Analisis Pengarug Aglomerasi Industri, Tingkat Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja (TPAK) dan Nilai Output Industri terhadap Laju Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Sumatera Utara

N. Tanjung, Fauzi Arif Lubis, Juliana Nasution
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to determine whether the Industrial Agglomeration, Labor Force Participation Rate (TPAK) and Output Value affect Economic Growth in North Sumatra. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The number of samples for this study is time series data for 2016-2020 and interpolated to 59. The data was processed through SPSS Program version 22 with technical data analysis using multiple linear regression analysis. The results of the study proved that agglomeration, TPAK and output value have a significant effect on economic growth in North Sumatra. Based on the results of the first hypothesis test, a significant value of Agglomeration of 0.001(sig<0.05) with a calculated t value of 1.610 < 2.003241(t hitunf < t table is known). The second hypothesis test showed a significant value of TPAK 0.000(sig < 0.05) with a calculated t value of 1.494 < 2.003241(t count< t table), and based on the third hypothesis test, it was known that the significant value of industrial output 0.000(sig < 0.05) with a calculated t value of 0.418 < 2.003241(t count < t table). Based on the conclusion that it can be known the most dominant free variable that affects bound variables is the Tpak variable which has a coefficient value of β 2.071 compared to other variables. Then from the results of the F test proved that the agglomeration of industry, TPAK and output values simultaneously or together had a significant effect on the Economic Growth Rate in North Sumatra which was indicated by the significant value of F < α (0.000<0.05). Keywords: industrial agglomeration, labor force participation rate, industrial output value, economic growth.
产业集聚、劳动力参与率(TPAK)和工业产值对北苏门答腊经济增长率的影响分析
本研究的目的是确定产业集聚、劳动力参与率(TPAK)和产值是否会影响北苏门答腊的经济增长。本研究是一项使用二手数据的定量研究。本研究的样本数量为 2016-2020 年的时间序列数据,插值为 59。数据通过 SPSS 程序第 22 版进行处理,并使用多元线性回归分析进行技术数据分析。研究结果证明,集聚度、TPAK 和产值对北苏门答腊的经济增长有显著影响。根据第一个假设检验的结果,集聚度的显著值为 0.001(sig<0.05),计算得出的 t 值为 1.610 < 2.003241(t hitunf < t 表已知)。第二个假设检验显示,TPAK 的显著值为 0.000(sig < 0.05),计算的 t 值为 1.494 < 2.003241(t count < t table);根据第三个假设检验,可知工业产值的显著值为 0.000(sig < 0.05),计算的 t 值为 0.418 < 2.003241(t count < t table)。根据该结论可知,影响约束变量的最主要自由变量是 Tpak 变量,与其他变量相比,该变量的系数值为 β 2.071。然后从 F 检验的结果证明,产业集聚、TPAK 和产值同时或共同对北苏门答腊的经济增长率有显著影响,其显著值为 F < α(0.000<0.05)。 关键词:产业集聚;劳动力参与率;工业产值;经济增长。
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