Did 'long COVID' increase road deaths in the USA?

IF 2.5 3区医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

Injury Prevention Pub Date : 2025-01-23 DOI:10.1136/ip-2023-045136

Leon Robertson

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Objective: To examine data on COVID-19 disease associated with a 10% increase in US road deaths from 2020 to 2021 that raises the question of the potential effect of pandemic stress and neurological damage from COVID-19 disease.

Methods: Poisson regression was used to estimate the association of recent COVID-19 cases, accumulated cases, maximum temperatures, truck registrations and gasoline prices with road deaths monthly among US states in 2021. Using the regression coefficients, changes in each risk factor from 2020 to 2021 were used to calculate expected deaths in 2021 if each factor had remained the same as in 2020.

Results: Corrected for the other risk factors, road deaths were associated with accumulated COVID-19 cases but not concurrent cases. More than 20 700 road deaths were associated with the changes in accumulated COVID-19 cases but were substantially offset by about 19 100 less-than-expected deaths associated with increased gasoline prices.

Conclusions: The lingering effects of COVID-19 on neurological function may be a risk factor for behaviour leading to road deaths.

查看原文本刊更多论文

长 COVID "是否增加了美国的道路死亡率？

目的：研究 COVID-19 疾病与 2020 年至 2021 年美国道路死亡人数增加 10%相关的数据，该数据提出了 COVID-19 疾病可能造成的流行压力和神经损伤的问题：采用泊松回归法估算了 2021 年美国各州近期 COVID-19 病例、累积病例、最高气温、卡车注册量和汽油价格与每月公路死亡人数的关系。利用回归系数，用 2020 年至 2021 年每个风险因素的变化来计算 2021 年的预期死亡人数（如果每个因素与 2020 年相同）：结果：在对其他风险因素进行校正后，公路死亡与 COVID-19 的累积病例有关，但与并发病例无关。超过 20 700 例道路死亡与 COVID-19 累计病例的变化有关，但汽油价格上涨导致的约 19 100 例低于预期的死亡大大抵消了这一变化：结论：COVID-19 对神经功能的持续影响可能是导致道路死亡的行为风险因素。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Injury Prevention 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生

CiteScore

5.30

自引率

2.70%

发文量

审稿时长

6-12 weeks

期刊介绍： Since its inception in 1995, Injury Prevention has been the pre-eminent repository of original research and compelling commentary relevant to this increasingly important field. An international peer reviewed journal, it offers the best in science, policy, and public health practice to reduce the burden of injury in all age groups around the world. The journal publishes original research, opinion, debate and special features on the prevention of unintentional, occupational and intentional (violence-related) injuries. Injury Prevention is online only.