Determinants of Asset Value Adjustments: The Case of Germany’s Cooperative Banks

Richard Reichel
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Abstract

Abstract This paper studies the driving forces behind asset value adjustments in the German cooperative banking sector. Firm-specific as well as macroeconomic factors are considered. We estimate a Vector Error Correction Model for the post-unification period from 1992 to 2022. The main factor behind the improvement in value adjustments is the declining long-term interest rate. Besides these macroeconomic factors, the average bank size and the loans-to-deposits ratio are important. The trend towards larger banks has counteracted the improvement as well as the more loan-oriented business strategy of recent years. JEL classification numbers: C580, C58, G21, P13, P34. Keywords: Cooperative Banks, Asset Value Adjustments, Mergers, Vector Error Correction Model.
资产价值调整的决定因素:德国合作银行案例
摘要 本文研究了德国合作银行业资产价值调整背后的驱动力。本文考虑了公司的具体因素和宏观经济因素。我们估计了 1992 年至 2022 年统一后时期的向量误差修正模型。价值调整改善背后的主要因素是长期利率的下降。除这些宏观经济因素外,银行平均规模和贷款与存款比率也很重要。银行规模扩大的趋势与近年来更加以贷款为导向的经营策略相抵消:C580、C58、G21、P13、P34.Keywords:合作银行 资产价值调整 合并 向量误差修正模型
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