The determinants of decision time in an ambiguous context

IF 1.3 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Anna Conte, Gianmarco De Santis, John D. Hey, Ivan Soraperra
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Abstract

This paper builds on the data from a published paper on behaviour under ambiguity (Conte & Hey, 2013)—henceforth C&H—to explore the determinants of decision time. C&H categorized individual subjects as being of one of four types (of decision-maker)—Expected Utility, Smooth Ambiguity, Rank Dependent and Alpha Expected Utility—by using the decisions of the subjects, but did not look at the decision times of the different types. We take as given the categorization identified by C&H, and explore whether the classification can explain the decision times of the subjects. We investigate whether and why different types take a different amount of time to decide. We explore the effects of various features related to (mainly psychological) theories of the process of decision-making—i.e., experience with the task, complexity, closeness to indifference and similarity of the options. Our results show that different types take a similar time to make their decisions on average, but decision times of different types are explained by different features of the decision task. This paper is the first investigating the heterogeneity of decision times based on a classification of subjects into different types in an ambiguous (rather than risky) decision context.

Abstract Image

模糊背景下决策时间的决定因素
本文以已发表的一篇关于模糊性下行为的论文(Conte & Hey, 2013)(以下简称 C&H)中的数据为基础,探讨决策时间的决定因素。C&H通过受试者的决策,将受试者分为四种类型(决策者)之一--预期效用型、平稳模糊型、等级依赖型和阿尔法预期效用型,但并不考察不同类型的决策时间。我们将 C&H 所确定的分类作为给定,并探讨该分类能否解释受试者的决策时间。我们研究不同类型是否需要不同的决策时间,以及为什么不同类型需要不同的决策时间。我们探讨了与决策过程理论(主要是心理学理论)相关的各种特征的影响,即任务的经验、复杂性、与冷漠的接近程度以及选项的相似性。我们的研究结果表明,不同类型的人做出决策所需的平均时间相似,但不同类型的人做出决策所需的时间可以用决策任务的不同特征来解释。本文是第一篇在模棱两可(而非高风险)的决策情境中,基于将受试者划分为不同类型来研究决策时间异质性的文章。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
10.60%
发文量
29
期刊介绍: The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty (JRU) welcomes original empirical, experimental, and theoretical manuscripts dealing with the analysis of risk-bearing behavior and decision making under uncertainty. The topics covered in the journal include, but are not limited to, decision theory and the economics of uncertainty, experimental investigations of behavior under uncertainty, empirical studies of real world risk-taking behavior, behavioral models of choice under uncertainty, and risk and public policy. Review papers are welcome. The JRU does not publish finance or behavioral finance research, game theory, note length work, or papers that treat Likert-type scales as having cardinal significance. An important aim of the JRU is to encourage interdisciplinary communication and interaction between researchers in the area of risk and uncertainty. Authors are expected to provide introductory discussions which set forth the nature of their research and the interpretation and implications of their findings in a manner accessible to knowledgeable researchers in other disciplines. Officially cited as: J Risk Uncertain
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