Time-varying reaction of U.S. meat demand to animal disease outbreaks

IF 3.3 2区经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI:10.1002/aepp.13431

Yangchuan Wang, Olga Isengildina Massa, Shamar L. Stewart

引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study examined the impact of the mad cow (BSE) and bird flu (HPAI) outbreaks on the demand for beef, pork, and broiler meat in the United States from 1997 to 2022. Using time-varying elasticities obtained from the Rotterdam model extended to include animal disease outbreaks, we found that the BSE outbreaks significantly reduced beef consumption. These reactions were indeed time-varying, ranging from 1.312% in 2003 to 1.212% in 2005. HPAI outbreaks had a delayed reaction, with a rebound in broiler meat consumption in the quarter following the start of the outbreak. In general, the magnitude of these reactions was proportional to the severity of an outbreak.

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美国肉类需求对动物疾病爆发的时变反应

本研究探讨了 1997 年至 2022 年期间疯牛病（BSE）和禽流感（HPAI）疫情爆发对美国牛肉、猪肉和肉鸡肉类需求的影响。利用从鹿特丹模型中获得的时变弹性，我们发现疯牛病疫情的爆发大大降低了牛肉的消费量。这些反应确实是时变的，从 2003 年的 1.312% 到 2005 年的 1.212%。高致病性禽流感疫情的反应是延迟的，在疫情开始后的一个季度，肉鸡肉类消费出现反弹。一般来说，这些反应的程度与疫情的严重程度成正比。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-

CiteScore

10.70

自引率

6.90%

发文量

117

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy provides a forum to address contemporary and emerging policy issues within an economic framework that informs the decision-making and policy-making community. AEPP welcomes submissions related to the economics of public policy themes associated with agriculture; animal, plant, and human health; energy; environment; food and consumer behavior; international development; natural hazards; natural resources; population and migration; and regional and rural development.