Starke Stimmen mit Chorgeist: Wirtschaftspolitische Beratung im Rahmen der Gemeinschaftsdiagnose

Stefan Kooths
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Abstract

Twice a year, the Joint Economic Forecast (JEF, „Gemeinschaftsdiagnose“) brings together Germany’s leading economic research institutes to prepare a consensus view on the business cycle, potential growth perspectives and appropriate policy recommendations. This globally unique exercise, dating back to 1950, fruitfully amalgamates individual forecasts without hampering the scientific independence of the participating institutes. While the primary purpose is to give policymakers and the general public a better understanding of economic dynamics, the JEF also serves as an ongoing interactive peer-review-process among its members. Joining forces within the JEF has proven particularly useful in times of dramatic macro shocks, when quick and reliable policy advice is urgently needed.
具有合唱精神的强音:作为联合经济预测一部分的经济政策建议
每年两次的联合经济预测(JEF,"Gemeinschaftsdiagnose")汇集了德国领先的经济研究机构,就商业周期、潜在增长前景和适当的政策建议达成共识。这项全球独一无二的活动可追溯到 1950 年,它在不妨碍参与机构科学独立性的前提下,将各机构的预测进行了卓有成效的整合。虽然其主要目的是让决策者和公众更好地了解经济动态,但 JEF 也是其成员之间持续互动的同行评审过程。事实证明,在急需快速、可靠的政策建议时,联合论坛内部的联合尤其有用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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