Allan C Jenkinson, Theodore Dassios, Anne Greenough
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objectives: Mechanical ventilation in prematurely born infants, particularly if prolonged, can cause long term complications including bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Timely extubation then is essential, yet predicting its success remains challenging. Artificial intelligence (AI) may provide a potential solution.
Content: A narrative review was undertaken to explore AI's role in predicting extubation success in prematurely born infants. Across the 11 studies analysed, the range of reported area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) for the selected prediction models was between 0.7 and 0.87. Only two studies implemented an external validation procedure. Comparison to the results of clinical predictors was made in two studies. One group reported a logistic regression model that outperformed clinical predictors on decision tree analysis, while another group reported clinical predictors outperformed their artificial neural network model (AUCs: ANN 0.68 vs. clinical predictors 0.86). Amongst the studies there was an heterogenous selection of variables for inclusion in prediction models, as well as variations in definitions of extubation failure.
Summary: Although there is potential for AI to enhance extubation success, no model's performance has yet surpassed that of clinical predictors.
Outlook: Future studies should incorporate external validation to increase the applicability of the models to clinical settings.
目的:早产婴儿的机械通气,特别是如果延长,可能导致包括支气管肺发育不良在内的长期并发症。因此,及时拔管至关重要,但预测其成功仍然具有挑战性。人工智能(AI)可能提供一个潜在的解决方案。内容:对人工智能在预测早产婴儿拔管成功中的作用进行了叙述回顾。在所分析的11项研究中,所选预测模型的接收者操作员特征曲线(AUC)下的报告面积范围在0.7至0.87之间。只有两项研究实施了外部验证程序。在两项研究中比较了临床预测指标的结果。一组报告了逻辑回归模型在决策树分析上优于临床预测因子,而另一组报告了临床预测因子优于人工神经网络模型(auc: ANN 0.68 vs临床预测因子0.86)。在这些研究中,预测模型中包含的变量选择不同,拔管失败的定义也不同。摘要:尽管人工智能有可能提高拔管成功率,但尚未有任何模型的性能超过临床预测指标。展望:未来的研究应纳入外部验证,以增加模型在临床环境中的适用性。
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Perinatal Medicine (JPM) is a truly international forum covering the entire field of perinatal medicine. It is an essential news source for all those obstetricians, neonatologists, perinatologists and allied health professionals who wish to keep abreast of progress in perinatal and related research. Ahead-of-print publishing ensures fastest possible knowledge transfer. The Journal provides statements on themes of topical interest as well as information and different views on controversial topics. It also informs about the academic, organisational and political aims and objectives of the World Association of Perinatal Medicine.