A Mathematical Approach to Optimize Security Crisis Management and Strengthen National Defense in DKI Jakarta Province

Anatansyah Ayomi Anandari, A. F. Wadjdi, Gentio Harsono
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Abstract

This research aims to apply military mathematical models in decision making for security crisis management in DKI Jakarta Province. This research departs from the urgent need to deal with crime problems and improve regional security. Regression model is used to analyze the relationship between independent variables (Pure Participation Rate, Unemployment, Gini Index, and GRDP) and dependent variable (Criminal Risk). Historical and current data on security, education, employment, income inequality, and the economy were collected for analysis. The results show that Net Enrolment Rate and Unemployment have a negative influence on Criminal Risk, while Gini Index and GRDP have a positive influence. These findings provide a deeper understanding of the factors that contribute to the security crisis in the region. Based on the analysis results, this study concludes that the application of military mathematical models can be an important reference for the government in addressing the crime problem and improving security in DKI Jakarta Province. The proposed recommendations are to improve access to education, reduce the unemployment rate, address income inequality, and strengthen the economic sector. The implementation of integrated policies between government agencies is also considered important to achieve optimal results in overcoming the security crisis.
优化安全危机管理和加强雅加达省国防的数学方法
本研究旨在将军事数学模型应用于雅加达省的安全危机管理决策中。本研究的出发点是解决犯罪问题和改善地区安全的迫切需要。回归模型用于分析自变量(纯参与率、失业率、基尼指数和 GRDP)与因变量(犯罪风险)之间的关系。为进行分析,收集了有关安全、教育、就业、收入不平等和经济的历史和当前数据。结果显示,净入学率和失业率对犯罪风险有负面影响,而基尼指数和 GRDP 有正面影响。这些研究结果使我们对造成该地区安全危机的因素有了更深入的了解。根据分析结果,本研究得出结论:军事数学模型的应用可以为政府解决雅加达省的犯罪问题和改善安全状况提供重要参考。提出的建议包括:改善受教育机会、降低失业率、解决收入不平等问题以及加强经济部门。在政府机构之间实施综合政策对于克服安全危机取得最佳效果也很重要。
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