An innovative method integrating run theory and DBSCAN for complete three-dimensional drought structures.

Abstract

Drought displays dynamic and uncertain spatiotemporal characteristics, thus it is typically not confined to fixed temporal-spatial boundaries. Existing drought clustering methods often involve spatially clustering drought points or grids into patches, subsequently connected over time to form three-dimensional structures. Despite this process being able to extract three-dimensional drought clusters, it is likely to overlook mild or relatively small, isolated drought patches. To overcome this limitation, this paper presented an effective method (named STD-CLUSTER) for identifying drought clusters with complete three-dimensional structures. The method initially employed run theory to extract drought events as "lines" and subsequently clustered these events using the Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) algorithm. A case study on the 2006 flash drought in the Yangtze River Basin demonstrated that STD-CLUSTER successfully clustered drought events and ensured the integrity of drought clusters by considering small, isolated, or disconnected patches. Additionally, an in-depth analysis using STD-CLUSTER examined seasonal drought events in China from 1991 to 2022, identifying a total of 35 drought clusters. These clusters began and ended with small-area patches, exhibiting features of expansion, contraction, spread, merging, and splitting over time. Furthermore, seasonal changes significantly influenced the evolution of drought clusters, with affected area and severity increasing in spring and summer and decreasing in autumn and winter. The applicability of the proposed method extends beyond various geographical regions and time scales, providing effective support for comprehensively investigating the spatiotemporal evolution of drought.