Echocardiography and Biomarker-based Regression Models for the Detection of Gestational Hypertension in Pregnant Women

Dolina G Gencheva, Fedya Nikolov, Ekaterina Uchikova, Rosen D Mihaylov, B. Pencheva
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Abstract

Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are characterized by both higher cardiovascular risk for women and more pronounced structural and functional changes of the heart. Certain biomarkers and echocardiographic parameters could be utilized in regression models for more accurate detection of the presence of those hypertensive disorders. The aim of the study was to compare the differentiating abilities of several regression models for statistical certainty in establishing the diagnosis of gestational hypertension in pregnant women using echocardiographic parameters and biomarkers. A prospective, single-centre, clinical-epidemiological study was conducted with the participation of 36 women with gestational hypertension and 50 maternal and gestational age-matched healthy pregnant controls. Certain echocardiographic parameters and serum biomarkers – placental growth factor (PlGF), galectin-3, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and Interleukin-6, were analyzed for the women using ROC curve analysis and binary logistic regression. We constructed three regression models, allowing very good differentiation between women with gestational hypertension and those with normotensive pregnancy. The model that included PlGF, left ventricular and right ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV GLS, RV GLS) had AUC 0.81, sensitivity and specificity of 86% and accuracy of 86%. The LV GLS and PlGF model had AUC of 0.90 with sensitivity 83%, specificity 88%, and accuracy 86%; and the LV GLS and RV GLS had AUC of 0.83, sensitivity 67%, specificity 92%, and accuracy 81%. All three combined models showed better accuracy compared to PlGF, LV GLS, RV GLS or any other echocardiographic parameter or biomarker alone, which could be promising for their implementation in clinical practice.
检测孕妇妊娠高血压的超声心动图和生物标记回归模型
妊娠期高血压疾病的特点是女性心血管风险更高,心脏结构和功能变化更明显。某些生物标志物和超声心动图参数可用于回归模型,以更准确地检测是否存在这些高血压疾病。该研究旨在比较几种回归模型的区分能力,以利用超声心动图参数和生物标志物确定孕妇妊娠高血压诊断的统计学确定性。该研究是一项前瞻性、单中心、临床流行病学研究,有 36 名妊娠高血压孕妇和 50 名母体与胎龄匹配的健康孕妇对照。研究采用 ROC 曲线分析和二元逻辑回归法分析了某些超声心动图参数和血清生物标志物--胎盘生长因子(PlGF)、galectin-3、高敏 C 反应蛋白和白细胞介素-6。我们构建了三个回归模型,可以很好地区分妊娠高血压和血压正常的孕妇。包括 PlGF、左心室和右心室整体纵向应变(LV GLS、RV GLS)的模型的 AUC 为 0.81,灵敏度和特异性为 86%,准确率为 86%。LV GLS 和 PlGF 模型的 AUC 为 0.90,敏感性为 83%,特异性为 88%,准确性为 86%;LV GLS 和 RV GLS 的 AUC 为 0.83,敏感性为 67%,特异性为 92%,准确性为 81%。与 PlGF、左心室 GLS、左心室 GLS 或任何其他单独的超声心动图参数或生物标记物相比,所有这三种组合模型都显示出更高的准确性,有望在临床实践中应用。
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