Parameter Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Geographically and Temporally Weighted Bivariate Weibull Regression

Muhammad Eka Prasetya, Purhadi, Sutikno
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Abstract

In global regression, there is an assumption in the form of an error from a normally distributed model, so data that is normally distributed is required. But in reality, not all of the tested data meet the normal distribution. One of the theoretical distributions of continuous random variables that is often used is the Weibull distribution, where the Weibull distribution is a distribution that is often used to analyze the reliability of an object. If there are two response variables that are correlated with each other, the appropriate method used is Bivariate Weibull Regression (BWR). Spatial data has been widely used in various research fields. The Geographically Weighted Bivariate Weibull Regression (GWBWR) model is a model in which there are spatial effects, where there is spatial heterogeneity in bivariate regression with the response variable being Weibull distribution. In addition, panel data has also been applied in various cases, where panel data can provide information covering more than one time period. This can lead to a temporal effect. This study develops a model that can handle cases of spatial and temporal heterogeneity simultaneously, namely the Geographically and Temporally Weighted Bivariate Weibull Regression (GTWBWR) model. The parameter estimation in the model uses the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method which gives results that are not closed-form, so it is continued with the Berndt-Hall-Hall-Hausman (BHHH) numerical iteration. Keywords: parameter estimation, hypothesis testing, GWBWR
地理和时间加权双变量 Weibull 回归的参数估计和假设检验
在全局回归中,有一个假设是来自正态分布模型的误差,因此需要正态分布的数据。但实际上,并非所有测试数据都符合正态分布。韦布尔分布是连续随机变量的理论分布之一,常用于分析对象的可靠性。如果有两个相互关联的响应变量,那么使用的适当方法就是双变量威布尔回归(BWR)。空间数据已被广泛应用于各个研究领域。地理加权双变量威布尔回归(GWBWR)模型是一种存在空间效应的模型,在双变量回归中存在空间异质性,响应变量为威布尔分布。此外,面板数据也被应用于各种情况,面板数据可以提供涵盖多个时间段的信息。这可能会导致时间效应。本研究开发了一种可同时处理空间和时间异质性情况的模型,即地理和时间加权双变量 Weibull 回归(GTWBWR)模型。该模型的参数估计采用最大似然估计(MLE)方法,该方法得出的结果不是闭式的,因此继续采用 Berndt-Hall-Hall-Hausman (BHHH)数值迭代法。关键词:参数估计、假设检验、GWBWR
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