STUDY OF A DISTRICT HEATING SYSTEM WATER BOILER AS A OBJECT OF CONTROL

D. V. Snurnykov, I. Krasnikov, A. Babichenko
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Abstract

The analysis of the operating conditions of a typical district heating system, in particular, a hot water gas boiler, was carried out. It is shown that the boiler, as the main control object, operates under conditions of constant change in external heat load, which, due to their random nature, leads to a number of uncertainties. The expediency of the mathematical description of uncertainties using the stochastic method as the most tested in practical conditions is substantiated. According to the results of the passive experiment on the hot water gas boiler KVG6.5-150 of the district heating system of one of the districts of Kharkov, an array of hourly experimental data was obtained, reflecting the main performance indicators of the hot water boiler. As a result of data processing by the least squares method, a mathematical model of the boiler was obtained in the form of a linear regression equation, reflecting the relationship between the temperature of the coolant at the boiler outlet and the ambient air temperature, the temperature of the coolant at the inlet to the boiler and with the flow rates of natural gas and coolant to the boiler. The obtained regression equation was verified by Student's t-test, which confirmed the significance of all coefficients of the regression model. The practical significance of the multiple regression equation was assessed using the coefficient of determination. The quality of the multiple regression equation as a whole was assessed using Fisher's F-test. Since parallel surveys were not conducted, instead of checking the adequacy, the quality of the approximation of the experimental points by the accepted regression equation was assessed, that is, it was checked whether this equation makes sense. Such a test was carried out by comparing the residual variance and the variance relative to the mean. The calculation results showed that the value of the coefficient of determination significantly exceeds the allowable value, and the actual value of the Fisher criterion significantly exceeds the table value. The obtained indicators led to the conclusion that the relationship between the variables in the regression model is significant, and the proposed stochastic method and the multiple linear regression equation can be used to make decisions in the process of synthesizing the technical structure of a computer-integrated control system for objects of a district heating system.    
以区域供热系统热水锅炉为控制对象的研究
对典型区域供热系统,特别是热水燃气锅炉的运行工况进行了分析。结果表明,作为主要控制对象的锅炉是在外热负荷恒定变化的条件下运行的,由于外热负荷的随机性,产生了许多不确定性。用随机方法描述不确定性的方便性在实际条件下得到了证实。根据哈尔科夫某区集中供热系统的KVG6.5-150热水燃气锅炉被动式实验结果,获得了一组小时实验数据,反映了该热水锅炉的主要性能指标。采用最小二乘法对数据进行处理,得到了锅炉的数学模型,该模型反映了锅炉出口冷却剂温度与环境空气温度、锅炉进口冷却剂温度、天然气流量和锅炉冷却剂流量之间的关系。对得到的回归方程进行Student's t检验,证实回归模型各系数的显著性。用决定系数评价多元回归方程的实际意义。多元回归方程的质量作为一个整体使用Fisher的f检验进行评估。由于没有进行平行调查,所以没有检查是否足够,而是评估公认的回归方程对实验点逼近的质量,即检查该方程是否有意义。这种检验是通过比较残差方差和相对于均值的方差来进行的。计算结果表明,决定系数的值明显超过允许值,Fisher准则的实际值明显超过表值。得到的指标表明,回归模型中各变量之间的关系显著,所提出的随机方法和多元线性回归方程可用于综合区域供热系统对象计算机综合控制系统技术结构的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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