Media sentiment and stock returns

IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Mikael Bask , Lars Forsberg , Andreas Östling
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Based on 35,344 news articles published in the Financial Times that cover 40 companies that have been included in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, we find that a negative media sentiment in the form of a negative language tone in news articles is a priced factor in five of nine asset-pricing models that aim to explain the cross-section of stock returns. In particular, the sentiment factor is a priced factor in the market model augmented with the sentiment factor in all three samples—the 2005–09 subsample, the 2010–18 subsample, and the 2005–18 full sample—and in the Fama-French three- and five-factor models augmented with the sentiment factor in the 2010–18 subsample. In addition, factor-spanning regressions with the Fama-French five-factor model as the right-hand-side model confirm that the sentiment factor contributes to the model’s explanation of the stocks’ mean excess returns in the 2005–09 subsample and the 2005–18 full sample.

媒体情绪与股票回报
基于《金融时报》上发表的 35,344 篇新闻报道(涵盖道琼斯工业平均指数中的 40 家公司),我们发现,在九个旨在解释股票收益截面的资产定价模型中,有五个模型都将新闻报道中负面语言基调形式的负面媒体情绪作为定价因素。特别是,在所有三个样本--2005-09 年子样本、2010-18 年子样本和 2005-18 年全样本--中,情绪因子都是用情绪因子增强的市场模型中的定价因子,而在 2010-18 年子样本中,用情绪因子增强的法玛-法式三因子和五因子模型中,情绪因子也是定价因子。此外,以 Fama-French 五因子模型为右侧模型的因子跨度回归证实,在 2005-09 年子样本和 2005-18 年全样本中,情绪因子有助于模型对股票平均超额收益的解释。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
2.90%
发文量
118
期刊介绍: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance (QREF) attracts and publishes high quality manuscripts that cover topics in the areas of economics, financial economics and finance. The subject matter may be theoretical, empirical or policy related. Emphasis is placed on quality, originality, clear arguments, persuasive evidence, intelligent analysis and clear writing. At least one Special Issue is published per year. These issues have guest editors, are devoted to a single theme and the papers have well known authors. In addition we pride ourselves in being able to provide three to four article "Focus" sections in most of our issues.
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