Trade Liberalization, IMF Conditionality, and Policy Substitution in Developing Countries

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Matthias Busse, Tim Vogel
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Abstract

Substantial tariff reductions and increased usage of non-tariff measures (NTMs) have been key dynamics of global trade policy in recent decades. We use highly disaggregated data on applied most favored nation tariffs, NTMs, and trade to investigate how International Monetary Fund (IMF) conditionality as a form of external pressure to reduce tariffs contributed to this dynamic in developing countries. Our results show that structural adjustment programs (SAPs) effectively lowered tariffs without increasing the usage of NTMs. A typical three-year program containing tariff conditionality decreased tariff rates in the range of 2.0 to 3.8 percentage points in total. Furthermore, IMF programs reduced NTM initializations significantly. We also show that tariff conditionality was more effective in initiating tariff cuts for countries without previous greater globalization efforts than being a “catalyst” for ongoing liberalization efforts.

Abstract Image

发展中国家的贸易自由化、国际货币基金组织的条件限制和政策替代
大幅削减关税和增加非关税措施的使用是近几十年来全球贸易政策的主要动态。我们利用有关最惠国关税、非关税措施和贸易的高度分类数据,研究国际货币基金组织(IMF)的条件性措施作为降低关税的一种外部压力,是如何促成发展中国家的这一动态的。我们的研究结果表明,结构调整方案(SAPs)在有效降低关税的同时并未增加非关税措施的使用。一个典型的包含关税条件的三年期计划总共降低了 2.0 到 3.8 个百分点的关税率。此外,国际货币基金组织的计划大大减少了非关税措施的初始化。我们还发现,关税附加条件在启动关税削减方面对那些之前没有加大全球化力度的国家更为有效,而不是对正在进行的自由化努力起到 "催化剂 "的作用。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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