Identification of drivers and affecting factors in the future of Persian medicine: The cross-impact analysis method

IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q3 INTEGRATIVE & COMPLEMENTARY MEDICINE
Mohammad Hossain Mehrolhassani , Mohammad Setayesh , Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi , Rohaneh Rahimisadegh
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Introduction

Persian medicine is a holistic medical school with deep roots. It has a high educational, research, and therapeutic capacity and has been the focus of Iran's general health policies in recent years. Futures studies aid policymakers and health managers in creating normative scenarios and developing action plans using various techniques. This study aimed to identify important drivers and factors that affect the future of the Persian medicine system.

Method

This qualitative research was conducted with a futures studies approach, using the Cross-Impact Analysis (CIA) in three main steps. The first and second steps were conducted using interviews and focus group discussions. In the first step, 15 semi-structured interviews were conducted with Persian medicine experts to identify all factors affecting the future of Persian medicine. In the second step, we held three focus group discussions with 9 interviewees from step one with national-level influence to determine the influence and dependence of each factor. The third step was performed using the matrix CIA and MICMAC to identify the key factors affecting the future of Persian medicine.

Results

Sixty five variables affecting the future of Persian medicine were identified, 36 related to the health system, and 29 to external factors. Factors such as globalization, knowledge-based economy, the spread of non-communicable and chronic diseases, as well as people's views and attitudes towards Persian medicine, are considered key drivers and variables that will affect the future of the Persian medicine system. The Iranian development plans as a two-dimensional and risk factor are crucial in establishing Persian medicine.

Conclusion

The future of the Persian medicine system is relatively stable. The pattern of the Iranian development plans is considered the most important two-faceted factor as a risk factor in the establishment of the Persian medicine system. It is suggested that the position of the Persian medicine system in the Iranian development plans be made more prominent.

确定波斯医学未来的驱动因素和影响因素:交叉影响分析方法
波斯医学是一个有着深厚根基的整体医学流派。它具有很高的教育、研究和治疗能力,近年来一直是国家一般卫生政策的重点。未来研究帮助决策者和卫生管理人员使用各种技术创建规范情景和制定行动计划。本研究旨在确定影响波斯医学系统未来的重要驱动因素和因素。方法本定性研究采用未来研究方法,采用交叉影响分析(CIA)分为三个主要步骤。第一和第二步是通过访谈和焦点小组讨论进行的。在第一步,与波斯医学专家进行了15次半结构化访谈,以确定影响波斯医学未来的所有因素。在第二步中,我们与第一步中具有国家级影响力的9位受访者进行了三次焦点小组讨论,以确定每个因素的影响和依赖性。第三步是使用矩阵CIA和MICMAC来确定影响波斯医学未来的关键因素。结果影响波斯医学未来发展的65个变量中,与卫生系统相关的变量36个,与外部因素相关的变量29个。全球化、知识经济、非传染性疾病和慢性病的传播以及人们对波斯医学的看法和态度等因素被认为是影响波斯医学系统未来的关键驱动因素和变量。伊朗的发展计划是一个二维和风险因素,对建立波斯医学至关重要。结论波斯医学体系的发展前景相对稳定。伊朗发展计划的模式被认为是波斯医学体系建立过程中最重要的两个方面的风险因素。建议波斯医学体系在伊朗发展计划中的地位应更加突出。
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来源期刊
European Journal of Integrative Medicine
European Journal of Integrative Medicine INTEGRATIVE & COMPLEMENTARY MEDICINE-
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
4.00%
发文量
102
审稿时长
33 days
期刊介绍: The European Journal of Integrative Medicine (EuJIM) considers manuscripts from a wide range of complementary and integrative health care disciplines, with a particular focus on whole systems approaches, public health, self management and traditional medical systems. The journal strives to connect conventional medicine and evidence based complementary medicine. We encourage submissions reporting research with relevance for integrative clinical practice and interprofessional education. EuJIM aims to be of interest to both conventional and integrative audiences, including healthcare practitioners, researchers, health care organisations, educationalists, and all those who seek objective and critical information on integrative medicine. To achieve this aim EuJIM provides an innovative international and interdisciplinary platform linking researchers and clinicians. The journal focuses primarily on original research articles including systematic reviews, randomized controlled trials, other clinical studies, qualitative, observational and epidemiological studies. In addition we welcome short reviews, opinion articles and contributions relating to health services and policy, health economics and psychology.
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