The Hottest Year in Record and What Sea Sponge Tells Us About Climate Change

Echo D. Cartwright
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Abstract

Across the globe, we are witnessing the impact of a changing climate. More frequent and intense hurricanes, devastating atmospheric rivers and winter storms, wildfires, heat waves and droughts, are taking their toll on our daily lives and economic well-being. The goal of the Paris Accord adopted in 2015, was to limit the increase in average global temperature—the combined average of surface ocean and land warming—to 1.5 degrees Celsius (C) (or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels. However, a new peer-reviewed scientific study released in the Natural Climate Change Journal reveals some startling data. The world passed the 1.5 degree benchmark in 2020, meaning we are two decades ahead of the pace of global warming projected by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).1 The findings raise significant questions out our ability to meet the Accord's goals, or whether the average global temperature has or will exceed the Accord's goal of keeping global warming to below 2 degrees. Research evidence of the extent of warming came from studying an unlikely specimen; centuries-old sponges living in the Caribbean Sea.

有记录以来最热的一年以及海棉对气候变化的启示
在全球范围内,我们正在目睹气候不断变化所带来的影响。更加频繁和强烈的飓风、破坏性的大气河流和冬季风暴、野火、热浪和干旱,正在对我们的日常生活和经济福祉造成损害。2015 年通过的《巴黎协定》的目标是将全球平均气温的升幅(海洋表层和陆地变暖的综合平均值)限制在比工业化前水平高 1.5 摄氏度(或 2.7 华氏度)以内。然而,《自然气候变化杂志》(Natural Climate Change Journal)上发表的一项新的同行评审科学研究揭示了一些惊人的数据。世界在 2020 年超过了 1.5 度的基准,这意味着我们比政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)1 预测的全球变暖速度提前了 20 年。这些研究结果对我们实现《协定》目标的能力,或全球平均气温是否已经或将要超过《协定》将全球变暖控制在 2 度以下的目标提出了重大质疑。变暖程度的研究证据来自于对一种不太可能的标本的研究,即生活在加勒比海的几百年前的海绵。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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