Estimation of water temperature changes in the Ipeľ River based on future scenarios

Abstract

Water is an irreplaceable resource for life and ecosystems, and among its key parameters is its temperature. The temperature of water and its fluctuations have a significant impact on aquatic ecosystems, highlighting the need for accurate prediction and monitoring. Therefore this study focuses on the analysis and simulation of monthly and daily water temperatures in the Ipeľ River Basin at two measuring stations. The first part of the study deals with the statistical analysis of daily water and air temperature values. The second part examines regression models for predicting daily and monthly water temperatures in the Ipeľ River Basin. The results of this analysis indicate that due to climate change, there is a gradual increase in temperatures in the Ipeľ River. This trend can have a negative impact on aquatic ecosystems and biodiversity, especially in extreme scenarios. Additionally, elevated water temperatures can affect water management and the utilization of the Ipeľ River, including the availability of drinking water and the quality of water sources. Overall, this study holds significant importance for the protection of aquatic ecosystems, and the insights gained can serve as a foundation for future strategies and measures to adapt to changing conditions and safeguard the valuable aquatic environment of the Ipeľ River Basin.