335</p></td><td><p>1.1375</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0332</p></td><td><p>1.0310</p></td><td><p>1.0353</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.1494</p></td><td><p>1.1472</p></td><td><p>1.1516</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0290</p></td><td><p>1.0267</p></td><td><p>1.0313</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2006</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9910</p></td><td><p>0.9898</p></td><td><p>0.9921</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>1.0122</p></td><td><p>0.11</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9900</p></td><td><p>0.9886</p></td><td><p>0.9914</p></td><td><p>0.16</p></td><td><p>1.0158</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>1.0174</p></td><td><p>0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9841</p></td><td><p>0.9825</p></td><td><p>0.9856</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0194</p></td><td><p>1.0175</p></td><td><p>1.0212</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9782</p></td><td><p>0.9764</p></td><td><p>0.9799</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0202</p></td><td><p>1.0181</p></td><td><p>1.0222</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9759</p></td><td><p>0.9740</p></td><td><p>0.9778</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0237</p></td><td><p>1.0214</p></td><td><p>1.0260</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2007</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0041</p></td><td><p>1.0036</p></td><td><p>1.0045</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0118</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9993</p></td><td><p>0.9988</p></td><td><p>0.9998</p></td><td><p>0.79</p></td><td><p>1.0122</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9944</p></td><td><p>0.9938</p></td><td><p>0.9950</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td><td><p>1.0110</p></td><td><p>1.0103</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9914</p></td><td><p>0.9907</p></td><td><p>0.9920</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9903</p></td><td><p>0.9896</p></td><td><p>0.9910</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2008</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9552</p></td><td><p>0.9547</p></td><td><p>0.9557</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9504</p></td><td><p>0.9498</p></td><td><p>0.9509</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0112</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9413</p></td><td><p>0.9407</p></td><td><p>0.9419</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0095</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9319</p></td><td><p>0.9312</p></td><td><p>0.9325</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.06</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9250</p></td><td><p>0.9243</p></td><td><p>0.9257</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.10</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2009</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0319</p></td><td><p>1.0314</p></td><td><p>1.0324</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0067</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0353</p></td><td><p>1.0347</p></td><td><p>1.0358</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0344</p></td><td><p>1.0338</p></td><td><p>1.0350</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0346</p></td><td><p>1.0339</p></td><td><p>1.0352</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0355</p></td><td><p>1.0348</p></td><td><p>1.0362</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0061</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.08</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2010</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0268</p></td><td><p>1.0263</p></td><td><p>1.0273</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0102</p></td><td><p>1.0097</p></td><td><p>1.0107</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0374</p></td><td><p>1.0368</p></td><td><p>1.0379</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0136</p></td><td><p>1.0131</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0425</p></td><td><p>1.0419</p></td><td><p>1.0431</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0126</p></td><td><p>1.0120</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0442</p></td><td><p>1.0435</p></td><td><p>1.0448</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>1.0120</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0436</p></td><td><p>1.0429</p></td><td><p>1.0443</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2011</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0097</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0066</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>1.0096</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0013</p></td><td><p>1.0007</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>0.68</p></td><td><p>1.0097</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9960</p></td><td><p>0.9953</p></td><td><p>0.9966</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0076</p></td><td><p>1.0090</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9934</p></td><td><p>0.9927</p></td><td><p>0.9941</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0069</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2012</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9969</p></td><td><p>0.9964</p></td><td><p>0.9974</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>1.0057</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9966</p></td><td><p>0.9961</p></td><td><p>0.9972</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9914</p></td><td><p>0.9908</p></td><td><p>0.9920</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>1.0036</p></td><td><p>1.0050</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.22</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9859</p></td><td><p>0.9853</p></td><td><p>0.9866</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0005</p></td><td><p>0.9998</p></td><td><p>1.0012</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.9</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9819</p></td><td><p>0.9813</p></td><td><p>0.9826</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9995</p></td><td><p>0.9987</p></td><td><p>1.0003</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.91</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2013</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0155</p></td><td><p>1.0150</p></td><td><p>1.0160</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0051</p></td><td><p>1.0045</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.07</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0204</p></td><td><p>1.0198</p></td><td><p>1.0209</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0087</p></td><td><p>1.0081</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0264</p></td><td><p>1.0258</p></td><td><p>1.0270</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0078</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0342</p></td><td><p>1.0336</p></td><td><p>1.0349</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0056</p></td><td><p>1.0071</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.08</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0416</p></td><td><p>1.0409</p></td><td><p>1.0423</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0042</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>1.0050</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.29</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2014</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9768</p></td><td><p>0.9763</p></td><td><p>0.9773</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0037</p></td><td><p>1.0032</p></td><td><p>1.0043</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.21</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9775</p></td><td><p>0.9769</p></td><td><p>0.9780</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0040</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.3</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9756</p></td><td><p>0.9750</p></td><td><p>0.9762</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0025</p></td><td><p>1.0018</p></td><td><p>1.0032</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.48</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9732</p></td><td><p>0.9726</p></td><td><p>0.9738</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0023</p></td><td><p>1.0015</p></td><td><p>1.0030</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.55</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9711</p></td><td><p>0.9705</p></td><td><p>0.9718</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.0016</p></td><td><p>1.0032</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.56</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2015</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0257</p></td><td><p>1.0251</p></td><td><p>1.0262</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0262</p></td><td><p>1.0256</p></td><td><p>1.0268</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0084</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0248</p></td><td><p>1.0241</p></td><td><p>1.0254</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.06</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0246</p></td><td><p>1.0239</p></td><td><p>1.0253</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0054</p></td><td><p>1.0047</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.17</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0277</p></td><td><p>1.0269</p></td><td><p>1.0285</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0063</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.14</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2016</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0261</p></td><td><p>1.0255</p></td><td><p>1.0267</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0107</p></td><td><p>1.0100</p></td><td><p>1.0113</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0302</p></td><td><p>1.0295</p></td><td><p>1.0309</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0344</p></td><td><p>1.0336</p></td><td><p>1.0351</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0125</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0353</p></td><td><p>1.0345</p></td><td><p>1.0361</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0115</p></td><td><p>1.0106</p></td><td><p>1.0124</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0333</p></td><td><p>1.0324</p></td><td><p>1.0342</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>1.0107</p></td><td><p>< 0.05</p></td></tr></tbody></table><h4><i>Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement I.</i></h4><table><thead><tr><th> </th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>Old estimate</p></th><th colspan=\"4\"><p>New estimate</p></th></tr><tr><th><p>Exposure</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th><th><p>Estimate</p></th><th><p>2.5%</p></th><th><p>97.5%</p></th><th><p>p</p></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2000</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0093</p></td><td><p>1.0003</p></td><td><p>1.0185</p></td><td><p>0.84</p></td><td><p>1.0127</p></td><td><p>1.0028</p></td><td><p>1.0227</p></td><td><p>0.80</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9539</p></td><td><p>0.9435</p></td><td><p>0.9644</p></td><td><p>0.40</p></td><td><p>0.9506</p></td><td><p>0.9392</p></td><td><p>0.9621</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.8877</p></td><td><p>0.8763</p></td><td><p>0.8992</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>0.8912</p></td><td><p>0.8785</p></td><td><p>0.9041</p></td><td><p>0.12</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.8555</p></td><td><p>0.8431</p></td><td><p>0.8682</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.8743</p></td><td><p>0.8601</p></td><td><p>0.8889</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.11</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.8119</p></td><td><p>0.7987</p></td><td><p>0.8253</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.8400</p></td><td><p>0.8246</p></td><td><p>0.8557</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.06</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2001</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0206</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>1.0280</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td><td><p>1.0262</p></td><td><p>1.0178</p></td><td><p>1.0346</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0358</p></td><td><p>1.0272</p></td><td><p>1.0446</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td><td><p>1.0482</p></td><td><p>1.0381</p></td><td><p>1.0584</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0289</p></td><td><p>1.0192</p></td><td><p>1.0387</p></td><td><p>0.56</p></td><td><p>1.0418</p></td><td><p>1.0303</p></td><td><p>1.0534</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0349</p></td><td><p>1.0241</p></td><td><p>1.0457</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td><td><p>1.0398</p></td><td><p>1.0271</p></td><td><p>1.0527</p></td><td><p>0.53</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0135</p></td><td><p>1.0021</p></td><td><p>1.0251</p></td><td><p>0.82</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>1.0029</p></td><td><p>1.0301</p></td><td><p>0.81</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2002</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0415</p></td><td><p>1.0343</p></td><td><p>1.0488</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td><td><p>1.0284</p></td><td><p>1.0206</p></td><td><p>1.0362</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0618</p></td><td><p>1.0532</p></td><td><p>1.0704</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td><td><p>1.0469</p></td><td><p>1.0376</p></td><td><p>1.0564</p></td><td><p>0.32</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0774</p></td><td><p>1.0678</p></td><td><p>1.0872</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td><td><p>1.0653</p></td><td><p>1.0547</p></td><td><p>1.0760</p></td><td><p>0.21</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0574</p></td><td><p>1.0469</p></td><td><p>1.0680</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td><td><p>1.0493</p></td><td><p>1.0378</p></td><td><p>1.0608</p></td><td><p>0.39</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0259</p></td><td><p>1.0147</p></td><td><p>1.0372</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>1.0325</p></td><td><p>1.0201</p></td><td><p>1.0451</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2003</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0359</p></td><td><p>1.0283</p></td><td><p>1.0436</p></td><td><p>0.35</p></td><td><p>1.0578</p></td><td><p>1.0493</p></td><td><p>1.0663</p></td><td><p>0.17</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0248</p></td><td><p>1.0158</p></td><td><p>1.0340</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td><td><p>1.0630</p></td><td><p>1.0528</p></td><td><p>1.0733</p></td><td><p>0.22</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0343</p></td><td><p>1.0237</p></td><td><p>1.0451</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td><td><p>1.0781</p></td><td><p>1.0660</p></td><td><p>1.0904</p></td><td><p>0.19</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0389</p></td><td><p>1.0269</p></td><td><p>1.0511</p></td><td><p>0.52</p></td><td><p>1.0832</p></td><td><p>1.0692</p></td><td><p>1.0974</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0443</p></td><td><p>1.0311</p></td><td><p>1.0578</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td><td><p>1.0648</p></td><td><p>1.0492</p></td><td><p>1.0806</p></td><td><p>0.40</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2004</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0119</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0167</p></td><td><p>0.63</p></td><td><p>1.0219</p></td><td><p>1.0167</p></td><td><p>1.0271</p></td><td><p>0.40</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0274</p></td><td><p>1.0217</p></td><td><p>1.0331</p></td><td><p>0.34</p></td><td><p>1.0255</p></td><td><p>1.0194</p></td><td><p>1.0316</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0143</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0209</p></td><td><p>0.67</p></td><td><p>1.0153</p></td><td><p>1.0083</p></td><td><p>1.0223</p></td><td><p>0.67</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9966</p></td><td><p>0.9894</p></td><td><p>1.0040</p></td><td><p>0.93</p></td><td><p>1.0068</p></td><td><p>0.9990</p></td><td><p>1.0146</p></td><td><p>0.87</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0059</p></td><td><p>0.9978</p></td><td><p>1.0141</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td><td><p>1.0179</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0267</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2005</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0120</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0165</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td><td><p>1.0236</p></td><td><p>1.0183</p></td><td><p>1.0288</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>1.0168</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td><td><p>1.0334</p></td><td><p>1.0272</p></td><td><p>1.0395</p></td><td><p>0.28</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0089</p></td><td><p>1.0031</p></td><td><p>1.0147</p></td><td><p>0.76</p></td><td><p>1.0364</p></td><td><p>1.0295</p></td><td><p>1.0434</p></td><td><p>0.30</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0118</p></td><td><p>1.0054</p></td><td><p>1.0182</p></td><td><p>0.72</p></td><td><p>1.0402</p></td><td><p>1.0325</p></td><td><p>1.0479</p></td><td><p>0.30</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0124</p></td><td><p>1.0055</p></td><td><p>1.0194</p></td><td><p>0.73</p></td><td><p>1.0431</p></td><td><p>1.0348</p></td><td><p>1.0514</p></td><td><p>0.30</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2006</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9948</p></td><td><p>0.9902</p></td><td><p>0.9994</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td><td><p>0.9735</p></td><td><p>0.9686</p></td><td><p>0.9784</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9852</p></td><td><p>0.9799</p></td><td><p>0.9905</p></td><td><p>0.59</p></td><td><p>0.9605</p></td><td><p>0.9548</p></td><td><p>0.9662</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9720</p></td><td><p>0.9660</p></td><td><p>0.9781</p></td><td><p>0.37</p></td><td><p>0.9564</p></td><td><p>0.9499</p></td><td><p>0.9629</p></td><td><p>0.20</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9730</p></td><td><p>0.9663</p></td><td><p>0.9797</p></td><td><p>0.44</p></td><td><p>0.9596</p></td><td><p>0.9523</p></td><td><p>0.9670</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9799</p></td><td><p>0.9725</p></td><td><p>0.9873</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td><td><p>0.9634</p></td><td><p>0.9553</p></td><td><p>0.9715</p></td><td><p>0.39</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2007</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9994</p></td><td><p>0.9967</p></td><td><p>1.0022</p></td><td><p>0.97</p></td><td><p>0.9989</p></td><td><p>0.9959</p></td><td><p>1.0018</p></td><td><p>0.94</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9910</p></td><td><p>0.9878</p></td><td><p>0.9941</p></td><td><p>0.58</p></td><td><p>0.9949</p></td><td><p>0.9915</p></td><td><p>0.9983</p></td><td><p>0.77</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9904</p></td><td><p>0.9868</p></td><td><p>0.9939</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td><td><p>0.9946</p></td><td><p>0.9908</p></td><td><p>0.9984</p></td><td><p>0.78</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9884</p></td><td><p>0.9844</p></td><td><p>0.9923</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td><td><p>0.9937</p></td><td><p>0.9894</p></td><td><p>0.9979</p></td><td><p>0.77</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9846</p></td><td><p>0.9803</p></td><td><p>0.9889</p></td><td><p>0.49</p></td><td><p>0.9950</p></td><td><p>0.9904</p></td><td><p>0.9997</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2008</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0107</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0135</p></td><td><p>0.44</p></td><td><p>1.0330</p></td><td><p>1.0299</p></td><td><p>1.0362</p></td><td><p>\n<b>< 0.05</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0070</p></td><td><p>1.0038</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>0.66</p></td><td><p>1.0296</p></td><td><p>1.0260</p></td><td><p>1.0331</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0062</p></td><td><p>1.0027</p></td><td><p>1.0097</p></td><td><p>0.73</p></td><td><p>1.0272</p></td><td><p>1.0232</p></td><td><p>1.0312</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0026</p></td><td><p>0.9988</p></td><td><p>1.0065</p></td><td><p>0.89</p></td><td><p>1.0226</p></td><td><p>1.0182</p></td><td><p>1.0270</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0005</p></td><td><p>0.9964</p></td><td><p>1.0047</p></td><td><p>0.98</p></td><td><p>1.0192</p></td><td><p>1.0144</p></td><td><p>1.0240</p></td><td><p>0.43</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2009</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0077</p></td><td><p>1.0052</p></td><td><p>1.0101</p></td><td><p>0.54</p></td><td><p>0.9918</p></td><td><p>0.9892</p></td><td><p>0.9945</p></td><td><p>0.55</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0108</p></td><td><p>1.0080</p></td><td><p>1.0137</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td><td><p>0.9882</p></td><td><p>0.9851</p></td><td><p>0.9913</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0131</p></td><td><p>1.0099</p></td><td><p>1.0162</p></td><td><p>0.42</p></td><td><p>0.9873</p></td><td><p>0.9838</p></td><td><p>0.9907</p></td><td><p>0.47</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0162</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0197</p></td><td><p>0.36</p></td><td><p>0.9861</p></td><td><p>0.9824</p></td><td><p>0.9899</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0177</p></td><td><p>1.0140</p></td><td><p>1.0215</p></td><td><p>0.35</p></td><td><p>0.9797</p></td><td><p>0.9756</p></td><td><p>0.9838</p></td><td><p>0.33</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2010</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9817</p></td><td><p>0.9791</p></td><td><p>0.9844</p></td><td><p>0.18</p></td><td><p>0.9947</p></td><td><p>0.9919</p></td><td><p>0.9975</p></td><td><p>0.71</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9703</p></td><td><p>0.9674</p></td><td><p>0.9732</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9812</p></td><td><p>0.9781</p></td><td><p>0.9843</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.24</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9654</p></td><td><p>0.9623</p></td><td><p>0.9686</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9783</p></td><td><p>0.9749</p></td><td><p>0.9817</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.22</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9632</p></td><td><p>0.9598</p></td><td><p>0.9667</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9778</p></td><td><p>0.9741</p></td><td><p>0.9815</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.25</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9561</p></td><td><p>0.9524</p></td><td><p>0.9598</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9716</p></td><td><p>0.9676</p></td><td><p>0.9757</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.17</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2011</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0303</p></td><td><p>1.0274</p></td><td><p>1.0332</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0283</p></td><td><p>1.0252</p></td><td><p>1.0315</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.08</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0182</p></td><td><p>1.0149</p></td><td><p>1.0215</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td><td><p>1.0200</p></td><td><p>1.0164</p></td><td><p>1.0236</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0074</p></td><td><p>1.0038</p></td><td><p>1.0111</p></td><td><p>0.69</p></td><td><p>1.0132</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0172</p></td><td><p>0.51</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0092</p></td><td><p>1.0052</p></td><td><p>1.0133</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>1.0158</p></td><td><p>1.0114</p></td><td><p>1.0202</p></td><td><p>0.48</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0116</p></td><td><p>1.0072</p></td><td><p>1.0160</p></td><td><p>0.60</p></td><td><p>1.0186</p></td><td><p>1.0137</p></td><td><p>1.0234</p></td><td><p>0.45</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2012</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0170</p></td><td><p>1.0142</p></td><td><p>1.0198</p></td><td><p>0.23</p></td><td><p>1.0058</p></td><td><p>1.0029</p></td><td><p>1.0088</p></td><td><p>0.70</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0267</p></td><td><p>1.0236</p></td><td><p>1.0299</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.0137</p></td><td><p>1.0104</p></td><td><p>1.0170</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0389</p></td><td><p>1.0354</p></td><td><p>1.0423</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0293</p></td><td><p>1.0256</p></td><td><p>1.0329</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.11</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0430</p></td><td><p>1.0393</p></td><td><p>1.0468</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0338</p></td><td><p>1.0298</p></td><td><p>1.0378</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.09</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0450</p></td><td><p>1.0409</p></td><td><p>1.0490</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0359</p></td><td><p>1.0316</p></td><td><p>1.0402</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.10</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2013</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>0.9742</p></td><td><p>0.9713</p></td><td><p>0.9772</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>0.9900</p></td><td><p>0.9867</p></td><td><p>0.9934</p></td><td><p>0.57</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>0.9638</p></td><td><p>0.9604</p></td><td><p>0.9671</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>0.9816</p></td><td><p>0.9778</p></td><td><p>0.9854</p></td><td><p>0.35</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>0.9661</p></td><td><p>0.9624</p></td><td><p>0.9697</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td><td><p>0.9935</p></td><td><p>0.9893</p></td><td><p>0.9978</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.77</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>0.9654</p></td><td><p>0.9615</p></td><td><p>0.9694</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>0.9987</p></td><td><p>0.9940</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>0.96</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>0.9676</p></td><td><p>0.9633</p></td><td><p>0.9719</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td><td><p>1.0040</p></td><td><p>0.9989</p></td><td><p>1.0091</p></td><td><p>0.88</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2014</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0251</p></td><td><p>1.0217</p></td><td><p>1.0285</p></td><td><p>0.14</p></td><td><p>1.0152</p></td><td><p>1.0115</p></td><td><p>1.0188</p></td><td><p>0.41</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0356</p></td><td><p>1.0318</p></td><td><p>1.0394</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td><td><p>1.0171</p></td><td><p>1.0130</p></td><td><p>1.0214</p></td><td><p>0.42</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0423</p></td><td><p>1.0381</p></td><td><p>1.0464</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0251</p></td><td><p>1.0204</p></td><td><p>1.0298</p></td><td><p>0.29</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0377</p></td><td><p>1.0332</p></td><td><p>1.0422</p></td><td><p>0.09</p></td><td><p>1.0203</p></td><td><p>1.0152</p></td><td><p>1.0255</p></td><td><p>0.44</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0493</p></td><td><p>1.0445</p></td><td><p>1.0541</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0338</p></td><td><p>1.0281</p></td><td><p>1.0395</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.24</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2015</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0060</p></td><td><p>1.0034</p></td><td><p>1.0086</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>1.0277</p></td><td><p>1.0247</p></td><td><p>1.0307</p></td><td><p>0.07</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0075</p></td><td><p>1.0046</p></td><td><p>1.0105</p></td><td><p>0.62</p></td><td><p>1.0329</p></td><td><p>1.0294</p></td><td><p>1.0363</p></td><td><p>0.06</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0052</p></td><td><p>1.0019</p></td><td><p>1.0085</p></td><td><p>0.76</p></td><td><p>1.0323</p></td><td><p>1.0284</p></td><td><p>1.0361</p></td><td><p>0.10</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0061</p></td><td><p>1.0024</p></td><td><p>1.0098</p></td><td><p>0.75</p></td><td><p>1.0305</p></td><td><p>1.0263</p></td><td><p>1.0348</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0094</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>1.0135</p></td><td><p>0.65</p></td><td><p>1.0332</p></td><td><p>1.0286</p></td><td><p>1.0379</p></td><td><p>0.15</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"9\"><p>2016</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lag 0</p></td><td><p>1.0430</p></td><td><p>1.0388</p></td><td><p>1.0472</p></td><td><p> < 0.05</p></td><td><p>1.0173</p></td><td><p>1.0128</p></td><td><p>1.0219</p></td><td><p>\n<b>0.45</b>\n</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–1</p></td><td><p>1.0267</p></td><td><p>1.0220</p></td><td><p>1.0314</p></td><td><p>0.25</p></td><td><p>1.0002</p></td><td><p>0.9952</p></td><td><p>1.0053</p></td><td><p>0.99</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–2</p></td><td><p>1.0262</p></td><td><p>1.0211</p></td><td><p>1.0313</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td><td><p>0.9940</p></td><td><p>0.9885</p></td><td><p>0.9996</p></td><td><p>0.83</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–3</p></td><td><p>1.0282</p></td><td><p>1.0227</p></td><td><p>1.0337</p></td><td><p>0.31</p></td><td><p>0.9899</p></td><td><p>0.9840</p></td><td><p>0.9959</p></td><td><p>0.74</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Lags 0–4</p></td><td><p>1.0328</p></td><td><p>1.0269</p></td><td><p>1.0388</p></td><td><p>0.27</p></td><td><p>0.9904</p></td><td><p>0.9840</p></td><td><p>0.9968</p></td><td><p>0.77</p></td></tr></tbody></table><ol data-track-component=\"outbound reference\"><li data-counter=\"1.\"><p>Castro, et al. Modification of the PM<sub>2.5</sub>- and extreme heat-mortality relationships by historical redlining: A case-crossover study in thirteen U.S. states. Environ Health. 2024;23:16. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01055-5.</p><p>Article Google Scholar </p></li></ol><p>Download references<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" height=\"16\" role=\"img\" width=\"16\"><use xlink:href=\"#icon-eds-i-download-medium\" xmlns:xlink=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink\"></use></svg></p><h3>Authors and Affiliations</h3><ol><li><p>Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, USA</p><p>Edgar Castro, Abbie Liu, Yaguang Wei, Anna Kosheleva & Joel Schwartz</p></li></ol><span>Authors</span><ol><li><span>Edgar Castro</span>View author publications<p>You can also search for this author in <span>PubMed<span> </span>Google Scholar</span></p></li><li><span>Abbie Liu</span>View author publications<p>You can also search for this author in <span>PubMed<span> </span>Google Scholar</span></p></li><li><span>Yaguang Wei</span>View author publications<p>You can also search for this author in <span>PubMed<span> </span>Google Scholar</span></p></li><li><span>Anna Kosheleva</span>View author publications<p>You can also search for this author in <span>PubMed<span> </span>Google Scholar</span></p></li><li><span>Joel Schwartz</span>View author publications<p>You can also search for this author in <span>PubMed<span> </span>Google Scholar</span></p></li></ol><h3>Corresponding author</h3><p>Correspondence to Edgar Castro.</p><p><b>Open Access</b> This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.</p>\n<p>Reprints and permissions</p><img alt=\"Check for updates. 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Modification of the PM<sub>2.5</sub>- and extreme heat-mortality relationships by historical redlining: A case-crossover study in thirteen U.S. states. <i>Environ Health</i> <b>23</b>, 34 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01072-4</p><p>Download citation<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" height=\"16\" role=\"img\" width=\"16\"><use xlink:href=\"#icon-eds-i-download-medium\" xmlns:xlink=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink\"></use></svg></p><ul data-test=\"publication-history\"><li><p>Published<span>: </span><span><time datetime=\"2024-04-02\">02 April 2024</time></span></p></li><li><p>DOI</abbr><span>: </span><span>https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01072-4</span></p></li></ul><h3>Share this article</h3><p>Anyone you share the following link with will be able to read this content:</p><button data-track=\"click\" data-track-action=\"get shareable link\" data-track-external=\"\" data-track-label=\"button\" type=\"button\">Get shareable link</button><p>Sorry, a shareable link 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引用次数: 0
Correction: Environ Health 23, 16 (2024)
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01055-5
Following publication of [1], errors were found in the code used to prepare the cohort for a case-crossover analysis and the resulting data that was used for the analysis. Despite these errors, results were only marginally effected and all conclusions remain the same. A few typos were also found in the manuscript. A table of all affected texts is shown below.
Section
Lines
Text
Abstract
48-51
Individuals who lived in redlined areas had an interaction odds ratio for mortality of 1.00931.0104 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00841.0095, 1.01011.0114) for each 10 µg m-3 increase in same-day ambient PM2.5 compared to individuals who did not live in redlined areas. For extreme heat, the interaction odds ratio was 1.02181.0146 (95% CI 1.00311.0039, 1.04081.0457).
Methods
159-161
To derive measures of extreme heat, we first calculated various percentiles of minimum temperature in each block group in each year. For our main analysis, we considered the 95th90th percentile.
Methods
163-165
In other words, if the minimum temperature on a certain day met or exceeded the 95th90th percentile of minimum temperature in that block group in that year, then that day was marked as an extreme heat day.
Results
229-237
We obtained 11,115,38011,076,020 mortality records from the twelvethirteen state departments of public health. From these records, we sequentially excluded 466,874453,754 deaths involving external causes; 139,908133,348 deaths involving individuals younger than 18 years old; 196,558 deaths with geocodes that were missing or coarser than block group-level; 331 deaths involving individuals whose home locations were outside of the state that reported their death; 1,392,4231,372,743 deaths before January 5th, 2001 or after December 31st, 2016 and 537 deaths whose home block groups had a population of zero according to the preceding Decennial Census (for which 4-day moving averages of population-weighted PM2.5 could not be calculated); and 34,016 deaths with lag days from 0 to 4 that included December 31st on leap years (for which Daymet predictions are not available; Figure 3)
Results
272-278
We found a significant interaction with exposure to any extreme heat (interaction odds ratio 1.02181.0246; 95% CI 1.00311.0039, 1.04081.0457) while we did not observe significant interactions for singleton heat events or when looking at length-specific exposures. In absolute terms, this amounts to a 2.157%2.434% (95% CI 0.307%0.386%, 4.036%4.521%) increase in the daily risk of death death from non-external causes by exposure to any extreme heat in historically-redlined neighborhoods compared to other neighborhoods. The highest overall effects were observed for exposure to any extreme heat, followed by 3, 12, and 21 consecutive days of extreme heat, respectively.
Results
283-287
We found a significant interaction with same-day ambient PM2.5 (interaction odds ratio for each 10 µg/m-3 increase: 1.00931.0104; 95% CI 1.00841.0095, 1.01011.0114) while we did not observe interactions for different moving averages of ambient PM2.5. In absolute terms, this amounts to a 0.930%1.029% (95% CI 0.831%0.940%, 1.000%1.128%) increase in the daily risk of death from non-external causes for each 10 µg/m-3 increase in ambient PM2.5 in historically-redlined neighborhoods compared to other neighborhoods.
Results
295-296
However, for PM2.5, we did observe that the interaction with same-day ambient PM2.5 was not significant for a population cutoffs of 50% and 99%.
Results
302-305
We also observed that the 85th and 95th percentile cutoffs of minimum temperature had higher interactions than the 90th percentile cutoff on earlier days, with the 85th percentile being the highest for any exposure or the 1st day of extreme heat and the 99th percentile being the highest for any exposure or the 1st or 2nd days of extreme heat.
Firstly, 39,360 deaths from the raw data were duplicated (0.36% of total deaths), resulting in an erroneous Fig. 1 and numbers in the accompanying paragraph. However, the total number of deaths used for the analysis remained the same, though this was misreported in the original Fig. 1 (884,733 deaths rather than 8,884,733). A few percentages were also incorrect. The corrected Fig. 1 is shown below next to the original Fig. 1, followed by a table of changes in the text.
Additionally, code that was meant to restrict control days only to those occurring in the same month of the case was not run, resulting in a mean of 7.91 controls for each case (SD: 0.57). After corrections, this was reduced to a mean of 3.38 controls per case (SD: 0.49). Unlike the previous error, this slightly altered the results, though only marginally. The corrected text, figures, and coefficient tables are presented below alongside what was originally reported. Old and new results are differentiated by different shades in the figures and changes in significance are noted in bold in the tables.
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement A.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%
Any day
1.013
1.0098
1.0161
< 0.05
1.0125
1.0090
1.0161
< 0.05
1st day
1.011
1.0062
1.0149
< 0.05
1.0093
1.0046
1.0139
< 0.05
2nd day
1.008
1.0025
1.0130
< 0.05
1.0091
1.0035
1.0148
< 0.05
3rd day
1.013
1.0064
1.0194
< 0.05
1.0139
1.0070
1.0210
< 0.05
Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%
Any day
1.013
1.0100
1.0164
< 0.05
1.0128
1.0093
1.0163
< 0.05
1st day
1.011
1.0065
1.0151
< 0.05
1.0096
1.0049
1.0142
< 0.05
2nd day
1.008
1.0028
1.0133
< 0.05
1.0091
1.0035
1.0148
< 0.05
3rd day
1.013
1.0070
1.0199
< 0.05
1.0146
1.0076
1.0215
< 0.05
Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%
Any day
1.013
1.0101
1.0164
< 0.05
1.0128
1.0093
1.0163
< 0.05
1st day
1.011
1.0064
1.0150
< 0.05
1.0095
1.0048
1.0141
< 0.05
2nd day
1.008
1.0028
1.0133
< 0.05
1.0092
1.0035
1.0148
< 0.05
3rd day
1.014
1.0071
1.0200
< 0.05
1.0146
1.0077
1.0216
< 0.05
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement A.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%
Any day
1.0211
1.0059
1.0364
< 0.05
1.0232
1.0064
1.0402
< 0.05
1st day
1.0096
0.9867
1.0332
0.41
1.0155
0.9906
1.0411
0.23
2nd day
1.0206
0.9923
1.0496
0.16
1.0108
0.9808
1.0417
0.49
3rd day
1.0273
0.9926
1.0633
0.13
1.0247
0.9874
1.0634
0.20
Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%
Any day
1.0218
1.0031
1.0408
< 0.05
1.0246
1.0039
1.0457
< 0.05
1st day
1.0056
0.9773
1.0346
0.70
1.0100
0.9794
1.0415
0.53
2nd day
1.0195
0.9846
1.0557
0.28
1.0171
0.9797
1.0559
0.37
3rd day
1.0155
0.9731
1.0597
0.48
1.0094
0.9641
1.0568
0.69
Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%
Any day
1.0222
1.0021
1.0428
< 0.05
1.0259
1.0036
1.0487
< 0.05
1st day
1.0098
0.9793
1.0413
0.53
1.0168
0.9836
1.0510
0.32
2nd day
1.0208
0.9832
1.0599
0.28
1.0174
0.9772
1.0593
0.40
3rd day
1.0119
0.9664
1.0596
0.61
1.0061
0.9575
1.0572
0.81
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement B.
Old estimate
New estimate
Exposure
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%
Lag 0
1.0084
1.0082
1.0085
< 0.05
1.0081
1.0079
1.0083
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0102
1.0100
1.0103
< 0.05
1.0104
1.0102
1.0106
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0091
1.0089
1.0093
< 0.05
1.0096
1.0094
1.0098
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0078
1.0076
1.0080
< 0.05
1.0083
1.0081
1.0085
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0084
1.0082
1.0085
< 0.05
1.0074
1.0072
1.0077
< 0.05
Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%
Lag 0
1.0083
1.0082
1.0085
< 0.05
1.0080
1.0078
1.0082
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0101
1.0100
1.0103
< 0.05
1.0103
1.0101
1.0105
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0090
1.0088
1.0092
< 0.05
1.0096
1.0093
1.0098
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0077
1.0075
1.0079
< 0.05
1.0082
1.0080
1.0084
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0070
1.0068
1.0072
< 0.05
1.0073
1.0071
1.0076
< 0.05
Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%
Lag 0
1.0084
1.0082
1.0085
< 0.05
1.0081
1.0079
1.0082
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0101
1.0100
1.0103
< 0.05
1.0103
1.0101
1.0105
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0090
1.0088
1.0092
< 0.05
1.0096
1.0094
1.0098
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0077
1.0075
1.0079
< 0.05
1.0082
1.0080
1.0084
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0070
1.0068
1.0072
< 0.05
1.0074
1.0071
1.0076
< 0.05
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement B.
Old estimate
New estimate
Exposure
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%
Lag 0
1.0051
1.0044
1.0058
0.15
1.0049
1.0042
1.0057
0.2
Lags 0–1
1.0035
1.0027
1.0043
0.38
1.0028
1.0019
1.0037
0.52
Lags 0–2
1.0028
1.0020
1.0037
0.52
1.0034
1.0024
1.0044
0.48
Lags 0–3
1.0022
1.0012
1.0031
0.65
1.0031
1.0020
1.0041
0.57
Lags 0–4
1.0021
1.0011
1.0032
0.68
1.0024
1.0012
1.0035
0.69
Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%
Lag 0
1.0093
1.0084
1.0101
< 0.05
1.0104
1.0095
1.0114
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0069
1.0059
1.0078
0.15
1.0073
1.0063
1.0084
0.17
Lags 0–2
1.0061
1.0051
1.0072
0.26
1.0083
1.0071
1.0095
0.16
Lags 0–3
1.0057
1.0045
1.0069
0.34
1.0078
1.0065
1.0091
0.23
Lags 0–4
1.0064
1.0051
1.0076
0.32
1.0078
1.0064
1.0092
0.27
Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%
Lag 0
1.0088
1.0079
1.0098
0.05
1.0100
1.0090
1.0110
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0075
1.0065
1.0085
0.15
1.0082
1.0071
1.0093
0.15
Lags 0–2
1.0068
1.0056
1.0079
0.24
1.0091
1.0078
1.0103
0.15
Lags 0–3
1.0068
1.0056
1.0081
0.28
1.0087
1.0073
1.0100
0.22
Lags 0–4
1.0069
1.0055
1.0082
0.32
1.0077
1.0062
1.0092
0.32
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement C.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 85th percentile
Any day
1.0109
1.0080
1.0138
< 0.05
1.0117
1.0084
1.0149
< 0.05
1st day
1.0069
1.0030
1.0109
< 0.05
1.0080
1.0037
1.0122
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0124
1.0077
1.0171
< 0.05
1.0135
1.0085
1.0186
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0079
1.0024
1.0133
< 0.05
1.0086
1.0028
1.0145
< 0.05
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 90th percentile
Any day
1.0132
1.0100
1.0164
< 0.05
1.0128
1.0093
1.0163
< 0.05
1st day
1.0108
1.0065
1.0151
< 0.05
1.0096
1.0049
1.0142
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0080
1.0028
1.0133
< 0.05
1.0091
1.0035
1.0148
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0134
1.0070
1.0199
< 0.05
1.0146
1.0076
1.0215
< 0.05
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 99th percentile
Any day
1.0217
1.0143
1.0292
< 0.05
1.0211
1.0130
1.0293
< 0.05
1st day
1.0181
1.0092
1.0271
< 0.05
1.0176
1.0080
1.0273
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0227
1.0081
1.0376
< 0.05
1.0193
1.0036
1.0353
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0501
1.0238
1.0771
< 0.05
1.0623
1.0336
1.0917
< 0.05
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement C.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 85th percentile
Any day
1.0279
1.0109
1.045
< 0.05
1.0302
1.0110
1.0497
< 0.05
1st day
1.0340
1.0074
1.061
< 0.05
1.0378
1.0090
1.0674
< 0.05
2nd day
0.9972
0.9665
1.029
0.86
1.0001
0.9670
1.0344
1.00
3rd day
1.0142
0.9779
1.052
0.45
1.0052
0.9666
1.0454
0.79
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 90th percentile
Any day
1.0218
1.0031
1.041
< 0.05
1.0246
1.0039
1.0457
< 0.05
1st day
1.0056
0.9773
1.035
0.70
1.0100
0.9794
1.0415
0.53
2nd day
1.0195
0.9846
1.056
0.28
1.0171
0.9797
1.0559
0.37
3rd day
1.0155
0.9731
1.060
0.48
1.0094
0.9641
1.0568
0.69
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 99th percentile
Any day
1.0266
0.9793
1.076
0.28
1.0350
0.9836
1.0892
0.19
1st day
1.0368
0.9793
1.098
0.21
1.0344
0.9727
1.1001
0.28
2nd day
1.0021
0.9081
1.106
0.97
1.0553
0.9482
1.1746
0.32
3rd day
1.0034
0.8419
1.196
0.97
0.9774
0.8095
1.1802
0.81
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement D.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Whole population
Any day
1.0132
1.0100
1.0164
< 0.05
1.0128
1.0093
1.0163
< 0.05
1st day
1.0108
1.0065
1.0151
< 0.05
1.0096
1.0049
1.0142
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0080
1.0028
1.0133
< 0.05
1.0091
1.0035
1.0148
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0134
1.0070
1.0199
< 0.05
1.0146
1.0076
1.0215
< 0.05
Black individuals
Any day
1.0058
0.9956
1.0160
0.27
1.0052
0.9939
1.0165
0.37
1st day
1.0008
0.9872
1.0146
0.91
0.9984
0.9839
1.0132
0.83
2nd day
0.9975
0.9810
1.0141
0.76
0.9971
0.9794
1.0150
0.75
3rd day
1.0191
0.9988
1.0399
0.07
1.0209
0.9989
1.0433
0.06
> 50% Black neighborhoods
Any day
1.0067
0.9936
1.0201
0.32
1.0011
0.9865
1.0159
0.88
1st day
1.0086
0.9913
1.0261
0.33
1.0010
0.9826
1.0198
0.91
2nd day
1.0007
0.9801
1.0218
0.94
0.9969
0.9748
1.0195
0.78
3rd day
1.0133
0.9877
1.0395
0.31
1.0142
0.9867
1.0425
0.32
White individuals
Any day
1.0141
1.0107
1.0175
< 0.05
1.0139
1.0101
1.0177
< 0.05
1st day
1.0127
1.0080
1.0173
< 0.05
1.0118
1.0068
1.0168
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0089
1.0033
1.0145
< 0.05
1.0099
1.0038
1.0159
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0110
1.0041
1.0180
< 0.05
1.0123
1.0048
1.0198
< 0.05
> 50% White neighborhoods
Any day
1.0128
1.0093
1.0162
< 0.05
1.0125
1.0086
1.0163
< 0.05
1st day
1.0118
1.0071
1.0164
< 0.05
1.0110
1.0060
1.0161
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0060
1.0003
1.0116
< 0.05
1.0070
1.0009
1.0131
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0139
1.0069
1.0209
< 0.05
1.0148
1.0073
1.0224
< 0.05
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement D.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Whole population
Any day
1.0218
1.0031
1.0408
< 0.05
1.0246
1.0039
1.0457
< 0.05
1st day
1.0056
0.9773
1.0346
0.70
1.0100
0.9794
1.0415
0.53
2nd day
1.0195
0.9846
1.0557
0.28
1.0171
0.9797
1.0559
0.37
3rd day
1.0155
0.9731
1.0597
0.48
1.0094
0.9641
1.0568
0.69
Black individuals
Any day
1.0043
0.9739
1.0356
0.79
1.0190
0.9850
1.0542
0.28
1st day
0.9977
0.9516
1.0460
0.92
1.0128
0.9624
1.0659
0.62
2nd day
1.0561
0.9978
1.1178
0.06
1.0625
0.9995
1.1295
0.05
3rd day
1.0099
0.9417
1.0830
0.78
1.0029
0.9304
1.0811
0.94
> 50% Black neighborhoods
Any day
1.0017
0.9685
1.0361
0.92
1.0193
0.9819
1.0580
0.32
1st day
0.9707
0.9216
1.0223
0.26
0.9962
0.9420
1.0537
0.9
2nd day
1.0399
0.9775
1.1062
0.22
1.0393
0.9724
1.1107
0.26
3rd day
1.0272
0.9520
1.1084
0.49
1.0236
0.9433
1.1108
0.58
White individuals
Any day
1.0403
1.0146
1.0667
< 0.05
1.0373
1.0090
1.0665
< 0.05
1st day
1.0262
0.9874
1.0666
0.19
1.0225
0.9808
1.0660
0.29
2nd day
0.9954
0.9487
1.0443
0.85
0.9894
0.9397
1.0418
0.69
3rd day
1.0327
0.9745
1.0944
0.28
1.0266
0.9643
1.0930
0.41
> 50% White neighborhoods
Any day
1.0383
1.0079
1.0695
< 0.05
1.0296
1.0038
1.0560
< 0.05
1st day
1.0359
0.9903
1.0836
0.12
1.0269
0.9890
1.0662
0.17
2nd day
1.0064
0.9516
1.0645
0.82
1.0051
0.9599
1.0524
0.83
3rd day
1.0259
0.9585
1.0980
0.46
1.0499
0.9927
1.1104
0.09
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement E.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Whole population
Lag 0
1.0083
1.0082
1.0085
< 0.05
1.0080
1.0078
1.0082
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0101
1.0100
1.0103
< 0.05
1.0103
1.0101
1.0105
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0090
1.0088
1.0092
< 0.05
1.0096
1.0093
1.0098
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0077
1.0075
1.0079
< 0.05
1.0082
1.0080
1.0084
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0070
1.0068
1.0072
< 0.05
1.0073
1.0071
1.0076
< 0.05
Black individuals
Lag 0
1.0117
1.0112
1.0121
< 0.05
1.0105
1.0100
1.0110
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0130
1.0124
1.0135
< 0.05
1.0125
1.0120
1.0131
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0130
1.0124
1.0136
< 0.05
1.0139
1.0132
1.0145
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0128
1.0122
1.0134
< 0.05
1.0145
1.0138
1.0152
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0127
1.0121
1.0134
< 0.05
1.0152
1.0145
1.0160
< 0.05
> 50% Black neighborhoods
Lag 0
1.0065
1.0059
1.0071
< 0.05
1.0067
1.0060
1.0073
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0060
1.0053
1.0066
0.08
1.0072
1.0065
1.0079
0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0061
1.0053
1.0068
0.10
1.0092
1.0084
1.0100
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0039
1.0031
1.0047
0.34
1.0081
1.0072
1.0090
0.07
Lags 0–4
1.0019
1.0011
1.0028
0.66
1.0076
1.0067
1.0086
0.12
White individuals
Lag 0
1.0081
1.0079
1.0082
< 0.05
1.0080
1.0078
1.0081
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0100
1.0098
1.0101
< 0.05
1.0104
1.0102
1.0106
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0086
1.0084
1.0088
< 0.05
1.0093
1.0091
1.0096
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0071
1.0069
1.0073
< 0.05
1.0078
1.0076
1.0081
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0063
1.0061
1.0066
< 0.05
1.0069
1.0067
1.0072
< 0.05
> 50% White neighborhoods
Lag 0
1.0079
1.0077
1.0081
< 0.05
1.0083
1.0082
1.0085
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0098
1.0096
1.0100
< 0.05
1.0108
1.0106
1.0110
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0082
1.0080
1.0084
< 0.05
1.0096
1.0094
1.0098
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0067
1.0065
1.0069
< 0.05
1.0081
1.0078
1.0083
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0058
1.0056
1.0061
< 0.05
1.0072
1.0070
1.0075
< 0.05
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement E.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Whole population
Lag 0
1.0093
1.0084
1.0101
< 0.05
1.0104
1.0095
1.0114
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0069
1.0059
1.0078
0.15
1.0073
1.0063
1.0084
0.17
Lags 0–2
1.0061
1.0051
1.0072
0.26
1.0083
1.0071
1.0095
0.16
Lags 0–3
1.0057
1.0045
1.0069
0.34
1.0078
1.0065
1.0091
0.23
Lags 0–4
1.0064
1.0051
1.0076
0.32
1.0078
1.0064
1.0092
0.27
Black individuals
Lag 0
1.0020
1.0006
1.0034
0.78
1.0074
1.0059
1.0090
0.34
Lags 0–1
1.0004
0.9988
1.0020
0.96
1.0053
1.0036
1.0071
0.55
Lags 0–2
1.0024
1.0006
1.0042
0.79
1.0093
1.0073
1.0113
0.35
Lags 0–3
1.0028
1.0008
1.0047
0.78
1.0091
1.0069
1.0113
0.41
Lags 0–4
1.0041
1.0020
1.0063
0.70
1.0086
1.0063
1.0110
0.47
> 50% Black neighborhoods
Lag 0
1.0099
1.0084
1.0114
0.20
1.0164
1.0147
1.0180
0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0108
1.0091
1.0126
0.22
1.0191
1.0172
1.0210
0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0084
1.0064
1.0103
0.40
1.0212
1.0190
1.0234
0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0081
1.0060
1.0103
0.46
1.0226
1.0202
1.0250
0.06
Lags 0–4
1.0093
1.0069
1.0116
0.44
1.0230
1.0204
1.0257
0.08
White individuals
Lag 0
1.0115
1.0103
1.0126
< 0.05
1.0117
1.0104
1.0129
0.07
Lags 0–1
1.0106
1.0093
1.0119
0.11
1.0099
1.0084
1.0113
0.17
Lags 0–2
1.0080
1.0066
1.0094
0.27
1.0083
1.0067
1.0099
0.30
Lags 0–3
1.0065
1.0049
1.0081
0.42
1.0064
1.0047
1.0081
0.47
Lags 0–4
1.0065
1.0048
1.0082
0.46
1.0069
1.0050
1.0088
0.47
> 50% White neighborhoods
Lag 0
1.0049
1.0035
1.0063
0.48
1.0069
1.0054
1.0084
0.37
Lags 0–1
1.0021
1.0006
1.0037
0.79
1.0017
1.0000
1.0034
0.85
Lags 0–2
1.0007
0.9990
1.0025
0.94
0.9996
0.9977
1.0016
0.97
Lags 0–3
0.9989
0.9970
1.0009
0.91
0.9968
0.9947
0.9990
0.77
Lags 0–4
0.9963
0.9942
0.9984
0.73
0.9951
0.9928
0.9975
0.68
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement F.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
California
Any day
1.0150
1.0087
1.0214
< 0.05
1.2317
1.2232
1.2403
< 0.05
1st day
1.0166
1.0069
1.0264
< 0.05
1.2076
1.1952
1.2202
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0024
0.9906
1.0142
0.69
1.0891
1.0753
1.1030
0.19
3rd day
1.0117
0.9973
1.0262
0.11
1.1726
1.1547
1.1908
< 0.05
Florida
Any day
1.0042
0.9956
1.0129
0.34
1.0208
1.0111
1.0306
0.67
1st day
1.0066
0.9968
1.0164
0.19
1.0338
1.0231
1.0447
0.53
2nd day
0.9954
0.9833
1.0077
0.46
0.9616
0.9490
0.9744
0.56
3rd day
1.0053
0.9898
1.0210
0.51
1.0157
0.9989
1.0328
0.85
Georgia
Any day
0.9935
0.9658
1.0219
0.65
0.9617
0.9319
0.9924
0.81
1st day
0.9909
0.9589
1.0239
0.58
0.9385
0.9056
0.9726
0.73
2nd day
1.0154
0.9767
1.0557
0.44
1.3822
1.3251
1.4418
0.13
3rd day
0.9768
0.9333
1.0224
0.31
0.7916
0.7537
0.8314
0.35
Illinois
Any day
0.9945
0.9805
1.0087
0.45
0.9659
0.9511
0.9809
0.66
1st day
1.0089
0.9944
1.0235
0.23
1.1091
1.0921
1.1264
0.19
2nd day
0.9912
0.9740
1.0087
0.32
0.9506
0.9329
0.9685
0.60
3rd day
1.0148
0.9933
1.0368
0.18
1.1250
1.0996
1.1511
0.31
Indiana
Any day
0.9819
0.9385
1.0273
0.43
0.6862
0.6534
0.7207
0.13
1st day
1.0208
0.9802
1.0631
0.32
1.0518
1.0066
1.0991
0.82
2nd day
1.0022
0.9552
1.0515
0.93
0.8497
0.8069
0.8948
0.54
3rd day
0.9960
0.9364
1.0594
0.90
1.0909
1.0211
1.1655
0.80
Kansas
Any day
1.0164
0.9618
1.0741
0.56
1.2327
1.1602
1.3096
0.50
1st day
0.9920
0.9349
1.0525
0.79
0.8290
0.7780
0.8835
0.56
2nd day
0.9833
0.9118
1.0604
0.66
0.8378
0.7723
0.9088
0.67
3rd day
0.9584
0.8742
1.0508
0.37
0.7700
0.6972
0.8503
0.61
Massachusetts
Any day
1.0090
0.9933
1.0249
0.26
1.0228
1.0055
1.0404
0.80
1st day
1.0293
1.0141
1.0447
< 0.05
1.2644
1.2444
1.2847
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0068
0.9888
1.0251
0.46
1.0798
1.0591
1.1009
0.44
3rd day
0.9766
0.9544
0.9993
< 0.05
0.8990
0.8771
0.9215
0.40
Michigan
Any day
0.9947
0.9771
1.0126
0.56
0.9648
0.9464
0.9835
0.72
1st day
1.0077
0.9905
1.0251
0.38
1.1096
1.0892
1.1304
0.27
2nd day
1.0106
0.9898
1.0319
0.32
1.2030
1.1763
1.2302
0.11
3rd day
1.0044
0.9786
1.0309
0.74
0.9753
0.9486
1.0028
0.86
Missouri
Any day
1.0208
0.9980
1.0441
0.07
1.0411
1.0155
1.0673
0.75
1st day
1.0145
0.9912
1.0384
0.22
1.0484
1.0227
1.0747
0.71
2nd day
1.0190
0.9908
1.0480
0.19
1.1461
1.1121
1.1812
0.37
3rd day
1.0287
0.9959
1.0625
0.09
1.2878
1.2440
1.3332
0.15
New Hampshire
Any day
1.0007
0.9561
1.0474
0.98
0.8465
0.8054
0.8897
0.51
1st day
0.9961
0.9545
1.0395
0.86
0.8501
0.8122
0.8899
0.49
2nd day
1.0596
1.0053
1.1167
< 0.05
1.5480
1.4627
1.6383
0.13
3rd day
0.9796
0.9140
1.0499
0.56
0.8454
0.7847
0.9108
0.66
New Jersey
Any day
0.9732
0.9510
0.9959
< 0.05
0.7422
0.7236
0.7612
< 0.05
1st day
0.9871
0.9649
1.0099
0.27
0.8486
0.8281
0.8695
0.19
2nd day
1.0011
0.9740
1.0289
0.94
1.0317
1.0019
1.0623
0.83
3rd day
1.0080
0.9756
1.0415
0.63
1.1852
1.1442
1.2277
0.34
Ohio
Any day
1.0083
0.9917
1.0251
0.33
1.1022
1.0827
1.1220
0.28
1st day
1.0096
0.9938
1.0257
0.23
1.1219
1.1030
1.1411
0.18
2nd day
1.0104
0.9919
1.0293
0.27
1.0785
1.0573
1.1002
0.46
3rd day
1.0015
0.9789
1.0246
0.90
1.0670
1.0411
1.0937
0.61
Texas
Any day
1.0015
0.9933
1.0097
0.73
0.9984
0.9894
1.0075
0.97
1st day
0.9931
0.9827
1.0035
0.19
0.9285
0.9181
0.9391
0.20
2nd day
1.0053
0.9925
1.0183
0.42
1.0396
1.0253
1.0540
0.58
3rd day
1.0240
1.0086
1.0398
< 0.05
1.2998
1.2787
1.3213
< 0.05
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement F.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
California
Any day
1.0239
0.9882
1.0607
0.19
1.3192
1.2689
1.3716
0.16
1st day
0.9851
0.9306
1.0429
0.61
0.8294
0.7802
0.8817
0.55
2nd day
1.0389
0.9679
1.1151
0.29
1.5664
1.4515
1.6905
0.25
3rd day
1.0402
0.9549
1.1331
0.37
1.4147
1.2893
1.5523
0.46
Florida
Any day
1.0089
0.9381
1.0849
0.81
1.0615
0.9789
1.1510
0.89
1st day
0.8867
0.7949
0.9891
< 0.05
0.2448
0.2178
0.2751
< 0.05
2nd day
0.9972
0.8718
1.1407
0.97
0.8372
0.7250
0.9667
0.81
3rd day
1.1187
0.9424
1.3279
0.20
3.5029
2.9067
4.2214
0.19
Georgia
Any day
1.0635
0.8713
1.2982
0.54
2.3353
1.8653
2.9237
0.46
1st day
1.0903
0.7976
1.4905
0.59
3.1935
2.2622
4.5081
0.51
2nd day
0.8493
0.5684
1.2689
0.43
0.0714
0.0467
0.1092
0.22
3rd day
1.3865
0.8795
2.1856
0.16
43.2690
26.2281
71.3815
0.14
Illinois
Any day
1.0152
0.9739
1.0583
0.48
1.2365
1.1810
1.2946
0.37
1st day
0.9766
0.9163
1.0409
0.47
0.9484
0.8853
1.0161
0.88
2nd day
1.0812
1.0024
1.1663
< 0.05
2.3017
2.1222
2.4964
< 0.05
3rd day
0.9878
0.8984
1.0860
0.80
0.7562
0.6837
0.8365
0.59
Indiana
Any day
1.0256
0.8980
1.1713
0.71
1.2758
1.1030
1.4755
0.74
1st day
0.9508
0.7765
1.1641
0.62
0.8328
0.6673
1.0394
0.87
2nd day
1.0904
0.8633
1.3773
0.47
3.1247
2.4260
4.0246
0.38
3rd day
1.0593
0.8005
1.4017
0.69
0.7652
0.5657
1.0351
0.86
Kansas
Any day
0.9867
0.7948
1.2248
0.90
0.5135
0.4006
0.6583
0.60
1st day
1.0590
0.7564
1.4827
0.74
1.4871
1.0361
2.1343
0.83
2nd day
0.7153
0.4172
1.2265
0.22
0.0206
0.0117
0.0365
0.18
3rd day
0.6994
0.3742
1.3071
0.26
0.0222
0.0115
0.0430
0.26
Massachusetts
Any day
1.0336
0.9793
1.0909
0.23
1.6045
1.5096
1.7055
0.13
1st day
1.0332
0.9530
1.1201
0.43
1.5079
1.3818
1.6455
0.36
2nd day
1.0112
0.9175
1.1144
0.82
1.2129
1.0928
1.3462
0.72
3rd day
1.0376
0.9195
1.1708
0.55
1.0991
0.9656
1.2511
0.89
Michigan
Any day
0.9166
0.8583
0.9788
< 0.05
0.4083
0.3801
0.4386
< 0.05
1st day
0.9491
0.8608
1.0464
0.29
0.6647
0.5979
0.7389
0.45
2nd day
0.9356
0.8298
1.0550
0.28
0.3779
0.3321
0.4300
0.14
3rd day
0.9029
0.7768
1.0493
0.18
0.4820
0.4108
0.5655
0.37
Missouri
Any day
1.0474
0.9477
1.1576
0.36
2.1684
1.9404
2.4231
0.17
1st day
1.0663
0.9074
1.2532
0.44
2.2724
1.9092
2.7047
0.36
2nd day
1.0331
0.8472
1.2597
0.75
2.5343
2.0453
3.1401
0.40
3rd day
1.0194
0.8148
1.2753
0.87
2.1669
1.6973
2.7665
0.53
New Hampshire
Any day
0.7292
0.4301
1.2364
0.24
0.0331
0.0184
0.0596
0.26
1st day
1.1650
0.5956
2.2786
0.66
0.6494
0.3223
1.3085
0.90
2nd day
0.2818
0.0671
1.1839
0.08
0.0000
0.0000
0.0002
0.18
3rd day
0.7075
0.1639
3.0548
0.64
15.2258
2.9415
78.8129
0.75
New Jersey
Any day
1.0203
0.9514
1.0942
0.57
0.9928
0.9172
1.0747
0.99
1st day
1.1206
1.0069
1.2471
< 0.05
2.2716
2.0244
2.5489
0.16
2nd day
0.9623
0.8421
1.0996
0.57
0.5515
0.4784
0.6358
0.41
3rd day
0.9680
0.8248
1.1361
0.69
0.8477
0.7117
1.0096
0.85
Ohio
Any day
1.0632
0.9809
1.1524
0.14
1.9883
1.8221
2.1698
0.12
1st day
1.0894
0.9608
1.2353
0.18
2.9294
2.5535
3.3606
0.13
2nd day
1.1124
0.9623
1.2860
0.15
2.5414
2.1701
2.9762
0.25
3rd day
0.8973
0.7475
1.0771
0.24
0.3504
0.2876
0.4270
0.30
Texas
Any day
1.0671
0.9958
1.1435
0.07
1.7130
1.5864
1.8497
0.17
1st day
1.0600
0.9544
1.1772
0.28
2.0693
1.8455
2.3202
0.21
2nd day
0.9206
0.8023
1.0563
0.24
0.3139
0.2708
0.3637
0.12
3rd day
1.1452
0.9800
1.3382
0.09
2.3357
1.9744
2.7630
0.32
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement G.
Old estimate
New estimate
Exposure
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
California
Lag 0
1.0116
1.0113
1.0119
< 0.05
1.0051
1.0047
1.0054
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0131
1.0128
1.0135
< 0.05
1.0058
1.0055
1.0062
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0136
1.0132
1.0139
< 0.05
1.0055
1.0051
1.0059
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0146
1.0142
1.0149
< 0.05
1.0053
1.0049
1.0057
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0163
1.0160
1.0167
< 0.05
1.0055
1.0051
1.0059
< 0.05
Florida
Lag 0
0.9980
0.9975
0.9984
0.41
1.0018
1.0012
1.0023
0.52
Lags 0–1
0.9967
0.9962
0.9972
0.23
1.0013
1.0007
1.0019
0.67
Lags 0–2
0.9963
0.9957
0.9969
0.23
1.0019
1.0013
1.0026
0.57
Lags 0–3
0.9943
0.9937
0.9950
0.09
1.0020
1.0013
1.0027
0.59
Lags 0–4
0.9920
0.9913
0.9927
< 0.05
1.0021
1.0013
1.0029
0.60
Georgia
Lag 0
0.9896
0.9885
0.9907
0.07
1.0006
0.9994
1.0018
0.92
Lags 0–1
0.9831
0.9819
0.9844
< 0.05
0.9993
0.9979
1.0007
0.92
Lags 0–2
0.9856
0.9842
0.9870
< 0.05
1.0089
1.0073
1.0105
0.27
Lags 0–3
0.9829
0.9814
0.9844
< 0.05
1.0082
1.0065
1.0099
0.35
Lags 0–4
0.9818
0.9802
0.9834
< 0.05
1.0085
1.0066
1.0104
0.37
Illinois
Lag 0
1.0043
1.0039
1.0048
0.07
1.0091
1.0086
1.0096
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0051
1.0045
1.0056
0.06
1.0118
1.0112
1.0124
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0025
1.0019
1.0031
0.40
1.0114
1.0107
1.0121
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
0.9992
0.9986
0.9999
0.82
1.0098
1.0091
1.0105
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
0.9951
0.9944
0.9958
0.16
1.0071
1.0063
1.0078
0.08
Indiana
Lag 0
0.9706
0.9695
0.9718
< 0.05
0.9956
0.9942
0.9970
0.53
Lags 0–1
0.9639
0.9626
0.9653
< 0.05
0.9991
0.9975
1.0007
0.91
Lags 0–2
0.9607
0.9592
0.9621
< 0.05
1.0012
0.9995
1.0030
0.89
Lags 0–3
0.9583
0.9567
0.9599
< 0.05
1.0033
1.0014
1.0051
0.74
Lags 0–4
0.9601
0.9583
0.9619
< 0.05
1.0101
1.0080
1.0121
0.34
Kansas
Lag 0
1.0279
1.0258
1.0300
< 0.05
1.0405
1.0381
1.0428
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0121
1.0097
1.0144
0.31
1.0243
1.0217
1.0270
0.07
Lags 0–2
0.9969
0.9944
0.9995
0.81
1.0084
1.0056
1.0113
0.56
Lags 0–3
0.9829
0.9801
0.9856
0.22
0.9970
0.9939
1.0001
0.85
Lags 0–4
0.9739
0.9710
0.9769
0.09
0.9914
0.9881
0.9948
0.62
Massachusetts
Lag 0
1.0099
1.0093
1.0104
< 0.05
1.0087
1.0081
1.0093
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0166
1.0160
1.0173
< 0.05
1.0162
1.0154
1.0169
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0149
1.0142
1.0157
< 0.05
1.0162
1.0154
1.0170
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0134
1.0126
1.0142
< 0.05
1.0151
1.0142
1.0161
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0106
1.0097
1.0114
< 0.05
1.0118
1.0108
1.0128
< 0.05
Michigan
Lag 0
1.0049
1.0044
1.0055
0.09
1.0121
1.0114
1.0127
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0093
1.0087
1.0100
< 0.05
1.0191
1.0184
1.0199
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0072
1.0064
1.0079
0.06
1.0175
1.0166
1.0183
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0040
1.0032
1.0048
0.33
1.0128
1.0119
1.0137
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0024
1.0015
1.0033
0.59
1.0096
1.0086
1.0106
0.06
Missouri
Lag 0
1.0174
1.0165
1.0183
< 0.05
1.0112
1.0102
1.0121
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0190
1.0180
1.0200
< 0.05
1.0123
1.0111
1.0134
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0177
1.0166
1.0188
< 0.05
1.0116
1.0104
1.0128
0.06
Lags 0–3
1.0145
1.0133
1.0157
< 0.05
1.0080
1.0067
1.0094
0.23
Lags 0–4
1.0078
1.0065
1.0091
0.23
1.0034
1.0020
1.0048
0.64
New Hampshire
Lag 0
1.0243
1.0222
1.0265
< 0.05
1.0283
1.0259
1.0307
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0183
1.0158
1.0209
0.15
1.0229
1.0201
1.0258
0.11
Lags 0–2
1.0098
1.0070
1.0127
0.50
1.0108
1.0077
1.0140
0.5
Lags 0–3
0.9932
0.9902
0.9963
0.67
0.9889
0.9855
0.9924
0.53
Lags 0–4
0.9899
0.9866
0.9932
0.55
0.9857
0.9819
0.9895
0.46
New Jersey
Lag 0
1.0152
1.0146
1.0159
< 0.05
1.0106
1.0099
1.0113
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0152
1.0144
1.0159
< 0.05
1.0138
1.0130
1.0146
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0121
1.0112
1.0129
< 0.05
1.0134
1.0125
1.0144
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0095
1.0086
1.0105
< 0.05
1.0129
1.0118
1.0139
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0064
1.0054
1.0074
0.22
1.0113
1.0101
1.0124
0.05
Ohio
Lag 0
1.0088
1.0083
1.0094
< 0.05
1.0077
1.0071
1.0083
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0096
1.0090
1.0102
< 0.05
1.0091
1.0084
1.0098
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0058
1.0051
1.0065
0.09
1.0041
1.0033
1.0048
0.29
Lags 0–3
1.0030
1.0022
1.0037
0.43
0.9996
0.9988
1.0005
0.93
Lags 0–4
1.0008
1.0000
1.0016
0.85
0.9956
0.9947
0.9965
0.34
Texas
Lag 0
1.0087
1.0082
1.0092
< 0.05
1.0107
1.0102
1.0112
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0096
1.0091
1.0102
< 0.05
1.0126
1.0121
1.0132
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0049
1.0043
1.0055
0.09
1.0087
1.0081
1.0093
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0012
1.0006
1.0019
0.69
1.0059
1.0053
1.0066
0.09
Lags 0–4
0.9999
0.9993
1.0006
0.98
1.0062
1.0055
1.0070
0.10
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement G.
Old estimate
New estimate
Exposure
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
California
Lag 0
1.0131
1.0115
1.0147
0.12
1.0096
1.0079
1.0114
0.29
Lags 0–1
1.0063
1.0046
1.0081
0.49
1.0009
0.9989
1.0029
0.93
Lags 0–2
1.0064
1.0045
1.0084
0.52
1.0018
0.9996
1.0039
0.87
Lags 0–3
1.0076
1.0055
1.0097
0.48
1.0018
0.9995
1.0041
0.88
Lags 0–4
1.0114
1.0092
1.0137
0.32
1.0024
0.9999
1.0049
0.85
Florida
Lag 0
1.0115
1.0065
1.0165
0.65
1.0098
1.0044
1.0152
0.72
Lags 0–1
1.0002
0.9946
1.0058
0.99
0.9966
0.9905
1.0027
0.91
Lags 0–2
0.9885
0.9824
0.9947
0.72
0.9857
0.9789
0.9925
0.68
Lags 0–3
0.9952
0.9886
1.0019
0.89
0.9890
0.9817
0.9964
0.77
Lags 0–4
1.0230
1.0159
1.0302
0.52
1.0164
1.0085
1.0244
0.68
Georgia
Lag 0
1.0284
1.0187
1.0383
0.56
1.0402
1.0292
1.0513
0.47
Lags 0–1
1.0243
1.0134
1.0353
0.66
1.0457
1.0331
1.0585
0.47
Lags 0–2
1.0373
1.0251
1.0496
0.54
1.0619
1.0476
1.0764
0.39
Lags 0–3
1.0495
1.0361
1.0631
0.46
1.0869
1.0710
1.1030
0.27
Lags 0–4
1.0644
1.0499
1.0792
0.37
1.1123
1.0947
1.1301
0.19
Illinois
Lag 0
1.0071
1.0054
1.0089
0.42
1.0145
1.0125
1.0164
0.14
Lags 0–1
1.0075
1.0055
1.0095
0.46
1.0157
1.0135
1.0180
0.16
Lags 0–2
1.0081
1.0058
1.0104
0.48
1.0193
1.0168
1.0218
0.13
Lags 0–3
1.0058
1.0033
1.0083
0.65
1.0164
1.0136
1.0192
0.25
Lags 0–4
1.0031
1.0004
1.0059
0.82
1.0126
1.0096
1.0157
0.42
Indiana
Lag 0
1.0775
1.0720
1.0830
< 0.05
1.0856
1.0797
1.0917
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0781
1.0719
1.0843
< 0.05
1.0804
1.0737
1.0872
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0657
1.0589
1.0725
0.05
1.0595
1.0521
1.0669
0.1
Lags 0–3
1.0581
1.0507
1.0655
0.11
1.0484
1.0405
1.0564
0.22
Lags 0–4
1.0586
1.0506
1.0667
0.14
1.0490
1.0405
1.0577
0.25
Kansas
Lag 0
0.9561
0.9444
0.9680
0.48
0.9625
0.9495
0.9756
0.58
Lags 0–1
0.9770
0.9634
0.9908
0.74
0.9981
0.9827
1.0138
0.98
Lags 0–2
1.0025
0.9873
1.0180
0.97
1.0254
1.0081
1.0431
0.77
Lags 0–3
1.0396
1.0225
1.0570
0.65
1.0873
1.0673
1.1077
0.38
Lags 0–4
1.0649
1.0460
1.0840
0.49
1.1367
1.1140
1.1598
0.21
Massachusetts
Lag 0
0.9984
0.9960
1.0009
0.90
0.9968
0.9941
0.9995
0.82
Lags 0–1
1.0046
1.0017
1.0075
0.76
1.0036
1.0004
1.0068
0.83
Lags 0–2
0.9955
0.9922
0.9988
0.79
0.9970
0.9933
1.0007
0.87
Lags 0–3
0.9887
0.9851
0.9923
0.54
0.9894
0.9853
0.9935
0.61
Lags 0–4
0.9839
0.9800
0.9879
0.43
0.9851
0.9807
0.9896
0.52
Michigan
Lag 0
1.0121
1.0093
1.0149
0.39
1.0197
1.0167
1.0228
0.2
Lags 0–1
1.0026
0.9995
1.0057
0.87
1.0094
1.0060
1.0129
0.59
Lags 0–2
1.0060
1.0024
1.0095
0.74
1.0118
1.0079
1.0157
0.55
Lags 0–3
1.0059
1.0020
1.0098
0.77
1.0105
1.0062
1.0147
0.63
Lags 0–4
1.0052
1.0010
1.0095
0.81
1.0127
1.0081
1.0174
0.59
Missouri
Lag 0
1.0262
1.0206
1.0319
0.35
1.0412
1.0349
1.0475
0.19
Lags 0–1
1.0195
1.0132
1.0258
0.54
1.0253
1.0183
1.0324
0.47
Lags 0–2
1.0311
1.0241
1.0381
0.38
1.0473
1.0394
1.0553
0.23
Lags 0–3
1.0159
1.0084
1.0235
0.68
1.0407
1.0321
1.0494
0.35
Lags 0–4
0.9988
0.9909
1.0069
0.98
1.0288
1.0196
1.0381
0.54
New Hampshire
Lag 0
1.0593
1.0313
1.0881
0.67
1.1049
1.0732
1.1375
0.5
Lags 0–1
0.9618
0.9318
0.9928
0.81
0.9531
0.9205
0.9868
0.79
Lags 0–2
0.9259
0.8930
0.9601
0.68
0.8824
0.8480
0.9182
0.54
Lags 0–3
0.8920
0.8570
0.9284
0.58
0.8629
0.8255
0.9020
0.51
Lags 0–4
0.7826
0.7483
0.8185
0.28
0.7777
0.7403
0.8169
0.32
New Jersey
Lag 0
0.9974
0.9950
0.9999
0.84
0.9950
0.9924
0.9977
0.71
Lags 0–1
0.9943
0.9915
0.9972
0.69
0.9890
0.9859
0.9920
0.48
Lags 0–2
0.9920
0.9888
0.9952
0.63
0.9898
0.9863
0.9933
0.57
Lags 0–3
0.9906
0.9870
0.9943
0.61
0.9920
0.9881
0.9960
0.69
Lags 0–4
0.9878
0.9839
0.9918
0.55
0.9899
0.9855
0.9942
0.65
Ohio
Lag 0
0.9978
0.9942
1.0013
0.90
0.9990
0.9952
1.0028
0.96
Lags 0–1
0.9976
0.9937
1.0017
0.91
1.0002
0.9959
1.0045
0.99
Lags 0–2
0.9937
0.9893
0.9982
0.78
0.9961
0.9913
1.0009
0.87
Lags 0–3
0.9977
0.9928
1.0027
0.93
1.0005
0.9951
1.0058
0.99
Lags 0–4
1.0000
0.9946
1.0054
1.00
1.0018
0.9960
1.0077
0.95
Texas
Lag 0
0.9901
0.9853
0.9949
0.69
0.9684
0.9634
0.9735
0.23
Lags 0–1
0.9836
0.9782
0.9891
0.56
0.9667
0.9609
0.9725
0.27
Lags 0–2
0.9861
0.9800
0.9921
0.65
0.9765
0.9699
0.9831
0.49
Lags 0–3
0.9957
0.9891
1.0023
0.90
0.9855
0.9783
0.9928
0.7
Lags 0–4
1.0081
1.0010
1.0154
0.82
0.9958
0.9879
1.0037
0.92
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement H.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
2000
Any day
0.9485
0.8922
1.0084
0.09
0.4763
0.4465
0.5081
< 0.05
1st day
1.0005
0.9456
1.0587
0.99
0.8542
0.8043
0.9073
0.61
2nd day
0.9966
0.9280
1.0702
0.92
0.7894
0.7312
0.8523
0.55
3rd day
0.9807
0.8987
1.0703
0.66
1.0744
0.9767
1.1818
0.88
2001
Any day
0.9800
0.9237
1.0397
0.50
0.6833
0.6401
0.7294
0.25
1st day
1.0296
0.9751
1.0872
0.29
1.0925
1.0298
1.1589
0.77
2nd day
1.0372
0.9683
1.1110
0.30
1.9251
1.7879
2.0728
0.08
3rd day
0.9641
0.8776
1.0591
0.45
0.8348
0.7553
0.9226
0.72
2002
Any day
0.9943
0.9341
1.0585
0.86
1.0278
0.9618
1.0983
0.94
1st day
0.9934
0.9368
1.0534
0.82
0.9970
0.9345
1.0637
0.99
2nd day
0.9974
0.9289
1.0709
0.94
0.8534
0.7901
0.9219
0.69
3rd day
0.9641
0.8776
1.0591
0.45
0.5669
0.5068
0.6343
0.32
2003
Any day
0.9973
0.9315
1.0677
0.94
0.9187
0.8514
0.9912
0.83
1st day
1.0660
1.0017
1.1344
< 0.05
1.6054
1.5012
1.7169
0.17
2nd day
0.9674
0.8944
1.0463
0.41
0.6832
0.6288
0.7423
0.37
3rd day
0.9424
0.8576
1.0355
0.22
0.4967
0.4496
0.5488
0.17
2004
Any day
1.0521
1.0106
1.0953
< 0.05
1.4140
1.3538
1.4770
0.12
1st day
1.0301
0.9911
1.0706
0.13
1.1508
1.1043
1.1993
0.50
2nd day
1.0119
0.9655
1.0606
0.62
1.3339
1.2687
1.4025
0.26
3rd day
1.0559
0.9986
1.1164
0.06
1.7391
1.6377
1.8468
0.07
2005
Any day
0.9626
0.9226
1.0043
0.08
0.5985
0.5712
0.6271
< 0.05
1st day
0.9893
0.9503
1.0299
0.60
0.9058
0.8673
0.9459
0.65
2nd day
0.9827
0.9368
1.0309
0.47
0.6965
0.6617
0.7331
0.17
3rd day
0.9788
0.9238
1.0370
0.47
0.9771
0.9176
1.0405
0.94
2006
Any day
1.0057
0.9631
1.0502
0.80
1.1723
1.1160
1.2314
0.53
1st day
1.0389
0.9929
1.0871
0.10
1.9436
1.8524
2.0393
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0106
0.9600
1.0639
0.69
1.1397
1.0798
1.2029
0.63
3rd day
0.9787
0.9237
1.0370
0.47
0.9307
0.8750
0.9900
0.82
2007
Any day
1.0045
0.9928
1.0164
0.45
1.1170
1.1022
1.1320
0.10
1st day
1.0103
0.9953
1.0256
0.18
1.0935
1.0760
1.1113
0.28
2nd day
0.9876
0.9695
1.0060
0.18
0.9083
0.8905
0.9265
0.34
3rd day
1.0092
0.9868
1.0322
0.42
1.2268
1.1974
1.2568
0.10
2008
Any day
1.0028
0.9919
1.0139
0.61
1.0166
1.0043
1.0290
0.79
1st day
0.9990
0.9845
1.0136
0.89
0.9874
0.9719
1.0031
0.87
2nd day
1.0150
0.9978
1.0326
0.09
1.1603
1.1389
1.1821
0.12
3rd day
1.0110
0.9904
1.0321
0.30
1.1741
1.1483
1.2005
0.16
2009
Any day
1.0017
0.9924
1.0110
0.73
1.0548
1.0440
1.0658
0.31
1st day
1.0093
0.9964
1.0223
0.16
1.0897
1.0749
1.1048
0.22
2nd day
0.9969
0.9814
1.0126
0.70
1.0539
1.0363
1.0717
0.54
3rd day
0.9867
0.9670
1.0069
0.19
0.8997
0.8804
0.9194
0.34
2010
Any day
1.0260
1.0159
1.0361
< 0.05
1.1450
1.1323
1.1578
< 0.05
1st day
1.0075
0.9939
1.0212
0.28
0.9894
0.9751
1.0041
0.89
2nd day
1.0171
1.0005
1.0340
< 0.05
1.1348
1.1147
1.1552
0.16
3rd day
1.0312
1.0109
1.0519
< 0.05
1.2961
1.2684
1.3245
< 0.05
2011
Any day
1.0004
0.9906
1.0103
0.94
1.1202
1.1079
1.1326
< 0.05
1st day
1.0148
1.0011
1.0288
< 0.05
1.2305
1.2127
1.2487
< 0.05
2nd day
0.9869
0.9705
1.0036
0.12
0.9523
0.9354
0.9696
0.59
3rd day
1.0042
0.9838
1.0250
0.69
1.0736
1.0502
1.0975
0.53
2012
Any day
1.0305
1.0205
1.0406
< 0.05
1.2161
1.2029
1.2295
< 0.05
1st day
1.0189
1.0055
1.0325
< 0.05
1.1252
1.1093
1.1413
0.10
2nd day
1.0180
1.0016
1.0347
< 0.05
1.1157
1.0964
1.1353
0.22
3rd day
1.0237
1.0034
1.0444
< 0.05
1.2335
1.2073
1.2604
0.06
2013
Any day
1.0168
1.0071
1.0266
< 0.05
1.2231
1.2104
1.2360
< 0.05
1st day
1.0043
0.9908
1.0181
0.53
1.0971
1.0812
1.1133
0.21
2nd day
1.0108
0.9939
1.0279
0.21
1.1586
1.1380
1.1797
0.11
3rd day
1.0225
1.0023
1.0431
< 0.05
1.2665
1.2398
1.2939
< 0.05
2014
Any day
0.9986
0.9882
1.0091
0.79
1.0207
1.0088
1.0327
0.73
1st day
0.9970
0.9829
1.0114
0.68
0.9818
0.9669
0.9970
0.82
2nd day
0.9953
0.9782
1.0127
0.60
0.9519
0.9342
0.9699
0.61
3rd day
1.0077
0.9858
1.0301
0.49
1.0709
1.0458
1.0966
0.57
2015
Any day
1.0051
0.9947
1.0156
0.33
1.2467
1.2328
1.2607
< 0.05
1st day
1.0071
0.9930
1.0214
0.33
1.1541
1.1368
1.1717
0.06
2nd day
1.0177
1.0003
1.0354
< 0.05
1.3149
1.2909
1.3393
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0173
0.9963
1.0388
0.11
1.3036
1.2747
1.3332
< 0.05
2016
Any day
1.0296
1.0186
1.0406
< 0.05
1.1412
1.1278
1.1549
< 0.05
1st day
1.0277
1.0127
1.0430
< 0.05
1.1876
1.1688
1.2066
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0295
1.0112
1.0482
< 0.05
1.2437
1.2199
1.2681
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0230
1.0007
1.0457
< 0.05
1.0712
1.0462
1.0968
0.57
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement H.
Old estimate
New estimate
Heat day
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
2000
Any day
0.9443
0.7704
1.1574
0.58
0.4969
0.4010
0.6156
0.52
1st day
1.1722
0.8804
1.5607
0.28
2.9312
2.1560
3.9851
0.49
2nd day
1.0136
0.7107
1.4456
0.94
1.0813
0.7442
1.5712
0.97
3rd day
0.6749
0.4151
1.0972
0.11
0.0090
0.0054
0.0148
0.07
2001
Any day
0.9519
0.7836
1.1562
0.62
0.5014
0.4020
0.6253
0.54
1st day
1.0473
0.7939
1.3817
0.74
2.9003
2.1418
3.9274
0.49
2nd day
0.7789
0.5235
1.1589
0.22
0.0758
0.0497
0.1156
0.23
3rd day
0.7273
0.4233
1.2495
0.25
0.0054
0.0031
0.0094
0.07
2002
Any day
1.0534
0.8531
1.3009
0.63
2.8301
2.2310
3.5900
0.39
1st day
0.8775
0.6143
1.2534
0.47
0.3633
0.2439
0.5413
0.62
2nd day
0.6871
0.4391
1.0749
0.10
0.0174
0.0106
0.0284
0.11
3rd day
0.7273
0.4233
1.2495
0.25
69.4835
38.8563
124.2519
0.15
2003
Any day
1.1611
0.9524
1.4156
0.14
11.6884
9.3215
14.6564
< 0.05
1st day
1.1348
0.8162
1.5778
0.45
9.7846
6.8295
14.0183
0.21
2nd day
0.9508
0.6196
1.4588
0.82
0.9024
0.5774
1.4103
0.96
3rd day
1.8368
1.2226
2.7594
< 0.05
139.0756
91.0386
212.4595
< 0.05
2004
Any day
1.0272
0.9058
1.1649
0.68
1.2190
1.0593
1.4027
0.78
1st day
1.1850
0.9872
1.4224
0.07
8.2959
6.7905
10.1350
< 0.05
2nd day
0.9205
0.7311
1.1589
0.48
0.2940
0.2298
0.3760
0.33
3rd day
0.8037
0.5995
1.0774
0.14
0.0853
0.0623
0.1168
0.12
2005
Any day
1.1008
0.9672
1.2528
0.15
4.3792
3.7878
5.0630
< 0.05
1st day
1.0888
0.8956
1.3237
0.39
3.6774
2.9680
4.5565
0.23
2nd day
1.0895
0.8674
1.3686
0.46
5.1398
4.0145
6.5806
0.19
3rd day
1.2123
0.9225
1.5930
0.17
4.0832
3.0138
5.5322
0.36
2006
Any day
1.0740
0.9331
1.2362
0.32
0.9767
0.8337
1.1441
0.98
1st day
1.0997
0.8785
1.3766
0.41
0.9290
0.7339
1.1759
0.95
2nd day
0.9565
0.7413
1.2342
0.73
0.6484
0.4960
0.8477
0.75
3rd day
1.0563
0.7933
1.4066
0.71
0.6745
0.4949
0.9193
0.80
2007
Any day
0.9811
0.9142
1.0528
0.60
0.9392
0.8684
1.0158
0.88
1st day
1.0253
0.9251
1.1362
0.63
1.3820
1.2352
1.5462
0.57
2nd day
0.9631
0.8473
1.0947
0.56
0.6048
0.5268
0.6942
0.47
3rd day
0.9373
0.7976
1.1014
0.43
0.6173
0.5195
0.7337
0.58
2008
Any day
0.9911
0.9321
1.0539
0.78
0.7301
0.6818
0.7819
0.37
1st day
1.0069
0.9164
1.1063
0.89
1.0202
0.9208
1.1304
0.97
2nd day
0.9947
0.8893
1.1125
0.93
0.7201
0.6378
0.8131
0.60
3rd day
0.9543
0.8341
1.0917
0.50
0.4485
0.3883
0.5179
0.27
2009
Any day
0.9772
0.9251
1.0323
0.41
0.6014
0.5658
0.6392
0.10
1st day
0.9188
0.8427
1.0018
0.05
0.3385
0.3088
0.3711
< 0.05
2nd day
1.0168
0.9162
1.1285
0.75
1.2062
1.0793
1.3480
0.74
3rd day
1.1579
1.0202
1.3143
< 0.05
3.3197
2.8967
3.8044
0.08
2010
Any day
1.0593
0.9985
1.1236
0.06
2.0142
1.8878
2.1490
< 0.05
1st day
1.0025
0.9122
1.1018
0.96
1.1307
1.0210
1.2522
0.81
2nd day
1.1280
1.0108
1.2589
< 0.05
1.8317
1.6273
2.0618
0.32
3rd day
1.0317
0.9023
1.1797
0.65
2.2578
1.9498
2.6145
0.28
2011
Any day
1.0357
0.9765
1.0986
0.24
1.8924
1.7709
2.0224
0.06
1st day
0.9989
0.9103
1.0960
0.98
1.0720
0.9697
1.1852
0.89
2nd day
1.0005
0.8900
1.1247
0.99
1.2928
1.1393
1.4670
0.69
3rd day
0.9915
0.8611
1.1417
0.91
0.9081
0.7800
1.0574
0.90
2012
Any day
1.0083
0.9502
1.0700
0.78
0.7972
0.7457
0.8522
0.51
1st day
0.9758
0.8909
1.0688
0.60
0.7121
0.6461
0.7849
0.49
2nd day
0.9859
0.8774
1.1078
0.81
0.7069
0.6248
0.7997
0.58
3rd day
0.9844
0.8542
1.1345
0.83
0.6514
0.5601
0.7575
0.58
2013
Any day
0.9884
0.9332
1.0469
0.69
1.2316
1.1568
1.3112
0.51
1st day
0.9970
0.9071
1.0958
0.95
1.2096
1.0913
1.3406
0.72
2nd day
0.9923
0.8816
1.1168
0.90
1.5142
1.3335
1.7193
0.52
3rd day
0.9897
0.8625
1.1356
0.88
1.2006
1.0358
1.3917
0.81
2014
Any day
0.9942
0.9311
1.0616
0.86
0.7803
0.7250
0.8397
0.51
1st day
1.0027
0.9090
1.1060
0.96
1.0170
0.9147
1.1308
0.98
2nd day
0.9296
0.8214
1.0520
0.25
0.4366
0.3818
0.4994
0.23
3rd day
1.0659
0.9128
1.2448
0.42
1.8001
1.5194
2.1326
0.50
2015
Any day
1.1146
1.0457
1.1881
< 0.05
4.0144
3.7491
4.2986
< 0.05
1st day
1.0730
0.9751
1.1808
0.15
2.6014
2.3470
2.8834
0.07
2nd day
1.1101
0.9852
1.2509
0.09
4.6836
4.1202
5.3239
< 0.05
3rd day
1.0207
0.8828
1.1802
0.78
1.1026
0.9431
1.2890
0.90
2016
Any day
1.0456
0.9784
1.1175
0.19
1.7317
1.6103
1.8622
0.14
1st day
0.9830
0.8883
1.0877
0.74
0.9885
0.8862
1.1027
0.98
2nd day
1.1660
1.0383
1.3095
< 0.05
3.6850
3.2514
4.1764
< 0.05
3rd day
0.9712
0.8292
1.1374
0.72
1.3298
1.1220
1.5762
0.74
Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement I.
Old estimate
New estimate
Exposure
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
2000
Lag 0
0.9216
0.9197
0.9235
< 0.05
0.9833
0.9811
0.9856
0.16
Lags 0–1
0.8989
0.8967
0.9012
< 0.05
0.9878
0.9851
0.9906
0.39
Lags 0–2
0.8736
0.8711
0.8761
< 0.05
0.9957
0.9925
0.9990
0.80
Lags 0–3
0.8453
0.8426
0.8481
< 0.05
0.9959
0.9922
0.9996
0.83
Lags 0–4
0.8278
0.8249
0.8308
< 0.05
0.9896
0.9856
0.9937
0.61
2001
Lag 0
1.0651
1.0632
1.0670
< 0.05
1.0342
1.0321
1.0364
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.1001
1.0978
1.1025
< 0.05
1.0482
1.0456
1.0508
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.1190
1.1164
1.1217
< 0.05
1.0489
1.0459
1.0520
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.1407
1.1376
1.1437
< 0.05
1.0535
1.0501
1.0569
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.1591
1.1557
1.1625
< 0.05
1.0593
1.0555
1.0630
< 0.05
2002
Lag 0
0.9930
0.9915
0.9945
0.37
0.9933
0.9916
0.9949
0.43
Lags 0–1
0.9988
0.9970
1.0006
0.90
0.9986
0.9965
1.0006
0.89
Lags 0–2
0.9998
0.9977
1.0019
0.99
0.9963
0.9940
0.9986
0.75
Lags 0–3
0.9972
0.9948
0.9995
0.81
0.9887
0.9862
0.9913
0.40
Lags 0–4
0.9846
0.9820
0.9871
0.24
0.9736
0.9707
0.9764
0.07
2003
Lag 0
0.9895
0.9877
0.9912
0.23
1.0054
1.0035
1.0074
0.58
Lags 0–1
0.9850
0.9828
0.9871
0.17
1.0099
1.0074
1.0123
0.43
Lags 0–2
0.9590
0.9566
0.9614
< 0.05
0.9940
0.9911
0.9970
0.69
Lags 0–3
0.9577
0.9550
0.9604
< 0.05
0.9998
0.9964
1.0032
0.99
Lags 0–4
0.9570
0.9540
0.9600
< 0.05
1.0011
0.9973
1.0049
0.96
2004
Lag 0
1.0398
1.0387
1.0410
< 0.05
1.0137
1.0125
1.0149
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0428
1.0414
1.0441
< 0.05
1.0153
1.0139
1.0168
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0410
1.0395
1.0426
< 0.05
1.0153
1.0137
1.0169
0.06
Lags 0–3
1.0428
1.0411
1.0445
< 0.05
1.0178
1.0159
1.0196
0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0388
1.0369
1.0407
< 0.05
1.0119
1.0100
1.0139
0.24
2005
Lag 0
1.0515
1.0503
1.0527
< 0.05
1.0135
1.0122
1.0149
0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0779
1.0764
1.0793
< 0.05
1.0208
1.0192
1.0225
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.1114
1.1097
1.1132
< 0.05
1.0290
1.0271
1.0309
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.1355
1.1335
1.1375
< 0.05
1.0332
1.0310
1.0353
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.1494
1.1472
1.1516
< 0.05
1.0290
1.0267
1.0313
< 0.05
2006
Lag 0
0.9910
0.9898
0.9921
0.14
1.0108
1.0095
1.0122
0.11
Lags 0–1
0.9900
0.9886
0.9914
0.16
1.0158
1.0142
1.0174
0.05
Lags 0–2
0.9841
0.9825
0.9856
< 0.05
1.0194
1.0175
1.0212
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
0.9782
0.9764
0.9799
< 0.05
1.0202
1.0181
1.0222
0.05
Lags 0–4
0.9759
0.9740
0.9778
< 0.05
1.0237
1.0214
1.0260
< 0.05
2007
Lag 0
1.0041
1.0036
1.0045
0.09
1.0113
1.0108
1.0118
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
0.9993
0.9988
0.9998
0.79
1.0122
1.0116
1.0128
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
0.9944
0.9938
0.9950
0.06
1.0110
1.0103
1.0116
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
0.9914
0.9907
0.9920
< 0.05
1.0092
1.0085
1.0099
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
0.9903
0.9896
0.9910
< 0.05
1.0098
1.0090
1.0106
< 0.05
2008
Lag 0
0.9552
0.9547
0.9557
< 0.05
1.0062
1.0056
1.0067
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
0.9504
0.9498
0.9509
< 0.05
1.0105
1.0099
1.0112
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
0.9413
0.9407
0.9419
< 0.05
1.0088
1.0081
1.0095
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
0.9319
0.9312
0.9325
< 0.05
1.0077
1.0069
1.0085
0.06
Lags 0–4
0.9250
0.9243
0.9257
< 0.05
1.0075
1.0066
1.0084
0.10
2009
Lag 0
1.0319
1.0314
1.0324
< 0.05
1.0067
1.0062
1.0072
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0353
1.0347
1.0358
< 0.05
1.0098
1.0092
1.0104
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0344
1.0338
1.0350
< 0.05
1.0093
1.0087
1.0100
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0346
1.0339
1.0352
< 0.05
1.0085
1.0077
1.0092
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0355
1.0348
1.0362
< 0.05
1.0069
1.0061
1.0077
0.08
2010
Lag 0
1.0268
1.0263
1.0273
< 0.05
1.0102
1.0097
1.0107
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0374
1.0368
1.0379
< 0.05
1.0136
1.0131
1.0142
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0425
1.0419
1.0431
< 0.05
1.0126
1.0120
1.0133
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0442
1.0435
1.0448
< 0.05
1.0113
1.0106
1.0120
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0436
1.0429
1.0443
< 0.05
1.0098
1.0090
1.0105
< 0.05
2011
Lag 0
1.0092
1.0087
1.0097
< 0.05
1.0071
1.0066
1.0076
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0075
1.0070
1.0081
< 0.05
1.0090
1.0084
1.0096
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0013
1.0007
1.0019
0.68
1.0097
1.0090
1.0104
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
0.9960
0.9953
0.9966
0.23
1.0083
1.0076
1.0090
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
0.9934
0.9927
0.9941
0.07
1.0077
1.0069
1.0085
0.06
2012
Lag 0
0.9969
0.9964
0.9974
0.23
1.0062
1.0057
1.0068
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
0.9966
0.9961
0.9972
0.23
1.0080
1.0074
1.0086
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
0.9914
0.9908
0.9920
< 0.05
1.0043
1.0036
1.0050
0.22
Lags 0–3
0.9859
0.9853
0.9866
< 0.05
1.0005
0.9998
1.0012
0.9
Lags 0–4
0.9819
0.9813
0.9826
< 0.05
0.9995
0.9987
1.0003
0.91
2013
Lag 0
1.0155
1.0150
1.0160
< 0.05
1.0051
1.0045
1.0056
0.07
Lags 0–1
1.0204
1.0198
1.0209
< 0.05
1.0087
1.0081
1.0093
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0264
1.0258
1.0270
< 0.05
1.0078
1.0071
1.0084
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0342
1.0336
1.0349
< 0.05
1.0063
1.0056
1.0071
0.08
Lags 0–4
1.0416
1.0409
1.0423
< 0.05
1.0042
1.0034
1.0050
0.29
2014
Lag 0
0.9768
0.9763
0.9773
< 0.05
1.0037
1.0032
1.0043
0.21
Lags 0–1
0.9775
0.9769
0.9780
< 0.05
1.0034
1.0028
1.0040
0.3
Lags 0–2
0.9756
0.9750
0.9762
< 0.05
1.0025
1.0018
1.0032
0.48
Lags 0–3
0.9732
0.9726
0.9738
< 0.05
1.0023
1.0015
1.0030
0.55
Lags 0–4
0.9711
0.9705
0.9718
< 0.05
1.0024
1.0016
1.0032
0.56
2015
Lag 0
1.0257
1.0251
1.0262
< 0.05
1.0080
1.0074
1.0086
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0262
1.0256
1.0268
< 0.05
1.0077
1.0070
1.0084
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0248
1.0241
1.0254
< 0.05
1.0070
1.0063
1.0077
0.06
Lags 0–3
1.0246
1.0239
1.0253
< 0.05
1.0054
1.0047
1.0062
0.17
Lags 0–4
1.0277
1.0269
1.0285
< 0.05
1.0063
1.0055
1.0072
0.14
2016
Lag 0
1.0261
1.0255
1.0267
< 0.05
1.0107
1.0100
1.0113
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0302
1.0295
1.0309
< 0.05
1.0106
1.0099
1.0114
< 0.05
Lags 0–2
1.0344
1.0336
1.0351
< 0.05
1.0116
1.0108
1.0125
< 0.05
Lags 0–3
1.0353
1.0345
1.0361
< 0.05
1.0115
1.0106
1.0124
< 0.05
Lags 0–4
1.0333
1.0324
1.0342
< 0.05
1.0098
1.0088
1.0107
< 0.05
Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement I.
Old estimate
New estimate
Exposure
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
Estimate
2.5%
97.5%
p
2000
Lag 0
1.0093
1.0003
1.0185
0.84
1.0127
1.0028
1.0227
0.80
Lags 0–1
0.9539
0.9435
0.9644
0.40
0.9506
0.9392
0.9621
0.41
Lags 0–2
0.8877
0.8763
0.8992
0.07
0.8912
0.8785
0.9041
0.12
Lags 0–3
0.8555
0.8431
0.8682
< 0.05
0.8743
0.8601
0.8889
0.11
Lags 0–4
0.8119
0.7987
0.8253
< 0.05
0.8400
0.8246
0.8557
0.06
2001
Lag 0
1.0206
1.0132
1.0280
0.58
1.0262
1.0178
1.0346
0.54
Lags 0–1
1.0358
1.0272
1.0446
0.41
1.0482
1.0381
1.0584
0.34
Lags 0–2
1.0289
1.0192
1.0387
0.56
1.0418
1.0303
1.0534
0.47
Lags 0–3
1.0349
1.0241
1.0457
0.52
1.0398
1.0271
1.0527
0.53
Lags 0–4
1.0135
1.0021
1.0251
0.82
1.0164
1.0029
1.0301
0.81
2002
Lag 0
1.0415
1.0343
1.0488
0.25
1.0284
1.0206
1.0362
0.47
Lags 0–1
1.0618
1.0532
1.0704
0.15
1.0469
1.0376
1.0564
0.32
Lags 0–2
1.0774
1.0678
1.0872
0.10
1.0653
1.0547
1.0760
0.21
Lags 0–3
1.0574
1.0469
1.0680
0.27
1.0493
1.0378
1.0608
0.39
Lags 0–4
1.0259
1.0147
1.0372
0.65
1.0325
1.0201
1.0451
0.60
2003
Lag 0
1.0359
1.0283
1.0436
0.35
1.0578
1.0493
1.0663
0.17
Lags 0–1
1.0248
1.0158
1.0340
0.59
1.0630
1.0528
1.0733
0.22
Lags 0–2
1.0343
1.0237
1.0451
0.52
1.0781
1.0660
1.0904
0.19
Lags 0–3
1.0389
1.0269
1.0511
0.52
1.0832
1.0692
1.0974
0.23
Lags 0–4
1.0443
1.0311
1.0578
0.51
1.0648
1.0492
1.0806
0.40
2004
Lag 0
1.0119
1.0070
1.0167
0.63
1.0219
1.0167
1.0271
0.40
Lags 0–1
1.0274
1.0217
1.0331
0.34
1.0255
1.0194
1.0316
0.41
Lags 0–2
1.0143
1.0077
1.0209
0.67
1.0153
1.0083
1.0223
0.67
Lags 0–3
0.9966
0.9894
1.0040
0.93
1.0068
0.9990
1.0146
0.87
Lags 0–4
1.0059
0.9978
1.0141
0.89
1.0179
1.0092
1.0267
0.69
2005
Lag 0
1.0120
1.0075
1.0165
0.60
1.0236
1.0183
1.0288
0.37
Lags 0–1
1.0116
1.0065
1.0168
0.66
1.0334
1.0272
1.0395
0.28
Lags 0–2
1.0089
1.0031
1.0147
0.76
1.0364
1.0295
1.0434
0.30
Lags 0–3
1.0118
1.0054
1.0182
0.72
1.0402
1.0325
1.0479
0.30
Lags 0–4
1.0124
1.0055
1.0194
0.73
1.0431
1.0348
1.0514
0.30
2006
Lag 0
0.9948
0.9902
0.9994
0.83
0.9735
0.9686
0.9784
0.29
Lags 0–1
0.9852
0.9799
0.9905
0.59
0.9605
0.9548
0.9662
0.18
Lags 0–2
0.9720
0.9660
0.9781
0.37
0.9564
0.9499
0.9629
0.20
Lags 0–3
0.9730
0.9663
0.9797
0.44
0.9596
0.9523
0.9670
0.29
Lags 0–4
0.9799
0.9725
0.9873
0.60
0.9634
0.9553
0.9715
0.39
2007
Lag 0
0.9994
0.9967
1.0022
0.97
0.9989
0.9959
1.0018
0.94
Lags 0–1
0.9910
0.9878
0.9941
0.58
0.9949
0.9915
0.9983
0.77
Lags 0–2
0.9904
0.9868
0.9939
0.60
0.9946
0.9908
0.9984
0.78
Lags 0–3
0.9884
0.9844
0.9923
0.57
0.9937
0.9894
0.9979
0.77
Lags 0–4
0.9846
0.9803
0.9889
0.49
0.9950
0.9904
0.9997
0.83
2008
Lag 0
1.0107
1.0080
1.0135
0.44
1.0330
1.0299
1.0362
< 0.05
Lags 0–1
1.0070
1.0038
1.0101
0.66
1.0296
1.0260
1.0331
0.10
Lags 0–2
1.0062
1.0027
1.0097
0.73
1.0272
1.0232
1.0312
0.18
Lags 0–3
1.0026
0.9988
1.0065
0.89
1.0226
1.0182
1.0270
0.31
Lags 0–4
1.0005
0.9964
1.0047
0.98
1.0192
1.0144
1.0240
0.43
2009
Lag 0
1.0077
1.0052
1.0101
0.54
0.9918
0.9892
0.9945
0.55
Lags 0–1
1.0108
1.0080
1.0137
0.45
0.9882
0.9851
0.9913
0.45
Lags 0–2
1.0131
1.0099
1.0162
0.42
0.9873
0.9838
0.9907
0.47
Lags 0–3
1.0162
1.0128
1.0197
0.36
0.9861
0.9824
0.9899
0.48
Lags 0–4
1.0177
1.0140
1.0215
0.35
0.9797
0.9756
0.9838
0.33
2010
Lag 0
0.9817
0.9791
0.9844
0.18
0.9947
0.9919
0.9975
0.71
Lags 0–1
0.9703
0.9674
0.9732
< 0.05
0.9812
0.9781
0.9843
0.24
Lags 0–2
0.9654
0.9623
0.9686
< 0.05
0.9783
0.9749
0.9817
0.22
Lags 0–3
0.9632
0.9598
0.9667
< 0.05
0.9778
0.9741
0.9815
0.25
Lags 0–4
0.9561
0.9524
0.9598
< 0.05
0.9716
0.9676
0.9757
0.17
2011
Lag 0
1.0303
1.0274
1.0332
< 0.05
1.0283
1.0252
1.0315
0.08
Lags 0–1
1.0182
1.0149
1.0215
0.27
1.0200
1.0164
1.0236
0.27
Lags 0–2
1.0074
1.0038
1.0111
0.69
1.0132
1.0092
1.0172
0.51
Lags 0–3
1.0092
1.0052
1.0133
0.65
1.0158
1.0114
1.0202
0.48
Lags 0–4
1.0116
1.0072
1.0160
0.60
1.0186
1.0137
1.0234
0.45
2012
Lag 0
1.0170
1.0142
1.0198
0.23
1.0058
1.0029
1.0088
0.70
Lags 0–1
1.0267
1.0236
1.0299
0.09
1.0137
1.0104
1.0170
0.41
Lags 0–2
1.0389
1.0354
1.0423
< 0.05
1.0293
1.0256
1.0329
0.11
Lags 0–3
1.0430
1.0393
1.0468
< 0.05
1.0338
1.0298
1.0378
0.09
Lags 0–4
1.0450
1.0409
1.0490
< 0.05
1.0359
1.0316
1.0402
0.10
2013
Lag 0
0.9742
0.9713
0.9772
0.09
0.9900
0.9867
0.9934
0.57
Lags 0–1
0.9638
0.9604
0.9671
< 0.05
0.9816
0.9778
0.9854
0.35
Lags 0–2
0.9661
0.9624
0.9697
0.07
0.9935
0.9893
0.9978
0.77
Lags 0–3
0.9654
0.9615
0.9694
0.09
0.9987
0.9940
1.0034
0.96
Lags 0–4
0.9676
0.9633
0.9719
0.14
1.0040
0.9989
1.0091
0.88
2014
Lag 0
1.0251
1.0217
1.0285
0.14
1.0152
1.0115
1.0188
0.41
Lags 0–1
1.0356
1.0318
1.0394
0.06
1.0171
1.0130
1.0214
0.42
Lags 0–2
1.0423
1.0381
1.0464
< 0.05
1.0251
1.0204
1.0298
0.29
Lags 0–3
1.0377
1.0332
1.0422
0.09
1.0203
1.0152
1.0255
0.44
Lags 0–4
1.0493
1.0445
1.0541
< 0.05
1.0338
1.0281
1.0395
0.24
2015
Lag 0
1.0060
1.0034
1.0086
0.65
1.0277
1.0247
1.0307
0.07
Lags 0–1
1.0075
1.0046
1.0105
0.62
1.0329
1.0294
1.0363
0.06
Lags 0–2
1.0052
1.0019
1.0085
0.76
1.0323
1.0284
1.0361
0.10
Lags 0–3
1.0061
1.0024
1.0098
0.75
1.0305
1.0263
1.0348
0.15
Lags 0–4
1.0094
1.0053
1.0135
0.65
1.0332
1.0286
1.0379
0.15
2016
Lag 0
1.0430
1.0388
1.0472
< 0.05
1.0173
1.0128
1.0219
0.45
Lags 0–1
1.0267
1.0220
1.0314
0.25
1.0002
0.9952
1.0053
0.99
Lags 0–2
1.0262
1.0211
1.0313
0.31
0.9940
0.9885
0.9996
0.83
Lags 0–3
1.0282
1.0227
1.0337
0.31
0.9899
0.9840
0.9959
0.74
Lags 0–4
1.0328
1.0269
1.0388
0.27
0.9904
0.9840
0.9968
0.77
Castro, et al. Modification of the PM2.5- and extreme heat-mortality relationships by historical redlining: A case-crossover study in thirteen U.S. states. Environ Health. 2024;23:16. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01055-5.
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Authors and Affiliations
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, USA
Edgar Castro, Abbie Liu, Yaguang Wei, Anna Kosheleva & Joel Schwartz
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Correspondence to Edgar Castro.
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Castro, E., Liu, A., Wei, Y. et al. Correction: Modification of the PM2.5- and extreme heat-mortality relationships by historical redlining: A case-crossover study in thirteen U.S. states. Environ Health23, 34 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01072-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01072-4
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