The effect of the Covid pension withdrawals and the Universal Guaranteed Pension on the income of the future retirees and its fiscal costs

Carlos Madeira
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Chile implemented large pension withdrawals during the pandemic relative to other countries. Afterwards, Chile increased non-contributory benefits in a quasi-universal scheme. Simulating the future pensions, I show that the average loss in contributory pension income is 27.9%, with losses of 23.9% and 31.4% for men and women, respectively. After accounting for public transfers, the average loss in total pension income is just 6.2%, with losses of 7.5% and 5.2% for men and women, respectively. Current retirees lost just 1.1% of their pension income after accounting for the government transfers. The state may end up covering 92% of the total value of the pension withdrawals through the increased transfers.

Covid 退休金提取和全民保障养老金对未来退休人员收入的影响及其财政费用
与其他国家相比,智利在大流行病期间提取了大量养老金。之后,智利增加了准全民计划中的非缴费型福利。通过模拟未来的养老金,我发现缴费型养老金收入的平均损失为 27.9%,男性和女性的损失分别为 23.9% 和 31.4%。计入公共转移后,养老金总收入的平均损失仅为 6.2%,男性和女性的损失分别为 7.5%和 5.2%。计入政府转移支付后,当前退休人员的养老金收入损失仅为 1.1%。国家最终可能会通过增加转移支付来弥补养老金提取总值的 92%。
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