{"title":"Left Atrial Expansion Index for Ischemic Stroke Prediction in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.","authors":"Jau-Wen Shiau, Chao-Sheng Hsiao, Shih-Hung Hsiao","doi":"10.6515/ACS.202401_40(1).20230628A","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The efficacy of the left atrial (LA) expansion index (LAEI) to predict cerebral ischemic events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is unknown.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We enrolled 177 patients with AF (88 with paroxysmal AF and 89 with persistent AF) and a baseline CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc score (at enrollment) of 3.6 ± 2.3. Comprehensive echocardiography was performed at enrollment. The LAEI was calculated as (Vol<sub>max</sub> - Vol<sub>min</sub>) × 100%/Vol<sub>min</sub>, where Vol<sub>max</sub> and Vol<sub>min</sub> denoted maximal and minimal LA volumes, respectively. The study endpoint was ischemic stroke. Stroke subtypes were classified into cardioembolic stroke (CE), non-CE with determined mechanism (NCE), embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), or transient ischemic attack (TIA).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Over a mean 9.9-year follow-up period, 44 (24.9%) of the patients reached the endpoint (24 with CE, 4 with NCE, 6 with ESUS, and 10 with TIA). The LAEI was lower in the stroke group than in the non-stroke group. Stroke incidence in the lowest LAEI quartile was much higher than that in the other LAEI quartiles; the 10-year cumulative stroke risk was 15.9% (14/88) and 33.7% (30/89) in the patients with paroxysmal and persistent AF, respectively. An LAEI of < 35% predicted the presence of stroke with 77% sensitivity and 78% specificity. In multivariable analysis, the LAEI was independently associated with ischemic stroke (hazard ratio 0.952 per 1% increase, 95% confidence interval 0.932-0.971, p < 0.0001).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The LAEI is a useful predictor of ischemic stroke in patients with AF.</p>","PeriodicalId":6957,"journal":{"name":"Acta Cardiologica Sinica","volume":"40 1","pages":"60-69"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10801428/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Acta Cardiologica Sinica","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.6515/ACS.202401_40(1).20230628A","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: The efficacy of the left atrial (LA) expansion index (LAEI) to predict cerebral ischemic events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is unknown.
Methods: We enrolled 177 patients with AF (88 with paroxysmal AF and 89 with persistent AF) and a baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score (at enrollment) of 3.6 ± 2.3. Comprehensive echocardiography was performed at enrollment. The LAEI was calculated as (Volmax - Volmin) × 100%/Volmin, where Volmax and Volmin denoted maximal and minimal LA volumes, respectively. The study endpoint was ischemic stroke. Stroke subtypes were classified into cardioembolic stroke (CE), non-CE with determined mechanism (NCE), embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), or transient ischemic attack (TIA).
Results: Over a mean 9.9-year follow-up period, 44 (24.9%) of the patients reached the endpoint (24 with CE, 4 with NCE, 6 with ESUS, and 10 with TIA). The LAEI was lower in the stroke group than in the non-stroke group. Stroke incidence in the lowest LAEI quartile was much higher than that in the other LAEI quartiles; the 10-year cumulative stroke risk was 15.9% (14/88) and 33.7% (30/89) in the patients with paroxysmal and persistent AF, respectively. An LAEI of < 35% predicted the presence of stroke with 77% sensitivity and 78% specificity. In multivariable analysis, the LAEI was independently associated with ischemic stroke (hazard ratio 0.952 per 1% increase, 95% confidence interval 0.932-0.971, p < 0.0001).
Conclusions: The LAEI is a useful predictor of ischemic stroke in patients with AF.
期刊介绍:
Acta Cardiologica Sinica welcomes all the papers in the fields related to cardiovascular medicine including basic research, vascular biology, clinical pharmacology, clinical trial, critical care medicine, coronary artery disease, interventional cardiology, arrythmia and electrophysiology, atherosclerosis, hypertension, cardiomyopathy and heart failure, valvular and structure cardiac disease, pediatric cardiology, cardiovascular surgery, and so on. We received papers from more than 20 countries and areas of the world. Currently, 40% of the papers were submitted to Acta Cardiologica Sinica from Taiwan, 20% from China, and 20% from the other countries and areas in the world. The acceptance rate for publication was around 50% in general.