{"title":"Liquidity risk in FinTech lending: Early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the P2P lending market","authors":"Asror Nigmonov , Syed Shams , Khorshed Alam","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2023.101084","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study empirically investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the liquidity risk incurred by the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. As the pandemic adversely affects financial markets globally, a better understanding of the dynamics of successful P2P lending is necessary under the conditions of financial distress. By using the cross-country database of secondary market listing outcomes at Bondora (Estonia) and employing probit, ordered probit and tobit regression methods, we provide evidence of the pandemic-induced exposure to liquidity risk in the P2P lending market. Despite increased volatility in the financial markets, results show that COVID-19 risk increases the probability of successful listing during the pandemic. However, this outcome comes at significant liquidation costs for investors in the form of higher premiums. Further analysis based on listing outcomes and loan characteristics shows a negative association between COVID-19 risk and share of overdue loans and average overdue days in secondary market listings. Simultaneously, more experienced investors dominate the market as COVID-19 risk increases, a trend that is reflected in shorter listing times. The findings of this study imply certain early tendencies in financial markets during pandemic-induced turmoil and open new avenues for further research.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.6000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014123000894/pdfft?md5=d9fc10a91aafa90680cb7ac7a69e122e&pid=1-s2.0-S1566014123000894-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Emerging Markets Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014123000894","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study empirically investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the liquidity risk incurred by the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. As the pandemic adversely affects financial markets globally, a better understanding of the dynamics of successful P2P lending is necessary under the conditions of financial distress. By using the cross-country database of secondary market listing outcomes at Bondora (Estonia) and employing probit, ordered probit and tobit regression methods, we provide evidence of the pandemic-induced exposure to liquidity risk in the P2P lending market. Despite increased volatility in the financial markets, results show that COVID-19 risk increases the probability of successful listing during the pandemic. However, this outcome comes at significant liquidation costs for investors in the form of higher premiums. Further analysis based on listing outcomes and loan characteristics shows a negative association between COVID-19 risk and share of overdue loans and average overdue days in secondary market listings. Simultaneously, more experienced investors dominate the market as COVID-19 risk increases, a trend that is reflected in shorter listing times. The findings of this study imply certain early tendencies in financial markets during pandemic-induced turmoil and open new avenues for further research.
期刊介绍:
The intent of the editors is to consolidate Emerging Markets Review as the premier vehicle for publishing high impact empirical and theoretical studies in emerging markets finance. Preference will be given to comparative studies that take global and regional perspectives, detailed single country studies that address critical policy issues and have significant global and regional implications, and papers that address the interactions of national and international financial architecture. We especially welcome papers that take institutional as well as financial perspectives.