Prognostic Assumed-PDF (DDF) Approach: Further Generalization and Demonstrations

IF 1.7 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Jun-Ichi Yano
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract. A methodology for directly predicting the time evolution of the assumed parameters for the distribution densities based on the Liouville equation, as proposed earlier, is extended to multi–dimensional cases as well as when the systems are constrained by integrals over a part of the variable range. The extended methodology is tested against a convective energy cycle system as well as the Lorenz’s stranger attractor. As a general tendency, the variance tends to collapse to a vanishing value over a finite time regardless of the chosen assumed distribution form. This general tendency is likely due to the common cause as collapse of the variance commonly found in ensemble–based data assimilation.
预测假定-PDF(DDF)方法:进一步推广和示范
摘要早先提出的基于柳维尔方程直接预测分布密度假定参数的时间演化的方法,被扩展到多维情况以及当系统受部分变量范围的积分约束时。扩展方法针对对流能量循环系统和洛伦兹陌陌吸引子进行了测试。作为一种普遍趋势,无论选择何种假定分布形式,方差都会在有限时间内趋于坍缩到一个消失值。这种普遍趋势可能是由于基于集合的数据同化中常见的方差坍缩这一共同原因造成的。
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来源期刊
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 地学-地球化学与地球物理
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (NPG) is an international, inter-/trans-disciplinary, non-profit journal devoted to breaking the deadlocks often faced by standard approaches in Earth and space sciences. It therefore solicits disruptive and innovative concepts and methodologies, as well as original applications of these to address the ubiquitous complexity in geoscience systems, and in interacting social and biological systems. Such systems are nonlinear, with responses strongly non-proportional to perturbations, and show an associated extreme variability across scales.
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