Purchaser, firearm, and retailer characteristics associated with crime gun recovery: a longitudinal analysis of firearms sold in California from 1996 to 2021.

IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Sonia L Robinson, Christopher D McCort, Colette Smirniotis, Garen J Wintemute, Hannah S Laqueur
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Firearm violence is a major cause of death and injury in the United States. Tracking the movement of firearms from legal purchase to use in crimes can help inform prevention of firearm injuries and deaths. The last state-wide studies analyzing crime gun recoveries used data from over 20 years ago; thus, an update is needed.

Methods: We used data for 5,247,348 handgun and 2,868,713 long gun transactions and law enforcement recoveries from California crime gun recovery (2010-2021) and California's Dealer Records of Sales records. Covariates included characteristics of dealership sales, firearms and their transactions, and purchaser's demographic characteristics, purchasing history, criminal history (from firearm purchaser criminal history records), and neighborhood socioeconomic status. Analyses for handguns and long guns was conducted separately. In multivariable analysis, we included correlates into a Cox proportional hazard model accounting for left truncation and clustering between the same firearm, purchaser, dealerships, and geographic location. Covariates that remained significant (P < 0.05) were retained. For handguns, we evaluated associations of violent and weapons crimes separately. In supplementary analyses, we examined interactions by purchasers' race and ethnicity.

Results: In total, 38,441 handguns (0.80%) and 6,806 long guns (0.24%) were recovered in crimes. A firearm dealer's sales volume, percent of transactions that were denials, pawns, pawn redemptions, and firearms that became crime guns were each positively associated with firearm recovery in crime. Handguns that were inexpensive, larger caliber, and that had been reported lost or stolen were positively associated with recovery in crimes. Purchaser characteristics associated with crime gun recovery included: being younger, female, Black, Hispanic, Native American or Pacific Islander, or other race/ethnicity (vs white), having previous arrests, living in close proximity to the firearm dealership, and living in a more socially vulnerable census tract. Associations with race and ethnicity were modified by previous infraction-only arrests.

Conclusions: This study confirms that many previously studied correlates of firearm recovery are still relevant today. We were able to expand on previous research by examining novel associations including purchasers' criminal history and previous firearm transaction history. These results provide evidence that can be used to disrupt firearm use in crimes.

与犯罪枪支回收相关的购买者、枪支和零售商特征:对 1996 年至 2021 年加利福尼亚州出售的枪支进行纵向分析。
背景:在美国,枪支暴力是造成人员伤亡的主要原因。追踪枪支从合法购买到用于犯罪的过程有助于预防枪支伤亡。上一次分析犯罪枪支回收情况的全州性研究使用的是 20 多年前的数据,因此需要进行更新:我们使用了 5,247,348 支手枪和 2,868,713 支长枪的交易数据,以及加州犯罪枪支回收(2010-2021 年)和加州经销商销售记录中的执法回收数据。协变量包括经销商销售、枪支及其交易的特征,以及购买者的人口特征、购买历史、犯罪历史(来自枪支购买者犯罪历史记录)和社区社会经济状况。手枪和长枪的分析是分开进行的。在多变量分析中,我们将相关因素纳入 Cox 比例危险模型,考虑到左截断和同一枪支、购买者、经销商和地理位置之间的聚类。结果表明,相关变量仍具有显著性(P 结果表明,P<0.05):共有 38,441 支手枪(0.80%)和 6,806 支长枪(0.24%)在犯罪案件中被收缴。枪支经销商的销售量、拒绝交易、典当、典当赎回交易的百分比以及成为犯罪枪支的枪支均与犯罪枪支的回收呈正相关。价格低廉、口径较大、曾报失或被盗的手枪与犯罪枪支的回收呈正相关。与犯罪枪支回收相关的购买者特征包括:年轻、女性、黑人、西班牙裔、美洲原住民或太平洋岛民或其他种族/族裔(与白人相比)、曾被逮捕、居住地与枪支经销商距离较近以及居住在社会较为脆弱的人口普查区。与种族和族裔的关系因以前仅因违规行为被捕而有所改变:这项研究证实,以前研究过的许多枪支回收相关因素在今天仍然适用。通过研究新的关联,包括购买者的犯罪史和以前的枪支交易史,我们能够扩展以前的研究。这些结果提供了可用于阻止在犯罪中使用枪支的证据。
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来源期刊
Injury Epidemiology
Injury Epidemiology Medicine-Medicine (all)
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
4.50%
发文量
34
审稿时长
13 weeks
期刊介绍: Injury Epidemiology is dedicated to advancing the scientific foundation for injury prevention and control through timely publication and dissemination of peer-reviewed research. Injury Epidemiology aims to be the premier venue for communicating epidemiologic studies of unintentional and intentional injuries, including, but not limited to, morbidity and mortality from motor vehicle crashes, drug overdose/poisoning, falls, drowning, fires/burns, iatrogenic injury, suicide, homicide, assaults, and abuse. We welcome investigations designed to understand the magnitude, distribution, determinants, causes, prevention, diagnosis, treatment, prognosis, and outcomes of injuries in specific population groups, geographic regions, and environmental settings (e.g., home, workplace, transport, recreation, sports, and urban/rural). Injury Epidemiology has a special focus on studies generating objective and practical knowledge that can be translated into interventions to reduce injury morbidity and mortality on a population level. Priority consideration will be given to manuscripts that feature contemporary theories and concepts, innovative methods, and novel techniques as applied to injury surveillance, risk assessment, development and implementation of effective interventions, and program and policy evaluation.
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