African economic integration and trade

IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
World Economy Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI:10.1111/twec.13538
Marie M. Stack, Emmanuel B. Amissah, Martin Bliss
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Economic integration ranks as one of the leading development strategies in Africa. The newly created African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and the proposed Tripartite Free Trade Area (TFTA) linking three major regional blocks offer a new impetus to studying trade policy effects. Using a structural gravity model of bilateral manufacturing trade between the African Union member states and all countries in the world, the trade effects of African economic integration agreements (EIAs) are assessed. The findings suggest that economic integration, in aggregate, enhances total African exports. Disaggregating the effects by type of agreement and by subgroups of countries, free trade agreements (FTAs) and partial scope agreements (PSAs) are found to increase extra-African exports, but have no effects on intra-African exports. A positive and significant effect on intra-African exports is introduced when the FTA dummy is combined with AfCFTA in contrast to a neutral effect stemming from the joint FTA-TFTA dummy. The findings suggest that a continent-wide FTA yields greater benefits when compared with integrating the subregions.
非洲经济一体化和贸易
经济一体化是非洲的主要发展战略之一。新成立的非洲大陆自由贸易区(AfCFTA)和拟议中的连接三大区域集团的三方自由贸易区(TFTA)为研究贸易政策效应提供了新的动力。利用非盟成员国与世界各国双边制造业贸易的结构引力模型,对非洲经济一体化协定的贸易效应进行了评估。研究结果表明,经济一体化总体上提高了非洲的出口总额。按协定类型和国家分组分列的影响发现,自由贸易协定和部分范围协定增加了非洲以外的出口,但对非洲内部的出口没有影响。当自由贸易协定与非洲自由贸易区结合使用时,对非洲内部出口产生了积极而显著的影响,而自由贸易协定- tfta联合使用则产生了中性影响。研究结果表明,与整合次区域相比,大陆范围内的自由贸易协定产生更大的好处。
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来源期刊
World Economy
World Economy Multiple-
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
8.00%
发文量
124
期刊介绍: The World Economy is a vital resource for researchers, analysts and policy-advisors interested in trade policy and other open economy issues embracing international trade and the environment, international finance, and trade and development. The journal also considers related areas such as economies in transition and development economics, making The World Economy an essential reference for in-depth knowledge on and up-to-date coverage of international economic relations.
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