Boldness-Recalibration for Binary Event Predictions

IF 1.8 4区数学 Q1 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY

American Statistician Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI:10.1080/00031305.2024.2339266

Adeline P. Guthrie, Christopher T. Franck

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Probability predictions are essential to inform decision making across many fields. Ideally, probability predictions are (i) well calibrated, (ii) accurate, and (iii) bold, i.e., spread out enough ...

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二进制事件预测的魄力-再校准

概率预测对许多领域的决策制定至关重要。理想情况下，概率预测（i）校准良好，（ii）准确，（iii）大胆，即足够分散......

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来源期刊

American Statistician 数学-统计学与概率论

CiteScore

3.50

自引率

5.60%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Are you looking for general-interest articles about current national and international statistical problems and programs; interesting and fun articles of a general nature about statistics and its applications; or the teaching of statistics? Then you are looking for The American Statistician (TAS), published quarterly by the American Statistical Association. TAS contains timely articles organized into the following sections: Statistical Practice, General, Teacher''s Corner, History Corner, Interdisciplinary, Statistical Computing and Graphics, Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials, and Letters to the Editor.