Assessing progress toward China's subnational sustainable development by Region Sustainable Development Index

Chengyuan Wang , Ling Wang , Junjie Zhai , Tiantian Feng , Yuzhou Lei , Shanfu Li , Yuan Liu , Yuwen Liu , Zhibo Hu , Kun Zhu , Yupeng Chang , Shuai Cui , Xuegang Mao
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Abstract

Quantifying progress towards the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) requires countries to make profound changes and major efforts in monitoring and measurement. However, there is still a need for a simple and easy-to-use means to quantify subnational SDGs performance and to determine the applicability of remote sensing big data tools, such as night-time lighting, for tracking the sustainable development process. This study used hierarchical clustering and principal component analysis (PCA), to construct a regional sustainable development index (RSDI), which aims to quantify China's progress towards the SDGs at the subnational level in 2013–2020. The average R2 of the linear regression between China's subnational RSDIs from 2013 to 2020 is 0.9. The average R2 of the RSDI and the Average Night-light Index (ANLI) is 0.57, and the average R2 of the RSDI and Gross Domestic Product per capita (CGDP) is 0.85. The RSDI has remained stable over time as an observation framework and is suitable for tracking China's sustainable development in the long term, with a strong link to the CGDP and ANLI, which reflect economic development and big data method. The RSDI in China's eastern region reduces by 0.32 % annually, while the RSDI in central and western regions grows by 1.26 % annually. The RSDI in China's northern region reduces by 0.14 % annually, while the RSDI in China's southern regions grows by 2.62 % annually. We also attempted to incorporate ANLI and CGDP into the RSDI framework to capture potential application scenarios for tracking sustainability by using nighttime lighting. The RSDI can track how the SDGs are implemented and can be used in other countries subnational areas to analyze the spatial-temporal dynamics of SDGs achievement.

Abstract Image

按地区可持续发展指数评估中国国家以下各级可持续发展的进展情况
量化联合国(UN)可持续发展目标(SDGs)的进展需要各国在监测和测量方面做出深刻的改变和巨大的努力。然而,仍然需要一种简单易用的方法来量化国家以下各级的可持续发展目标绩效,并确定遥感大数据工具(如夜间照明)在跟踪可持续发展进程中的适用性。本研究采用分层聚类和主成分分析法(PCA)构建了区域可持续发展指数(RSDI),旨在量化2013-2020年中国在国家以下层面实现可持续发展目标的进展。2013-2020 年中国国家以下各级 RSDI 之间的线性回归平均 R2 为 0.9。RSDI 与平均夜光指数(ANLI)的平均 R2 为 0.57,RSDI 与人均国内生产总值(CGDP)的平均 R2 为 0.85。RSDI作为观测框架,长期以来保持稳定,适合长期跟踪中国的可持续发展,与反映经济发展和大数据方法的CGDP和ANLI联系紧密。中国东部地区 RSDI 年均下降 0.32%,中西部地区 RSDI 年均增长 1.26%。中国北方地区的 RSDI 年均下降 0.14%,而中国南方地区的 RSDI 年均增长 2.62%。我们还尝试将 ANLI 和 CGDP 纳入 RSDI 框架,以捕捉利用夜间照明跟踪可持续发展的潜在应用场景。RSDI 可以跟踪可持续发展目标的实施情况,并可用于其他国家的国家以下地区,以分析可持续发展目标实现的时空动态。
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