The Foreign Experts on the Internal Political Transformation’s Processes in Latin America in the Third Decade of the 21st Century

I. Sokov
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Abstract

The article’s introduction includes the main prerequisites for internal political transformation’s process in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The study’s purpose is to identify new trends in the largest countries’ domestic policies in the region in the third decade of the 21st century. The study’s materials are used mainly by Spanish-speaking authors and Spanish-speaking news agencies who most closely and fully know the situations in LAC countries, the objective data from reports of the various UN structures, and independent Englishspeaking researchers invited to Latin American universities. The article’s methodological basis was the scientific principle of objectivity, which it made possible from the available array of information to identify the main directions of transformation taking place in LAC countries in the study period. The systematic approach’s application made it possible to identify the main events in LAC countries that characterize the multi-vector transformation trends. The article’s author identified further perspectives for LAC countries development with the help of special historicalcomparative and historical-genetic methods. The study’s results were the author’s conclusions that the domestic policy of big Latin American countries in the third decade of the 21st century is characterized by a tendency of “catching up” development. There is a noted instability of the domestic political course in the political system of these Latin American countries (from a liberal to a conservative course and vice versa), and the economic models’ frequent change does not give the desired result. The social problems are caused by the main population’s poverty, especially the indigenous one, and these problems cannot be resolved due to transnational migration of the population and transnational crime (from drug trafficking to human trafficking and weapons). All this explains the diversity of the internal political transformation in Latin American countries.
外国专家对 21 世纪第三个十年拉丁美洲内部政治变革进程的看法
文章的导言包括拉丁美洲和加勒比地区(LAC)内部政治变革进程的主要先决条件。本研究的目的是确定 21 世纪第三个十年该地区最大国家国内政策的新趋势。本研究的材料主要由最密切、最全面了解拉美和加勒比国家情况的西班牙语作者和西班牙语新闻机构、联合国各机构报告中的客观数据以及应邀到拉美各大学进行访问的讲英语的独立研究人员提供。文章的方法论基础是客观性的科学原则,它使我们能够从现有的一系列信息中确定拉美和加勒比国家在研究期间发生变革的主要方向。系统方法的应用使得确定拉丁美洲和加勒比国家多部门转型趋势的主要事件成为可能。文章作者借助特殊的历史比较和历史遗传方法,确定了拉加地区国家发展的进一步前景。研究结果是作者得出的结论,即 21 世纪第三个十年拉美大国国内政策的特点是 "追赶型 "发展。在这些拉美国家的政治体制中,国内政治路线存在明显的不稳定性(从自由主义走向保守主义,反之亦然),而经济模式的频繁变化并没有带来预期的结果。社会问题是由主要人口,特别是土著人口的贫困造成的,而人口的跨国迁移和跨国犯罪(从贩毒到贩卖人口和武器)使这些问题无法得到解决。所有这些都解释了拉美国家内部政治变革的多样性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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