Haoyu Wang , Qiang Zhu , Yuguo Huang, Yueyan Cao, Yuhan Hu, Yifan Wei, Yuting Wang, Tingyun Hou, Tiantian Shan, Xuan Dai, Xiaokang Zhang, Yufang Wang, Ji Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Inferring the number of contributors (NoC) is a crucial step in interpreting DNA mixtures, as it directly affects the accuracy of the likelihood ratio calculation and the assessment of evidence strength. However, obtaining the correct NoC in complex DNA mixtures remains challenging due to the high degree of allele sharing and dropout. This study aimed to analyze the impact of allele sharing and dropout on NoC inference in complex DNA mixtures when using microhaplotypes (MH). The effectiveness and value of highly polymorphic MH for NoC inference in complex DNA mixtures were evaluated through comparing the performance of three NoC inference methods, including maximum allele count (MAC) method, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method, and random forest classification (RFC) algorithm. In this study, we selected the top 100 most polymorphic MH from the Southern Han Chinese (CHS) population, and simulated over 40 million complex DNA mixture profiles with the NoC ranging from 2 to 8. These profiles involve unrelated individuals (RM type) and related pairs of individuals, including parent-offspring pairs (PO type), full-sibling pairs (FS type), and second-degree kinship pairs (SE type). Our results indicated that how the number of detected alleles in DNA mixture profiles varied with the markers’ polymorphism, kinship’s involvement, NoC, and dropout settings. Across different types of DNA mixtures, the MAC and MLE methods performed best in the RM type, followed by SE, FS, and PO types, while RFC models showed the best performance in the PO type, followed by RM, SE, and FS types. The recall of all three methods for NoC inference were decreased as the NoC and dropout levels increased. Furthermore, the MLE method performed better at low NoC, whereas RFC models excelled at high NoC and/or high dropout levels, regardless of the availability of a priori information about related pairs of individuals in DNA mixtures. However, the RFC models which considered the aforementioned priori information and were trained specifically on each type of DNA mixture profiles, outperformed RFC_ALL model that did not consider such information. Finally, we provided recommendations for model building when applying machine learning algorithms to NoC inference.
期刊介绍:
Forensic Science International: Genetics is the premier journal in the field of Forensic Genetics. This branch of Forensic Science can be defined as the application of genetics to human and non-human material (in the sense of a science with the purpose of studying inherited characteristics for the analysis of inter- and intra-specific variations in populations) for the resolution of legal conflicts.
The scope of the journal includes:
Forensic applications of human polymorphism.
Testing of paternity and other family relationships, immigration cases, typing of biological stains and tissues from criminal casework, identification of human remains by DNA testing methodologies.
Description of human polymorphisms of forensic interest, with special interest in DNA polymorphisms.
Autosomal DNA polymorphisms, mini- and microsatellites (or short tandem repeats, STRs), single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), X and Y chromosome polymorphisms, mtDNA polymorphisms, and any other type of DNA variation with potential forensic applications.
Non-human DNA polymorphisms for crime scene investigation.
Population genetics of human polymorphisms of forensic interest.
Population data, especially from DNA polymorphisms of interest for the solution of forensic problems.
DNA typing methodologies and strategies.
Biostatistical methods in forensic genetics.
Evaluation of DNA evidence in forensic problems (such as paternity or immigration cases, criminal casework, identification), classical and new statistical approaches.
Standards in forensic genetics.
Recommendations of regulatory bodies concerning methods, markers, interpretation or strategies or proposals for procedural or technical standards.
Quality control.
Quality control and quality assurance strategies, proficiency testing for DNA typing methodologies.
Criminal DNA databases.
Technical, legal and statistical issues.
General ethical and legal issues related to forensic genetics.