ANALYSING THE ROLE OF DRIVER BEHAVIORS IN ROAD TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS: AN APPLICATION OF MACHINE LEARNING

IF 1 Q4 MANAGEMENT
Khurram Mahmood, T. Bashir, Hafiz Mudassir Rehman, M. Rehman, Zainab Nayyar
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Abstract

Continuous innovations are taking place worldwide to develop solutions for problems encountered by human beings. The preventionof a variety of accidents due to burning, drowning, terrorism, electric shocks, and road traffic is among the important concerns ofresearchers and solution developers. Specifically, this current study aims to analyse the contributions of different driver behaviours that resulted in road accidents, followed by proposing a viable solution and reducing the road accident frequencies to benefit society at large. This study employed two methods to analyse data. One was through SEM, and the second was through Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The study is descriptive in nature and it used the survey method to collect sample data from 345 drivers from various professional backgrounds. The questionnaire consisted of independent variables, namely slips, errors, mistakes, lapse violations and unintentional violations. To measure the contributions of these variables towards accidents, age was taken as the moderator. The statistical techniques used included reliability, correlation, and normality analyses, in addition to artificial neural networks and regression analyses. Each factor was found to be a significant contributor to road accidents. Moreover, no significant difference was found in drivers’ behaviour between males and females, but age was found to have a moderating effect on the relationship between driver behaviours and accidents. Additionally, the rate of accidents decreases with the increases in age and vice versa. 
分析驾驶员行为在道路交通事故中的作用:机器学习的应用
为了解决人类遇到的问题,全世界都在不断创新。预防因燃烧、溺水、恐怖袭击、电击和道路交通造成的各种事故是研究人员和解决方案开发人员关注的重要问题之一。具体而言,本研究旨在分析不同驾驶员行为对道路交通事故的影响,进而提出可行的解决方案,降低道路交通事故频率,造福全社会。本研究采用两种方法分析数据。其一是通过 SEM,其二是通过人工神经网络(ANN)。本研究属于描述性研究,采用调查法从 345 名来自不同专业背景的司机中收集样本数据。调查问卷由自变量组成,即滑倒、失误、错误、失误违规和无意违规。为了测量这些变量对事故的影响,将年龄作为调节变量。使用的统计技术包括可靠性、相关性和正态性分析,以及人工神经网络和回归分析。结果发现,每个因素对道路交通事故的发生都有重要影响。此外,男性和女性驾驶员的行为没有明显差异,但年龄对驾驶员行为和事故之间的关系有调节作用。此外,事故率随着年龄的增长而降低,反之亦然。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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