The impact of police violence on migration: evidence from Venezuela

IF 6.1 2区 经济学
Federico Maggio, Carlo Caporali
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Abstract

This study unveils the causal effect of authoritative violence on individuals’ likelihood to migrate. Specifically, we examine the migration patterns of Venezuelans during the 2017–2018 political and economic crisis. We draw insights from regional-level data on civilian casualties caused by security forces, along with information extracted from the ENCOVI-2018 survey data that captures migration flows. The estimates rely on travel time from the capital city as an instrumental variable and are robust to the inclusion of several household- and socio-economic regional-level characteristics. The findings strongly suggest that authoritative violence is a significant non-economic push factor for international migration. Moreover, additional evidence indicates that this type of violence influences the skill composition of migrants, especially in the context of South-to-South migration flows.

Abstract Image

警察暴力对移民的影响:委内瑞拉的证据
本研究揭示了权威暴力对个人移民可能性的因果影响。具体而言,我们研究了委内瑞拉人在2017-2018年政治和经济危机期间的移民模式。我们从地区层面的安全部队造成的平民伤亡数据,以及从ENCOVI-2018调查数据中提取的捕捉移民流的信息中获得启示。估算结果依赖于从首都出发的旅行时间作为工具变量,并在纳入若干家庭和社会经济区域层面特征后保持稳健。研究结果有力地表明,权威暴力是国际移民的一个重要的非经济推动因素。此外,更多证据表明,这类暴力会影响移民的技能构成,尤其是在南南移徙流动的情况下。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
6.60%
发文量
50
期刊介绍: The Journal of Population Economics is an international quarterly that publishes original theoretical and applied research in all areas of population economics. Micro-level topics examine individual, household or family behavior, including household formation, marriage, divorce, fertility choices, education, labor supply, migration, health, risky behavior and aging. Macro-level investigations may address such issues as economic growth with exogenous or endogenous population evolution, population policy, savings and pensions, social security, housing, and health care. The journal also features research into economic approaches to human biology, the relationship between population dynamics and public choice, and the impact of population on the distribution of income and wealth. Lastly, readers will find papers dealing with policy issues and development problems that are relevant to population issues.The journal is published in collaboration with POP at UNU-MERIT, the Global Labor Organization (GLO) and the European Society for Population Economics (ESPE).Officially cited as: J Popul Econ Factor (RePEc): 13.576 (July 2018) Rank 69 of 2102 journals listed in RePEc
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