Influence of a private-public risk pool and an opt-out framing on earthquake protection demand for Canadian homeowners in Quebec and British Columbia.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-27 DOI:10.1111/risa.14285
Howard Kunreuther, Lynn Conell-Price, Bohan Li, Paul Kovacs, Katsuichiro Goda
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Abstract

This article describes the design and analysis of web-based choice experiments that examine how the demand for earthquake protection in Quebec and British Columbia (BC), Canada, is influenced by the default option and the structure of the insurance plan. Homeowners in both provinces were given the opportunity to purchase protection against earthquake losses when presented with one of the following options: the current private insurance plan and proposed public-private Risk Pools with different levels of the public layer. The default frame was changed so the homeowner could either opt-in by purchasing this coverage or opt-out of being given this protection and receiving a premium discount. Assigning participants to the public-private Risk Pools rather than the current private insurance plan increases the likelihood of purchasing earthquake insurance protection by an odds ratio of 2.7 or greater in BC and Quebec. Furthermore, opt-out enrollment design substantially increases take-up of earthquake protection relative to opt-in enrollment. The policy implications of these findings are discussed.

加拿大魁北克省和不列颠哥伦比亚省屋主对地震防护需求的公私风险池和选择退出框架的影响。
本文介绍了基于网络的选择实验的设计和分析,该实验研究了加拿大魁北克省和不列颠哥伦比亚省(BC)的地震防护需求如何受到默认选项和保险计划结构的影响。这两个省的房主都有机会在以下选项中选择一个来购买地震损失保险:当前的私人保险计划和建议的具有不同公共层级的公私风险池。对默认框架进行了修改,房主既可以选择购买该保险,也可以选择不购买该保险并享受保费折扣。在不列颠哥伦比亚省和魁北克省,将参与者分配到公共-私营风险池而不是当前的私营保险计划可增加购买地震保险保护的可能性,几率比为 2.7 或更高。此外,与选择加入相比,选择退出的投保设计大大提高了地震保险的参与率。本文讨论了这些发现对政策的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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