Multi-Modelling Approach to Support Decision Making in Crop Protection

G. Fedele, I. Salotti, T. Caffi, V. Rossi
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Abstract

A more sustainable control of plant diseases is needed for the development of less intensive farming systems with reduced inputs of chemicals, including pesticides, and reduced use of natural resources. Integrated pest management (IPM) is currently the most effective method for sustainable disease control. IPM has higher complexity than conventional disease management and involves decision making at strategic, tactic, and operational levels, which is often challenging for farmers. Mathematical models are simplified representations of a crop system, which provide dynamic information about the crop status and can support decision making. In an IPM approach, plant disease models must be complemented with other models, such as models for crop growth and development, and models for fungicide dynamics. This case study describes the integration of mathematical models for plant disease, crop development, and plant protection products in a multi-modelling approach able to support multiple decision making in IPM. Downy mildew ( Plasmopara viticola) of grapevines ( Vitis ) is used as a successful story of multiple model combinations through a web-based decision support system. © The Author 2024
支持作物保护决策的多模型方法
要发展集约化程度更低的农业系统,减少化学品(包括杀虫剂)的投入和自然资源的使用,就需要对植物病害进行更可持续的控制。病虫害综合防治(IPM)是目前最有效的可持续病害防治方法。虫害综合防治比传统的病害防治更复杂,涉及战略、战术和操作层面的决策,这对农民来说往往具有挑战性。数学模型是作物系统的简化表示,可提供作物状态的动态信息,为决策提供支持。在 IPM 方法中,植物病害模型必须与其他模型相辅相成,如作物生长发育模型和杀菌剂动态模型。本案例研究介绍了将植物病害数学模型、作物生长发育数学模型和植物保护产品数学模型整合到一个多模型方法中的情况,该方法能够为 IPM 的多重决策提供支持。葡萄霜霉病(Plasmopara viticola)是通过基于网络的决策支持系统进行多模型组合的一个成功案例。 © 作者 2024
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