Trends in the livestock and pork market in Poland with regard to the environmental impact of this production direction

Anna Olszańska, A. Kowalska, Joanna Szymańska, Klaudia Paskudzka, Ivan Soukal
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Abstract

After joining the European Union, the market economy continued to drive structural changes in meat production and processing. Unfortunately, the functioning of meat markets was impacted by several threats with significant adverse influence. Phenomena such as the spread of ASF disease, the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union or the Covid-19 epidemic added instability to the already cyclical pork market. The study aims to evaluate the functioning of Poland’s pork market and to identify the main trend in this market. Livestock and pork meat production in Poland form a significant economic sector; however, it creates considerable environmental challenges. The study focuses on key aspects such as greenhouse gas emissions, water usage, feed consumption, and waste management. The study covers the years 2004-2021, i.e., the period of seventeen years after Poland's accession to the European Union. The statistical data analysis methods showed four to three-year cycles in pork live stock with a decreasing amplitude over time and high and relatively stable domestic demand for pork. This provides a favourable foundation for future production direction. However, the systematic changes in the structure of meat consumption and price development led to a steady increase in the share of poultry meat at the expense of pork and bovine during the observed year span.
波兰牲畜和猪肉市场的发展趋势与这一生产方向对环境的影响
加入欧盟后,市场经济继续推动肉类生产和加工领域的结构变革。遗憾的是,肉类市场的运作受到了一些具有重大不利影响的威胁。ASF 疾病的传播、英国退出欧盟或 Covid-19 疫情等现象给本已周期性波动的猪肉市场增加了不稳定性。本研究旨在评估波兰猪肉市场的运作情况,并确定该市场的主要趋势。波兰的畜牧业和猪肉生产是一个重要的经济部门,但也带来了相当大的环境挑战。本研究重点关注温室气体排放、用水、饲料消耗和废物管理等关键方面。研究涵盖 2004-2021 年,即波兰加入欧盟后的十七年。统计数据分析方法显示,猪肉活畜存栏量的周期为四至三年,随着时间的推移,其振幅逐渐减小,而国内对猪肉的需求量较高且相对稳定。这为未来的生产方向奠定了有利的基础。然而,肉类消费结构的系统性变化和价格的发展导致禽肉的份额在观测年份期间稳步增长,而猪肉和牛肉的份额则有所下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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