Monetary policy challenges in Morocco: Exploring the possibility of reconciling price stability and economic growth

Younes El Khattab
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Abstract

In this research paper, we used the VECM framework to assess Moroccan central bank’s ability to target inflation. We also explored the possibility of reconciling between inflation control and growth stimulation through an impulse response analysis. Our empirical results showed that interest rate adjustments as monetary policy measure could be a relevant choice in a context of moderate and short-lived inflation since it provides a wide margin for reconciling price stability and economic growth. In times of high and persistent inflation, the central bank should prioritize inflation control through a permanent decrease in its money supply.
摩洛哥的货币政策挑战:探索兼顾价格稳定和经济增长的可能性
在本研究论文中,我们使用了 VECM 框架来评估摩洛哥中央银行瞄准通货膨胀的能力。我们还通过脉冲响应分析探讨了在控制通胀和刺激增长之间进行协调的可能性。我们的实证结果表明,在通胀温和且持续时间较短的情况下,利率调整作为货币政策措施可能是一个相关的选择,因为它为协调价格稳定和经济增长提供了广阔的空间。在高通胀和持续通胀时期,中央银行应优先考虑通过长期减少货币供应量来控制通胀。
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