The Effect of Direct Expenditure for Agriculture Sector and Absorbed Labor on Economic Growth and Poverty Levels in Sumatera Barat Province

Serly Deranti, Harianto Harianto, Ma'mun Sarma
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Abstract

As one of the basic sectors in Sumatera Barat Province is agricultural sector contributes to the highest GRDP and employment absorption every year. This study aims to explain the effect of direct spending of the agricultural sector and absorbed labor on economic growth and poverty rates in Sumatera Barat Province. This study uses secondary data from 19 (nineteen) regencies/cities in West Sumatra Province from 2015 to 2020 which consist of data on the realization of direct expenditure budgets on agricultural sector SKPD (DPTPH, DPKH, DKP, and the Food Service), the number of workers absorbed agricultural sector, economic growth rate, and poverty rate. This secondary data comes from BPS and BPKAD of Sumatera Barat Province. The data analysis method used is path analysis with panel data. The following results were obtained is; 1) Direct spending on agricultural sector has a significant and positive correlation with economic growth and poverty rates; 2) The number of workers absorbed does not significantly affect either economic growth or the poverty rate; 3) The dummy variable between districts or cities has a significant effect on the poverty rate but does not significantly affect economic growth, and 4) Economic growth has a significant and positive correlation with the poverty rate. Researchers suggest that it is important for the government to evaluate agricultural development programs, especially those related to poverty reduction.
农业部门直接支出和吸收劳动力对苏门答腊省经济增长和贫困水平的影响
作为苏门答腊省的基础产业之一,农业部门每年为苏门答腊省创造的国内生产总值(GRDP)和吸纳的就业人数最多。本研究旨在解释农业部门的直接支出和吸收的劳动力对苏门答腊省经济增长和贫困率的影响。本研究使用西苏门答腊省 19 个县/市 2015 年至 2020 年的二手数据,这些数据包括农业部门 SKPD(DPTPH、DPKH、DKP 和食品服务)直接支出预算的实现情况、农业部门吸纳的劳动力数量、经济增长率和贫困率。这些二手数据来自苏门答腊省的 BPS 和 BPKAD。采用的数据分析方法是面板数据路径分析。结果如下:1)农业部门的直接支出与经济增长率和贫困率有显著的正相关关系;2)吸收的工人数量对经济增长率和贫困率都没有显著影响;3)地区或城市之间的虚拟变量对贫困率有显著影响,但对经济增长率没有显著影响;4)经济增长率与贫困率有显著的正相关关系。研究人员建议,政府必须对农业发展计划进行评估,尤其是与减贫相关的计划。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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