Barren lives: drought shocks and agricultural vulnerability in the Brazilian Semi-Arid

IF 2.2 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Lucas Costa, André Albuquerque Sant'Anna, Carlos Eduardo Frickmann Young
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of drought shocks in a vulnerable environment – the Brazilian Semi-Arid. We analyze the impact of drought shocks, measured as deviations from long-run historical averages, on agricultural outcomes in a region that suffers recurrently from drought. After controlling for municipality and year fixed effects, we use weather shocks to exactly identify outcomes. Our benchmark results show substantial effects on the loss of crop area and on the value of agricultural output, as well as on crop yields. As we investigate distributional effects, our results show that crops related to familiar agriculture suffer more from drought shocks. We follow our investigation by testing heterogeneity effects and show that adequate water provision and maintenance of forest cover help in reducing the impact of drought shocks.

贫瘠的生活:巴西半干旱地区的干旱冲击和农业脆弱性
本文研究了干旱冲击对脆弱环境——巴西半干旱地区的影响。我们分析了干旱冲击对一个经常遭受干旱的地区的农业产出的影响,以与长期历史平均水平的偏差来衡量。在控制了城市和年份固定效应后,我们使用天气冲击来准确识别结果。我们的基准结果显示,对作物面积损失、农业产出价值以及作物产量都有重大影响。当我们调查分布效应时,我们的结果表明,与常见农业相关的作物更容易受到干旱冲击。通过检验异质性效应,我们进一步证实了充足的水分供应和森林覆盖的维持有助于减少干旱冲击的影响。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
4.80%
发文量
39
期刊介绍: Environment and Development Economics is positioned at the intersection of environmental, resource and development economics. The Editor and Associate Editors, supported by a distinguished panel of advisors from around the world, aim to encourage submissions from researchers in the field in both developed and developing countries. The Journal is divided into two main sections, Theory and Applications, which includes regular academic papers and Policy Options, which includes papers that may be of interest to the wider policy community. Environment and Development Economics also publishes occasional Policy Fora (discussions based on a focal paper). From time to time the journal publishes special issues based on a particular theme.
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