OECD Ülkelerinin Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Değişkenlerine Göre Kendi Kendine Öğrenen Haritalar Yaklaşımı ile Kümelenmesi

Pakize Yigit
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Abstract

Sustainable Development concept (SD) aims to better life for future generations. However, the COVID-19 pandemic has caused tremendous effects on people’s life in several areas. Therefore, the study aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19 on the selected part of SD indicators in the OECD countries using Self-Organizing Map (SOM). SOM is a kind of artificial neural network (ANN) method, which is an effective clustering method to find hinder non-linear relationships between indicators. The data contained 38 OECD member countries for 11 variables for each country, covering three years (2019-2021). Firstly, descriptive statistics and Spearman rank correlation analysis were used for bivariate analysis. The coefficient of variation was also used to measure the convergence of indicators. Then, it was a two-stage clustering method using SOM and hierarchical clustering methods—the optimal cluster found according to the Silhouette Index and Davies–Bouldin Index, and as three. The convergence of gross domestic product increased gradually to 40.33% in 2019, 42.01% in 2020, and 43.69% in 2021, meaning increasing relative variability of OECD countries. While the mean of the life span was decreased, the share of health expenditure, health expenditure per capita, out-of-pocket health expenditure, and government health expenditure were increased in the study period. According to clustering analysis, the countries had similar characteristics within three years, except Colombia. Also, the USA distinguished very different characteristics from other OECD countries. Although the mean of study indicators varies due to the effect of the pandemic, the change within each OECD country showed mostly similar characteristics within three years.
用自学地图方法根据可持续发展变量对经合组织国家进行分组
可持续发展理念(SD)旨在为子孙后代创造更美好的生活。然而,COVID-19 疫情在多个领域对人们的生活造成了巨大影响。因此,本研究旨在利用自组织图(SOM)研究 COVID-19 对经合组织(OECD)国家选定的部分可持续发展指标的影响。SOM 是一种人工神经网络(ANN)方法,是一种有效的聚类方法,可用于发现指标间的非线性阻碍关系。数据包含38个经合组织(OECD)成员国,每个国家11个变量,涵盖三年(2019-2021年)。首先,使用描述性统计和斯皮尔曼秩相关分析进行双变量分析。变异系数也用于衡量指标的趋同性。然后,利用 SOM 和分层聚类方法进行两阶段聚类--根据 Silhouette 指数和 Davies-Bouldin 指数找到最优聚类,并将其作为三阶段聚类。国内生产总值的收敛性逐渐增加,2019 年为 40.33%,2020 年为 42.01%,2021 年为 43.69%,这意味着经合组织国家的相对变异性越来越大。在研究期内,虽然平均寿命有所下降,但卫生支出份额、人均卫生支出、自付卫生支出和政府卫生支出均有所上升。根据聚类分析,除哥伦比亚外,其他国家在三年内具有相似的特征。此外,美国与其他经合组织国家的特征也截然不同。虽然研究指标的平均值因大流行病的影响而有所变化,但每个经合组织国家内部的变化在三年内大多显示出相似的特征。
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