Monetary policy surprises on the banking sector: The role of the information and pure monetary shocks

Felipe Beltrán , David Coble
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Abstract

This paper analyzes how monetary policy surprises in Chile affects the real and financial sector separating between a pure monetary policy shock and an information shock. Using inter-day movements of futures of interest rate in the banking system, we identify an information shock when labor data is released and a pure monetary policy shock when the central bank reveals their interest rate decision, and their effects are quantified through an external vector autoregression model. Our results suggest that a pure monetary policy shock produce an appreciation of nominal exchange rate, and contractionary effects on the economy. However, an information shock does not necessarily produce adverse effects. This paper contribute to the literature in two dimensions: studying the effect of the main driver behind the central bank announcements, and their transmission to the banking sector and consequently to the real and monetary sector.

货币政策对银行业的意外影响:信息和纯货币冲击的作用
本文分析了智利的货币政策意外如何影响实体和金融部门,并对纯货币政策冲击和信息冲击进行了区分。利用银行系统利率期货的日间变动,我们识别了劳动力数据发布时的信息冲击和中央银行公布利率决定时的纯货币政策冲击,并通过外部向量自回归模型量化了它们的影响。我们的研究结果表明,纯货币政策冲击会导致名义汇率升值,并对经济产生收缩效应。然而,信息冲击并不一定会产生不利影响。本文从两个方面对相关文献做出了贡献:研究中央银行公告背后的主要驱动因素的影响,以及其对银行业的传导,进而对实体和货币部门的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
1.70
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