Risk-based scheduling of CCHP-based microgrid considering economic and environmental aspects using confidence degree theory and CVaR approach

Liang Ran, Jian Yu, Zhiwen Ma, Caiyan Liu
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Abstract

The combined cooling, heating, and power (CCHP) co-generation system is an alternative for developing sustainable energy systems. Inside a multi-energy CCHP microgrid, electric, heat, and cool demands are supplied with a high efficiency. Integrating various energy conversion technologies and storage systems allows managing different resources and taking advantage of electric market participation. However, the uncertainties associated with source demand and prices should be taken into account. In this regard, this paper proposes stochastic programming to optimize the operation cost and emission penalty of a multi-energy CCHP microgrid considering the mathematical model of components and related uncertainties. Using the proposed optimization problem, the system operator can derive bidding/offering curves in the electric market. To mitigate the financial risks, the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) approach is integrated to provide different risk-averse strategies. From the results, it is found that under the risk-averse strategy, by paying 0.4% more money, the risk of CCHP's operation cost instability will be reduced by approximately 16.82%.

使用置信度理论和 CVaR 方法,基于风险的基于冷热电三联供的微电网调度,考虑经济和环境因素
冷热电三联供系统(CCHP)是发展可持续能源系统的一种替代方案。在多能源冷热电三联供微电网中,电力、热能和制冷需求均可高效供应。整合各种能源转换技术和存储系统可以管理不同的资源,并利用电力市场参与的优势。然而,应考虑到与能源需求和价格相关的不确定性。为此,本文提出了随机编程方法,以优化多能源冷热电三联供微电网的运行成本和排放惩罚,其中考虑了组件的数学模型和相关的不确定性。利用所提出的优化问题,系统运营商可以得出电力市场的投标/报价曲线。为降低财务风险,集成了条件风险价值 (CVaR) 方法,以提供不同的风险规避策略。结果发现,在规避风险策略下,多支付 0.4% 的资金,冷热电三联供运营成本不稳定的风险将降低约 16.82%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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