Trajectories of AI technologies: Insights for managers

IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS
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Abstract

Generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) has long been considered a technology for the future. With the release of the chatbot ChatGPT 4, many now feel the future has arrived. Long in gestation, this new technology promises many benefits to humankind, but worries persist that as AI technology scales and comes to rival or exceed human intelligence, the servant may become the master. Amid such hyperbole, the more nuanced trajectories of this technology have been neglected. In this article, we use the Trajectories of Technology (ToT) framework developed by Berthon and colleagues to explore the disparate paths that AI has taken and will take in the coming years, especially in the form of chatbots. This framework provides managers with a conceptual tool to strategically plan for the enormous promises and perils of AI in general and of chatbots specifically.

人工智能技术的发展轨迹:对管理者的启示
长期以来,生成式人工智能(GenAI)一直被认为是一种未来技术。随着聊天机器人 ChatGPT 4 的发布,许多人现在觉得未来已经到来。这项酝酿已久的新技术有望为人类带来诸多益处,但人们仍然担心,随着人工智能技术规模的不断扩大,它将与人类智能相媲美,甚至超越人类智能,仆人可能会成为主人。在这种夸张的言论中,人们忽视了这项技术更细微的发展轨迹。在本文中,我们使用 Berthon 及其同事开发的技术轨迹(ToT)框架来探讨人工智能已经走过的和未来几年将要走过的不同道路,尤其是以聊天机器人为代表的人工智能。该框架为管理者提供了一个概念性工具,使他们能够对人工智能的巨大前景和危险,特别是聊天机器人的前景和危险进行战略规划。
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来源期刊
Business Horizons
Business Horizons BUSINESS-
CiteScore
17.70
自引率
5.40%
发文量
105
期刊介绍: Business Horizons, the bimonthly journal of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University, is dedicated to publishing original articles that appeal to both business academics and practitioners. Our editorial focus is on covering a diverse array of topics within the broader field of business, with a particular emphasis on identifying critical business issues and proposing practical solutions. Our goal is to inspire readers to approach business practices from new and innovative perspectives. Business Horizons occupies a distinctive position among business publications by offering articles that strike a balance between academic rigor and practical relevance. As such, our articles are grounded in scholarly research yet presented in a clear and accessible format, making them relevant to a broad audience within the business community.
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